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    Wu Guoping: The More Intense The Midcourse, The Better The Future.

    2015/2/2 18:28:00 19

    Wu GuopingGemMedium And Small Board

    First, the management of the two fusion, tightening umbrella trust and other measures have obvious impact on the market, nearly four trading days are in the adjustment.

    At present, the Japanese K-line falls on the 5, 10, 20 and 30 lines, and the weekly K line also falls behind the 5 week line.

    From the perspective of comprehensive fundamentals and policies, will the market continue to adjust next week to fill up the gap of the January 21st jump to the 60 day line or rebound? For the nature of the adjustment, how do you judge the adjustment of space and cycle?

    The stock index is a concussion in the midst of bull market, and maintains in a large range between 3100 and 3400, and the overall risk is rather limited.

    On the contrary, once the adjustment is in place, the new main wave will start again.

    To start, we can see from the following three aspects: first, from time to time, the average time interval between 06 and 07 years' midrange shocks is 33 trading days, and the current round of adjustment is 18 trading days, so the short term will continue, but it will be closer to the new main wave. Secondly, from the point of view of the magnitude, the low point of second adjustment is hard to fall below the low point of the first adjustment, that is, the stock index should stop above 3095 points, that is to say, the downward trend is at most 100 points, unless there is a major sudden negative impact; third, from the amount of energy should be the phased volume, the Shanghai stock exchange volume should be below 250 billion yuan or even 200 billion yuan. Then, when will the new main wave rise?

    Problem two, the financial stocks that have led the first two months are currently divided in the market and the trend is also weak.

    In your opinion, whether the blue chip valuation repair market represented by financial stocks should be restarted? Is the adjustment of these sectors in place at present?

    On the one hand, the valuations of blue chip stocks are not high and the funds still dare to toss; on the other hand, the big direction of the stock index is firm and the blue chips represented by finance are the backbone of the new wave.

    In the short term, these sectors are still in a state of concussion, and it is likely that there will be a relaxed policy of lowering interest rates before and after the Spring Festival.

    Question three, the gem and small and medium-sized boards have also entered the adjustment after the new high. At present, will the small cap stocks continue to be active before the Spring Festival?

      

    Gem

    The index line MACD continues to deviate from the top. We have always stressed the need to be cautious.

    Medium and small plates

    At the bottom of the index, the medium has always been good, so the opportunities in the small and medium-sized boards are more worthy of attention.

    The stock index will soon be volatile, and some small cap stocks will still exist.

    Benefiting from falling oil prices, chemical stocks can be focused in the short term.

    Question four, from the operational level, next week if we continue.

    adjustment

    Can you buy on the low side? Do you want to buy big or small? What are your best opportunities next week?

    Next week, if we continue to adjust, we can consider taking part in bargain chips.

    In the new main wave, the opportunities for heavyweights are more obvious. Therefore, more layout heavyweights are recommended.

    Next week, we will continue to focus on the theme of agricultural shares and reform of state-owned enterprises.


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