Foreign Trade Is Expected To Be Low And High In The Whole Year.
The latest figures released by the General Administration of Customs show that China's exports and imports showed negative growth in April.
In this regard, Ministry of Commerce spokesman Sun Jiwen 9, said this year, China's foreign trade situation is more complex and severe, downward pressure.
The second half is expected to be better than the first half of the year.
He also pointed out that at present, we must ensure steady growth and share the share in a more important position. We should continue to pay close attention to the implementation of policies, persist in problem orientation, and intensify efforts to introduce more targeted measures.
According to customs data released on 8, the first 4 months of this year, China's import and export value of 7 trillion and 500 billion yuan, compared with the same period last year (the same below) 7.3%.
Among them, exports were 4 trillion and 230 billion yuan, an increase of 1.8%; imports of 3 trillion and 270 billion yuan, a decrease of 17%; trade surplus of 965 billion 370 million yuan, 3.4 times the increase.
In April, China's import and export value was 1 trillion and 960 billion yuan, down 10.9%.
Among them, exports were 1 trillion and 80 billion yuan, down 6.2%, the decline narrowed by 8.4 percentage points compared with March, imports of 873 billion 900 million yuan, 16.1%, trade surplus of 210 billion 210 million yuan, and expansion of 85.2%.
After March, the import and export in April dropped again. The industry generally believed that the main reason for the weak export was the sluggish external demand and the real effective exchange rate of the RMB, and the sharp decline in the prices of imported goods last year led to the continuation of negative growth in imports.
"April
foreign trade
Data improved slightly compared with March, but export and import continued negative growth, and the foreign trade situation is still grim.
Liu Xuezhi, senior research fellow at the Bank of communications Financial Research Center, said that weak external demand and low growth or negative growth in export growth to major export countries and regions.
Real effective exchange rate and factor constraints aggravate export competitiveness, China
Exit
The situation is hard to recover from the recovery of the international market.
And imports continued for 6 months with negative growth, mainly imports.
Price
The sharp decline is still the main reason.
Sun Jiwen pointed out that in the first four months, the import volume of 8 types of bulk commodities, such as crude oil, increased and fell, and the import growth rate was 9.8 percentage points lower.
According to customs statistics, in April, the leading index of China's foreign trade was 35.9, down 2.3 from March, declining for 2 consecutive months.
According to the introduction, in order to accurately judge the foreign trade situation, recently, the Ministry of Commerce organized the research team to carry out the investigation of the foreign trade situation in 15 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), conducted a questionnaire survey on nearly 6000 foreign trade enterprises in 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), conducted in-depth interviews with 80 exhibitors of the Canton Fair, and made a careful analysis of 66 key industries and the top 30 export markets.
"Generally speaking, most enterprises believe that the main difficulties facing the international market are the low demand in the international market, the turbulence in some areas, the significant appreciation of the renminbi in the main currencies other than the US dollar, the level of trade facilitation needs to be raised, the difficulty of financing and the continuous rising of labor costs."
Sun Jiwen said.
It is widely expected that the stable foreign trade policy will continue to be overweight, and with the slow growth of external demand and the implementation of stable export policy, the growth of export growth in the future may turn to a positive growth at medium and low speed.
With the rebound in commodity prices, steady growth policy to promote demand, manufacturing PMI production and inventory index picked up, the future import decline may narrow gradually.
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