Why Is The Inland Cotton Market Extraordinarily Quiet?

Recently, the cotton market in the mainland is extraordinarily quiet. In this quiet market, there are two popular arguments that dominate the cotton market to the right or to the left.

Optimism.

It is understood that in this weak, cold, quiet market, there are also some optimists watching the market.

In December 9th, a cotton trader in Shandong introduced, entering the December, in some "high-end" areas, the market has quietly launched some contention.

First of all, high quality real estate cotton is popular.

He introduced that in some places such as Shandong, Hebei and Henan, some of the fibers were over 28mm in length, and the horses were A or B, and the cotton with a fracture ratio of S2 was popular.

He just sold more than 170 tons yesterday, all 3128BS2 grade real estate cotton, at 13250 yuan / ton price.

"The reason why we feel cotton prices are low and difficult to sell is the most important thing.

Not good. "

The cotton merchant said.

Second, the supply of high-quality hand picked cotton in Xinjiang is in short supply.

"One of the most important indicators of cotton picking in Xinjiang is fiber length, so long as the length is over 28mm, there is no need to worry about it."

The cotton trader said that the 3128B class Xinjiang hand picked cotton price has been pferred to Shandong and the price is 13400 yuan / ton.

"Later, the price of high-quality cotton will rise, and the increase may be beyond imagination."

In the process of understanding, some cotton traders believe that in 2015, Xinjiang and the mainland

Overall decline, late "good cotton" short supply situation or will appear, once the emergence of imported cotton by quota restrictions can not enter, national cotton quality difficult to cross the border, rising prices are just around the corner.

A senior member of the cotton circle said, "let's not see that the market is quiet now. This is the darkness before dawn."

Pessimism.

Most of the people who hold this argument are cotton farmers and ginning mills.

In December 9th, the head of a 400 type ginning factory in Hengshui, Hebei, introduced that the stock was increased to 530 tons at present, all of which were 3128C grade, and the price of the enterprise was set at 12800-12900 yuan per ton.

But most textile mills offer only 12300-12400 yuan / ton.

The price difference between the 500 yuan / ton has made the factory

There has been no business.

"I think cotton prices are hard to go up, and this year it will be a big loss."

Responsible for the pessimistic preaching, first, the cotton production plant is abandoning the mainland cotton; second, the cost of mainland cotton upside down 400-500 yuan / ton this year, the greater the loss of inventory, the more miserable.

Lao Zhou, a cotton grower, is also very pessimistic. He told me that this year, in Huanghua, Hebei, 70 mu of cotton and 26 thousand cotton seeds of the Communist seed were wrapped up, so far one or two cotton was not sold.

First, the price is too cheap to sell and lose; two, there is not a 400 type cotton ginning plant in the eastern part of Cangzhou, and the sale of cotton to other counties and cities other than more than 100 kilometers away.

He believes that in 2015/16, domestic cotton prices will keep running down the channel, and this year's loss of cotton seeds is "irreversible".

Therefore, he wants to put these 28 thousand kilograms of cotton as soon as possible, regardless of the price.

"Money can only be reassured by bags."

Lao Zhou said.