Viscose Staple Fiber Prices Stable, The Market Atmosphere Is Relatively Quiet.
The price of Jiangsu siro spinning cotton yarn has risen steadily. The siro spinning 30S market offers a price of 19400-19600 yuan / ton, and siro spinning 40S is 21800-22200 yuan / ton.
Viscose staple fiber market prices remain stable, the lower reaches are more ready to leave matters, pre - season stocking operation is over, the market is not concerned about.
Pay attention to the load change of viscose staple fiber manufacturer.
Viscose staple fiber prices are stable, the market atmosphere is relatively quiet.
The stockings are basically in place before the lower reaches of the festival.
There is still a certain upward trend in market price negotiations. The mainstream of the middle end is mostly 14400-14500 yuan, and 14300 yuan is more reluctant to sell.
High-end trading center of gravity at 14600 yuan, part of the special customer discount at 14500 yuan, 14700 yuan scattered small single main, the paction ratio is not high.
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At present, the consumption of crude oil is off season, which is difficult to break through the 60 day moving average because of the imbalance between supply and demand.
But after the fall from 7 to August, crude oil prices have responded more fully to recent negative factors.
In addition, taking into account the stagflation of the US dollar and the continuous decline in crude oil business inventories, crude oil is likely to stabilize at $45 / barrel in the near future, which determines that PTA does not have the conditions to fall sharply.
Secondly, under the background of excess capacity in the chemical fiber industry, due to the environmental pollution problem, the domestic PX productivity growth has lagged behind the growth rate of PTA's capacity. This leads to a very high degree of dependence on imports of PX. Foreign PX enterprises are relatively active in pricing, and the chemical fiber industry depends more on PX's "face".
From the current operation of the PX plant, the PX load of South Korea's GS in Lishui and the PX load of Ulsan aromatics in South Korea have dropped to about 80%, while the Japanese new Japan's PX device is scheduled to stop in mid November.
In addition, the 870 thousand ton PX unit of the petro petro petrochemical company also stopped in the near future due to the flash explosion accident.
Taking into account the tight supply of late PX, the price of PX is expected to rebound steadily, which determines that PTA prices will rise and fall.
Finally, from the supply point of view, the start-up load of PTA industry has been in a low position, and late supply has continued to decline.
First, Yisheng Petrochemical has partially stopped its capacity of 5 million 500 thousand tons in Ningbo, while Dalian's 5 million 200 thousand tons capacity and Hainan's 2 million 200 thousand tons plan to stop in October. Two, Hengli Petrochemical will reduce its load in October, and the about 6000000 ton production capacity of Xiang Lu Petrochemical Company has already been shut down on the whole line. Three, Yangzi Petrochemical, Jiangyin Han Bang chemical, Tianjin petrochemical, Luoyang petrochemical and other small and medium-sized PTA production enterprises have parking plans in October.
With the reduction of load by PTA production enterprises, the start-up load of PTA industry in October is expected to be further low.
In the context of tight supply, PTA is hard to fall again.
In short, taking into account the possibility of crude oil stabilization, while the supply of PX and PTA will drop, the support role of cost support for PTA is beginning to appear, so PTA does not have the conditions to fall sharply.
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