Two Or More Industries Will Be Able To Get Out Of The Trough.
Looking back on the development process of the past decades, the industry has entered the trough several times according to the economic rules of the market. The duration of the inflection point has been short for 1-2 years, and some have lasted for 5-6 years.
The reason for this turning point is relatively complex and special. Zhang Shuhua initially predicted that the duration would last at least two years or longer, and the fur industry could gradually get out of the trough.
Why is this turning point going to last for a long time?
Zhang Shuhua explained that the downturn in the industry is not just due to the laws of the domestic and foreign markets, but the decline of the world industry triggered by four specific conditions:
First, this time
Inflection point
In China, China is the hardest hit area.
China has become a fur power country in the world. This historical position determines its great influence in the development of the world industry.
The rapid downlink of China's fur industry has set off a worldwide decline in raw materials, thus making the world's trade downturn a foregone conclusion.
Second, because of the world
fur market
Domino's slide has shaken the confidence of the world market.
This worldwide decline has increased the panic psychology of fur industry at home and abroad. Under such a psychological impact, the speed of China's fur industry has been accelerated again.
Third and 2013 "
Kwai Keng smuggling case
"Not only has become the fuse of this turning point, but also made the industry worse.
Recently, Hebei Jiangxi fur smuggling case began again.
Because of these three specific conditions and reasons, this world inflection point will last for a long time.
Zhang Shuhua also said that it is not optimistic from the foreign market, and the slow warming of the European and American markets coexisted with the volatility of the markets such as Russia and Ukraine, so that the export trade of fur industry before the end of the year is not optimistic.
From the domestic macro economic perspective, although steady rise, but downward pressure is very great, it is difficult to quickly pull the domestic market purchasing power in a short time.
Moreover, the fur industry itself has structural contradictions, and it is hard to pick up in the short term.
Of course, there will be some uncontrollable factors, such as the weather. If this year is winter, the sky is heavy, the snow is heavy, or the designer designs the fur and ornaments and products that are widely popular, it is possible to shorten the low period.
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