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    Positive Finance Has Been Singing Coloratura Soprano.

    2015/3/1 14:38:00 19

    Positive FinanceMacro EconomyMarket Quotation

    The first day of work is just Wednesday, and Wednesday is the time of the weekly meeting of the State Council. What is decided by the executive meeting of the State Council before the two sessions is often a topic of concern to the representatives and members of the two sessions. This topic is nothing more than how to deal with the current economic downturn, how to make the economy run in a reasonable range, and how to keep the economic growth above 7% rather than the following.

    Is there an answer?

    The answer is yes, four words, plus efficiency, the formal expression is: positive fiscal policy must be strengthened and synergy. The word "must" in front of the four words shows that the seriousness and urgency have been unquestionable and bargaining. This tone and tone are obviously different from those of a year ago, and they have been afraid to stick to their own opinions and deceive themselves.

    The direction of positive fiscal force is two, one is a new engine built by mass entrepreneurship and innovation, the other is a traditional engine to expand the supply and transformation of public goods and services. The former is mainly to reduce taxes and reduce fees, the first is to expand the scope of the preferential tax policy for half of the enterprise income tax, which is extended from 100 thousand yuan per year to 200 thousand yuan and is collected at 20% tax rate. Two, the actual income from investing in non monetary assets such as personal equity, real estate and technological inventions will be changed from one-off tax to phased tax preferential policy to promote the whole country; three, the unemployment insurance premium rate will be reduced from 3% to 2%. The latter is mainly to increase investment, promote the construction of public facilities including major water conservancy projects, expand the demand for effective investment, promote structural adjustment and the development of related industries. The State Council has identified 172 projects last year, 57 have already started work, and 27 have started construction within the next year.

    Orientated disorientation is secondary. It is important for the prime minister to increase the intensity of stimulating the economy, and the government's regulation has become active. Enterprises and government are also part of the market. The government and the market are not antagonistic. The government and enterprises are not antagonistic. When the market fails, the role of the government is to make a difference so as to make up for the omission or negative actions of the enterprises. This is the normal way to deal with the problem. It is not contradictory with the reform.

    Fiscal policy is in force, so is monetary policy still self supporting or sitting on the mountain and watching the tiger fight?

    Certainly not, though comprehensive. Rate cut Every time the drop is very tight, but in fact, under the direction of the name of the easing is also pushing forward. The latest news is that Zhejiang's banks were allowed to drop 0.5% by accident, and other local city commercial banks have also achieved directional reduction in compliance with the regulations. The resulting liquidity is limited, but the continuous meaning is unlimited. Finance and Finance It has always been a game of chess and can not be antagonistic. The recent strong 95.50 impact of the US dollar index has created a favorable external environment for the timely reduction of the central bank's timing. It can be said that the US dollar strength is already a trend. The depreciation of RMB also has short-term support. Foreign exchange outflow has caused the pressure of RMB exchange rate to drop sharply, and the high deposit reserve rate established on this basis has lost rationality, and the late fall is not as good as falling earlier.

    There is no doubt that Premier Li Keqiang's Regulation means Obviously, it is an upgraded version of 4 trillion. The results of the iterative technology development are also impulsive for the market. The infrastructure projects are the first to react. The "coal" flying "color" dance is sprouting up, but it can not lead to the subversion of the economic cycle. Therefore, it is not possible to have a skyrocketing market. I am afraid this is the case during the two sessions. From past experience, there is no "two sessions" market, because the two sessions are the stage of Chinese style democracy. The most relaxed time of the speech is that the committee members are numerous and diverse, and there are many different opinions. The individual's commentary is too arbitrary, and the impact of the number of fingers has been thankful; and the government departments will not introduce any sensitive policies during the two sessions to form a "window period".

    The Spring Festival in 2015 is a little late. Later, it will not be late.


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