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    Zhang Wei: US Interest Rate Hike Is Expected To Rise Again.

    2014/9/28 22:29:00 17

    Zhang WeiUS Interest Rate IncreaseEuro

      

    1:

    Fundamentals

    Analysis

    When he visited Lithuania on Thursday, Delagi said the central bank would use more unconventional tools if necessary.

    Such a stance is consistent with Delagi's recent statements, which opened the door for large-scale government bond purchases, the so-called quantitative easing project.

    In terms of economic data, the Labor Department reported on Thursday that the number of first jobless claims increased by 12 thousand in the week ending September 20th, the current total is 293 thousand, still at its lowest level in nearly eight years.

    The previous market survey showed that economists generally expected that the number of initial jobless claims should be 300 thousand last week.

    On the stock market, the three major U.S. stock indexes fell across the board, and technology and energy shares took the lead. The three major indexes all fell more than 1.5%, the largest single day decline since July 31st. Apple has become one of the largest stocks in the S & P 500 constituent stocks; Europe's three largest indexes have fallen across the board, mainly due to the hint of Mark Carney, which suggests that interest rates will soon begin to increase in the market. This is a panic for the market's liquidity prospects; the Asia Pacific stock market closed and Carney shares closed up 1.28%.

      

    Currencies

    As of the end of the day, 1 euro was converted to 1.2751, lower than the previous trading day of 1.2778 US dollars; the exchange rate of 1 pounds was 1.6318 US dollars, which was lower than the 1.6337 US dollars of the previous trading day; the 1 Australian dollar convertibility to 0.8792 US dollars was lower than the previous day's 0.8880 dollars; the 1 dollar changed to 108.74 yen, lower than the Japanese yen of the previous day.

    Today, Friday (September 26th), there are many economic data in Europe and the United States. The US GDP data will set off the climax of the last day of the week.

    During the Asian session, investors focused mainly on the economic data of Japan and China.

    Japan's CPI data have a certain impact on the market. If inflation falls, or once again stimulate the BoJ's loose expectations, it will suppress the yen.

    If inflation goes up, the yen will be supported.

    In addition, China's CIC's leading indicators can not be ignored. One of the most important factors in the recent decline in commodity currencies is China's uneasy expectations.

    The quality of the data has an important impact on the Australian dollar.

    During the European session, investors focused on data on Gfk consumer confidence index in Germany. Recently, German economic data has been weak, which is also an important factor for Delaki to emphasize lenient.

    If German data can be recorded better, it will ease the easing pressure of the European Central Bank.

    In addition, investors can also pay attention to the confidence index of France and Italy.

    During the New York session, the market came to the most important two quarter GDP data in the world.

    This will have an impact on the trend of the evening market, which is expected to continue to be repaired at the current market. If the magnitude of the repair exceeds expectations, the recent rise in the US dollar is expected to continue.

    On the 28 day of last month, the GDP data in the second quarter of the United States was revised to 4.2%. Some industry experts still hold a totally optimistic view of the data.

    Industry experts pointed out that the growth rate of GDP is generally limited, and it is difficult to explain too many problems in itself.

    The fact that the overall economic outlook of the United States has been improving has been recognized by all sectors. The effect of GDP data upgrading on investor sentiment is rather limited.

    Recent economic performance in the US has basically improved, while fixed asset investment and export growth have directly contributed to the two quarter GDP.

    It is widely expected that the US second quarter GDP value will continue to maintain a strong momentum today, reaching 4.6%, close to 4.9% in the fourth quarter of 2011.

    More detailed technical analysis operation mentality analysis concerns potatoes Youku Zhang Wei foreign exchange video solution.

      

    Two:

    Technical aspect

    Analysis

    Gold versus US dollar strategy:

    Gold rebounded significantly during the New York time yesterday. Market analysis shows that the sudden increase in gold may not be as good as expected in the US, which has hurt the stock market and stimulated the rebound of gold.

    Considering that the US GDP data will be released today, and the market expects that this data will continue to be good, it will stimulate the US dollar to continue to rise.

    Main strategy: 1226 near short, target 1215, stop loss 1230

    Euro versus US dollar strategy:

    The euro continued to go down yesterday, and once fell below 1.2700, but in the end, the euro remained stable. Investors in the short term advised investors to take note of the euro's key contention, especially the support of the euro at 1.2700. If the short term is not broken, the euro will rebound again in the future. Investors need to be cautious.

    Main strategy: 1.2770 near short, target 1.2700, stop loss 1.2800

    Sterling versus US dollar strategy:

    Main strategy: 1.6340 near short, target 1.6280, stop loss 1.6370

    US dollar to Japanese yen strategy:

    Main strategy: 108.70 near do more, target 109.30, stop loss 108.40 more technical analysis, operation mentality analysis concern potatoes Youku Zhang Wei foreign exchange video solution.

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