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    Easing Expectations Dragging Down Australian Dollar Risk Aversion

    2015/2/1 16:27:00 38

    Loose ExpectationsAustralian DollarRisk Aversion

    The S & P 500 index rose 0.95%, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 1.31%, and the NASDAQ [micro-blog] composite index rose 0.98%.

    The pan European blue chip 300 index fell 0.2%, closing at 1472.38. The FTSE 100 index fell 0.22%, the German DAX index increased 0.25%, and the French CAC40 index rose 0.44%.

    Japan's stock market fell 1.06%, Hang Seng Index fell 1.07%, stock index fell 1.31%.

    The FTSE global index fell 0.89%, and the FTSE emerging market index fell 0.45%.

    The US dollar fell against the euro and the US dollar rose against the yen.

    The Central Bank of China [micro-blog] lowered its middle price and the renminbi was close to the "limit" again.

    New York gold futures for April delivery fell 2.4% to 1254.6 dollars / ounce.

    March delivery of WTI oil prices closed up 0.2%, to close at 44.53 U.S. dollars / barrel.

    The 10 year US bond yield rose 3 basis points, closing at 1.75%.

    The world's largest gold ETF--SPDR GOLD TRUST holdings increased by 5.67 tons compared with the previous day, and the current position is 758.37 tons.

    yesterday dollar Continuation of the high and volatile trend, ICE US fingers collect cross star form, seems to have the potential of long and short stalemate, but in the long line of the dollar, after the shock consolidation, it is expected to continue to record high.

    Although the US index took the form of Cross stars, commodity currencies plummeted yesterday. Yesterday morning, after the New York Stock Exchange interest rate resolution, President Wheeler's tone made the market believe that the New Zealand dollar bank's interest rate cut was not impossible, and the New Zealand dollar exchange rate was also hit hard. At the same time, the Australian dollar was also hit hard. The market mainstream view almost affirmed that the Australian Reserve Bank next week interest rate resolution must reduce interest rate, this viewpoint caused the Australian dollar / US dollar to fall more than 1.5%. However, judging from Australian inflation figures released this week, the economic performance is robust and does not increase the possibility of reducing interest rates in Australia, but in the face of the current easing trend, Australia reserve bank is likely to follow suit.

    The number of Americans who announced the first week of yesterday's announcement is only 265 thousand, a record low of nearly 15 years, slowing investors' concerns about the slowdown in the US economy at the beginning of this year. The Federal Reserve said in a statement Wednesday that economic activity is steadily expanding. The optimistic economic outlook of the United States has reduced the risk sentiment of the market and led to a decline in the attractiveness of precious metals.

    Us Comex gold futures fell 2.4% in April, hitting a minimum of 1255.90 US dollars / ounce, the biggest decline since December 19, 2013. Silver futures, which expired in March, were 7.3%, 16.773, and the biggest decline since June 20, 2013. Goods in stock gold The next move also surprised investors, who hit a two week low of $1251. But when hitting the price of the 20 day moving average, the price of gold is supported, and it is now anxious about 1260. Today, we are concerned about the US GDP data. If we expect to be weak, we will be able to act on gold or restart.

       Today's operation strategy:

       Euro / dollar The daily performance is different. MACD is bearish, but random indicators rebound from oversold areas. The upper resistance is at 1.1380 on Thursday. If the break up will alleviate the short-term bearish trend, 1.1260. will be short in the following days: 1.13750-1.140.

    GBP / USD: daily chart signals are different, MACD is bullish, but the random index is neutral, and the 5 and 15 day average are flat. Below support is located on Thursday low 1.5015, the upper support 1.5110. days proposal: short near 1.5220.

    AUD / USD: daily chart bearish: MACD bearish; stochastic index under pressure in oversold zone; 5 day moving average below 15 day moving average. Support: 0.7715, upper resistance: 0.7800. Within days recommendation: 0.7850 short.

    USD / JPY: daily performance varies, MACD bearish, stochastic neutral, average 5 and 15 day average. The upper resistance is at 118.50-60 high on Thursday, with support below 117.36. Intraday recommendation: 117.30-118.60 interval operation.

    Gold / dollar: the daily performance varies, and the downward trend of gold is rising to a minimum of 1250. The upper resistance is 1266, and the bottom is 1250. Recommendations within days: 1272 near light warehouse short. 1240 do more at the top.


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