Anhui'S Export Growth Accelerated In The First Three Quarters

The General Administration of Customs announced yesterday's import and export situation of China's foreign trade from 1 to November this year. According to customs statistics, the total value of China's imports and exports in the first 11 months of this year was 23 trillion and 950 billion yuan, an increase of 2.2% over the same period last year. Among them, exports were 13 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.4%; imports of 10 trillion and 950 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.4%; trade surplus of 2 trillion and 50 billion yuan, an expansion of 40.4%.

Customs statistics show that in November, the total value of China's imports and exports was 2 trillion and 270 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.3%. Among them, exports of 1 trillion and 300 billion yuan, an increase of 4.9%; imports of 970 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.5%; trade surplus of 334 billion 800 million yuan, an increase of 60.5%, indicating that China's foreign trade import and export this year showed a significant increase in export growth, import weakness is still no significant improvement.

In the first 11 months, our country was right. European Union The trade between the United States and ASEAN maintained growth, while the Sino Japanese bilateral trade value was 1 trillion and 750 billion yuan in the same period, a slight decrease of 0.7%, and the bilateral trade volume between the mainland and Hongkong was 2 trillion and 50 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.9%.

According to reporters, in October and November this year, China foreign trade The export leading index has declined for two consecutive months, indicating that China's export growth is still facing certain challenges at the end of this year and early next year. pressure 。

In addition, according to the Internet survey data, China's export managers index, new export orders index, export managers' confidence index and comprehensive cost index of export enterprises in November declined respectively compared with October, indicating that the situation in the coming period is not optimistic. China's import and export growth target was 7.5% this year, and now it seems that there is no hope of achieving this goal.

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According to the latest data released by the General Administration of customs, exports in November were not as good as expected, and import growth rate slipped back into negative territory again. Insiders said that this year's foreign trade performance is not warm, but exports are difficult to play the main force of "steady growth" this year, but they will not act as "dragging their legs".

In November, the total value of China's imports and exports was 368 billion 850 million US dollars, down 0.5% from the same period last year. Among them, exports of US $211 billion 660 million, an increase of 4.7% over the previous year, is not as good as the expected 8% in the market.

Liu Dongliang, senior analyst at China Merchants Bank, said that the export figures in November were significantly lower than those in October. There are reasons for the cardinal number and the reasons for the exchange rate. Since July, the real effective exchange rate of RMB has risen sharply, and its cumulative effect is having a substantial impact on exports.

Chang Jian, chief China economist at Barclay, believes that although export growth has slowed down, China's export figures are still better than those of neighbouring economies, so it should not be overly pessimistic.

It is worth noting that the import volume in November was 157 billion 190 million US dollars, down 6.7% compared with the same period last year. According to customs data, imports of major commodities increased and average import prices fell generally in imports.

According to the insiders, the main factors of undesirable imports include the overall economic slowdown, the decline in international commodity prices, the decrease in foreign investment in the manufacturing sector, and the slump in the scale of processing trade. Moreover, imports will become negative growth, or will be a drag on future export performance.

Because of the sluggish imports, the trade surplus in November reached US $54 billion 470 million, an increase of 61.4% over the same period last year, making the current RMB exchange rate in a dilemma.

China's foreign trade situation report (autumn 2014) released by the Ministry of Commerce predicts that the international environment for China's foreign trade development will be slightly improved next year, but the recovery will be limited, and the risks and uncertainties will be more prominent. Bai Ming, deputy director of the international market research department of the Ministry of Commerce, predicts that the pressure of "stable foreign trade" will not be too small next year. But with the promotion and replication of the Shanghai free trade area, the accelerated construction of the whole area and the strengthening of the strategy of the free trade area, the confidence in the development of foreign trade next year will also increase, and the steady growth of foreign trade will become a "new normal".