Decreasing Cotton Planting Area In The Yellow River Basin Affects Cotton Growth In The Near Future
As of 13, Shandong
cotton
The sowing has been completed by 90%, and the remaining part is expected to be sown in mid May.
About 50% of the cotton has been sprouting, and the early seeding cotton seedling has entered the second true leaf stage. The height is generally 6-7 centimeters.
In Hebei, Henan and other places, cotton sowing later than Shandong, but has completed more than 80%, 40% cotton emergence, early seeding cotton seedlings also entered the second true leaf stage.
However, the recent continuous rainfall has a negative effect on cotton seedling growth.
According to experts, because the surface water is sufficient and the temperature is low, if the soil is wet for a long time, the cotton seedlings will become yellow and wilt in the middle of 5.
For cotton that has been sown but not sprouting, it may affect the rate of emergence. Cotton farmers should strengthen the work of draining and draining waterlogging, soil conservation, moisture conservation, ventilation and light pmission.
At the same time, owing to the large scale of the cooling, the cotton will be sowed for 3-5 days.
It is understood that the spring sowing area of the the Yellow River River Basin has been greatly reduced this year.
For example, the Hebei Provincial Department of agriculture predicts that the sown area of Hebei will be 4 million 900 thousand mu this year, which is 2 million 100 thousand mu less than 700 mu in 2014 and 30%.
However, some agencies and websites believe that the spring sowing area in Hebei this year is only about 350-400 mu, or 42.8-50%.
There is also a difference between official data and private projections in cotton planting area in Shandong and Henan. The main reason is that the private sector is expected to have a larger reduction, while the official is slightly conservative.
But some of them are the same. This year's the Yellow River basin will be much lower than last year, and the most conservative estimate will be reduced by 30%.
The sharp decline of cotton planting area has not caused the speculation of the market, and has become a great spectacle this year.
As of 13, Shandong, Binzhou, Dezhou and other places 3128, 4128, 2227 class real estate cotton main quotations were 13000-13100 yuan / ton, 12500-12600 yuan / ton, 12300 yuan / ton, compared with last week basically; Hebei Cangzhou, Handan, Henan Xinxiang and other places, the mainstream offer is also 12900-13000 yuan / ton, 12400-12500 yuan / ton, 12200 yuan / ton, generally less than Shandong.
The reason is that the number of Hebei and Henan discontinued enterprises has increased recently. The main sales target of the two provinces' quality cotton is Shandong province.
Up to now, more than 80% of the 400 types of ginning plants in the the Yellow River basin have no stock in stock, and the enterprises with stock are sporadic, 200-300 tons and 20-30 tons.
On the 13 day, the boss of a 400 type ginning factory in Handan, Hebei said that the company still had 90 tons of grade 2227 cotton, and there was no enquiry phone call for 10 days. They planned to sell cotton to a large enterprise in Shandong.
It is understood that most of the cotton ginning plants have planned a "Golden Harvest", which will continue to weigh heavily on cotton.
In terms of external cotton, according to traders from Huangdao port of Qingdao, at present, the cotton stocks in Port Bonded Area and logistics area are about 60 thousand tons, of which India cotton is the largest, and the mainstream price of new cotton is 13500-13700 yuan / ton, and the price of Chen cotton is 13100-13200 yuan / ton.
American cotton
The quantity is decreasing, the price is 14600-14800 yuan / ton, the overall is relatively unsalable.
This is because the price advantage does not exist, many enterprises choose.
Domestic cotton
,
Xinjiang cotton
On the other hand, the quota of textile enterprises is limited, which seriously affects the clearance of cotton in the bonded area.
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