Wang Guoqiang: The Market Has Entered A Trend Rebound.
This week there was a substantial breakthrough in the big market. The Shanghai index station's high point in September 9th was 3256 points and 3 days. After that, it launched a rapid upswing, and partly recovered the downward line gap of the weekly line left at the end of August.
In fact, the recovery of the weekly gap means that the current rebound has changed, from the bottom of the pulse rebound to a trend rebound.
Pulse rebound is incoherent weak rebound, while trend rebound is a coherent strong upside. The biggest difference is that pulse rebound may encounter a continuous rapid decline at any time, and trend.
rebound
There is no need to worry about that.
Recently, many stocks have been super performance and become star shares of the market. Star shares have opened the imagination space of stocks, and low latent varieties will gradually be excavated by the market.
Of course, star shares are likely to continue to take the lead role in the coming period, but only because the recent increase is too large, and the risk of volatility may follow.
Some low-grade breeds are brewing attacks, which deserve our attention.
What needs to be reminded is that although there is a vacuum belt below 3500 points, there is still more pressure on the vacuum belt, which needs to be digested step by step. Under the background that the index is hard to rise rapidly, the split of stocks will be inevitable.
The stock market will stabilize, and stocks will attack one after another. However, the differentiation of strength and weakness makes the choice of stocks to be a key step.
The reform of state-owned enterprises, the Internet, software, certification concept, Disney concept, energy saving and environmental protection and other popular varieties one after another, can be switched appropriately, the index began to stabilize this stage, stocks are promising.
Now that the trend is upward, it is necessary to make a bearish pattern if we want to start a continuous wave of adjustment.
Just like the weak
Low market position
When we want to start a good rebound, we usually need to make a bullish first.
Form
It's the same thing.
The first trading day after the national day of the National Day has left a gap which has not yet been filled. After that, the Changyang market in October 12th dropped from a 5178 point drop. At present, the gap after the holiday is significant, and it may be difficult to make up for a long time.
In recent days, the upturn in volume is a further confirmation of the strength of the gap. In October 16th, it rose to a maximum of 3393 points. At the end of August, the position of the weekly line gap was 3490-3388 points, and there was a possibility of full compensation when part of the subsidy was added. If all the compensation gaps were added, it meant that the market would have to go to 3500 points.
It is worth noting that the 3490-3388 point gap is a vacuum zone. There is no pressure. So, since part of the compensation is made up, the probability of returning all the way to 3500 points is too large.
The 60 day moving average is now near the 3460 point, and the 60 day moving average can mean a turn for the better.
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In the last year and a half, A shares have experienced a roller coaster ride.
Among them, the Shanghai Composite Index, for example, surged from 2000 to 5178 in June, and then dropped to 2850 at the end of August.
Faced with the ups and downs of the market, many investors are also feeling "can not stand"!
At the same time, we found an interesting phenomenon, that is, in the process of market pformation, the listed companies also staged many "big plays" at different stages.
Among them, the most representative example is the "renamed tide" of listed companies and the frequent face changing phenomenon of listed companies' fixed increase schemes.
In the past, for example, in the process of continued bull market, many listed companies began to play the idea of willful renaming.
However, the frequently renamed listed companies are largely inseparable from these reasons.
First, change the original company image by changing the name of stock.
Second, with the help of stock renaming, it will enhance the comprehensive influence of stocks.
Third, with the help of renaming the market hotspots, we can achieve the goal of attracting capital attention and increasing market value.
Later, for example, after the irrational market fall in the previous market, the listed company set off another "big play", that is, frequent revision of the fixed increase scheme, and even more directly abolished the original fixed increase plan.
In fact, under the bull market, listed companies and all kinds of funds have also spotted this opportunity, and with the help of fixed increase fund-raising plan to achieve relevant fund-raising purposes.
At the same time, through a series of fundraising actions, the listed companies and related stakeholders can also get "extra" income.
According to statistics, in the first two quarters of this year, the A share market has issued more than 200 fixed increase plans, involving a total paction volume of up to 500 billion yuan.
According to this calculation, it actually exceeds the current IPO financing scale.
However, for the capricious A share market, this year's irrational decline trend from 6 to August has led many listed companies to implement the fixed increase plan in a dilemma.
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