Stock Index Or Strong Earthquake Should Be Controlled.
On the disk, the two cities have gone up and down, and the maritime Silk Road, the Sino Korean Free Trade Zone, the marine equipment and the new shares have gained the top. The Fujian free trade area, the west coast of the Taiwan Strait, the human brain project and the Tianjin free trade zone have fallen. The following is a summary of your views, for your reference.
Judging from the disk: facing the high point of last year, the market has more energy than the previous few trading days, and the main board has shown signs of exhaustion. The growth of GEM has fallen more than that of the main board. The current market is the trend of incremental capital, which is different from the game of stock capital. The medium term logic of the current round of market lies in the background of interest rate downtrend, policy underpinning, accelerating reform to boost risk preference, and new capital admission.
This is essentially different from the past one or two years. Even if the profit from the annual assessment of the stock market has taken an impact on the market, the impact of this behavior will be greatly weakened if the incremental capital is hedged. Taking into account that the current stock market's stock market is dominated by blue chips, other sectors are unable to keep pace with the blue chips. The number of stocks falling in the market is higher than that of the rising stocks. This also makes some of the empty side institutions still stick to the camp.
The multi-party camp insists that the two major rebounding logic of the incremental capital admission and the reform dividend has not loosened, and the market outlook is still available. The peak period of inflow of foreign capital to Shanghai and Hong Kong will probably be over. Investor We should not be blindly optimistic and need vigilance. market Risk factors. On the whole, in the short term, the market is going to rise more than 100 points. At the same time, it will be faced with the pressure of two years. There will be a huge earthquake in the A stock market.
Yes technology We should adjust the stock exchange as soon as possible, and we should be brave enough to replace the weak ones with the chips loose and the kinetic energy failing. We should be willing to sell the strong stocks that the main force flees and the short-term good will be realized. In operation, investors can continue to focus on investment opportunities such as FTA, foreign trade, high-speed rail, aerospace and other hot sectors, but not to catch up. After all, the pressure above the top 2400 points should not be underestimated.
From a technical point of view, since July, a total of three times pull the index market, the first two times almost every time rose about 150 points, and then entered a period of more than a month of concussion, since last week, the market from 2300 points below, also gradually entered the target track of the rise. Institutional rebound will be difficult to form a unified multi front. Although the red line of MACD is longer, the KDJ value will increase in the short term, so there is a revised demand for KDJ in technical indicators. Once again, the short-term market will go up again and will be suppressed by the upper trajectory of the rising channel, and the index will start to deviate. This will also lead to the emergence of a huge earthquake in the stock market.
At present, the market is in the first round of the main wave, the weekly line is in the last wave band, and the daily line is rising at the 5 wave. After this wave of strong rise, the short-term overbought is very serious. Of course, it is positive to be positive, but it can not be completely positive, because the indicators of the weekly line are all high. Even if we can successfully break through the 60 month line, it will not be smooth sailing. We must also prepare for the midcourse strong earthquake adjustment.
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