The Proportion Of Foreign Trade Exports Of Home Textile Products Manufactured By Overlapping Bridges Increased.

According to the monitoring data of the home textile index of the Permian bridge, the domestic price index of home textiles finished products fell in the fourth week of December 2015, down 0.02% from third weeks in December, and closed at 92.66 points in the fourth week of December.

Around the 4th century bridge

The domestic price index of finished products dropped slightly.

This winter climate is not cold, the home textile market bed sales generally, especially in winter, commonly used warm bed products sales also showed a downturn trend.

Because of the continuous cloudy weather for the fourth week, the arrival of foreign merchants from all over the place has been reduced, and the domestic market has been depressed.

However, the opposite of the domestic market is the export market.

The increase in the proportion of market exports has greatly stimulated the export of foreign trade.

。

The index cases of each category were: small package set around 95.85 at the 4th week, down 0.02% last week compared with last week; the fourth week of the big suit closed at 100.76 points, up 0.02% last week compared with the previous week; the fourth round of the pack closed at 94.41 points, up 0.03% over the same period last year; the winter core was closed at 94.68 points, down 0.02% last week compared with the previous week.

Related links:

In November, the new cotton market entered the peak, but the textile market continued to be in a downturn.

Pure cotton yarn prices continue to go down, with cotton enterprises to purchase raw materials to be cautious.

The overall supply of market resources is in excess of demand, and cotton business inventories have increased significantly.

Xinjiang cotton enterprises are stepping up sales efforts, and the external pport volume of Xinjiang cotton has risen sharply.

According to the inventory survey of 190 cotton delivery and supervision warehouses, social warehouses, bonded areas and processing enterprises in 18 provinces and municipalities of China's cotton Logistics Association, the total volume of cotton business inventories in China is 2 million 550 thousand tons (including Xin cotton and Chen Mian), an increase of 960 thousand tons, an increase of 60% over the previous month.

Among them, as of the end of November, Xinjiang cotton 2 million 58 thousand tons in Xinjiang, an increase of 812 thousand tons.

Among them, 39 warehouses in Xinjiang area have 1 million 894 thousand tons of commodity cotton (1 million 834 thousand tons of new cotton, 60 thousand tons of cotton), and 101 thousand tons of pportation on the way, 50 thousand tons of highways and 51 thousand tons of railways.

The warehouse business in the mainland has a stock of 360 thousand tons, an increase of 140 thousand tons, an increase of 64%.

Among them, China Cotton Association cotton logistics branch monitored 178 thousand and 300 cotton warehouse stocks in the 151 cotton warehouses in the mainland, an increase of 41 thousand tons, including 157 thousand and 500 tons of Xinjiang cotton, and 20 thousand tons of imported cotton and 800 tons of real estate cotton.

The inventory of processing plants and social warehouses was 181 thousand and 700 tons, an increase of 98 thousand and 700 tons.

According to the survey of bonded areas in Qingdao, Zhangjiagang and Shanghai, the total import cotton in the bonded area is 132 thousand tons, an increase of 8 thousand tons, an increase of 7%.

In 2015, the volume and position of Zheng cotton futures were all at a low level, which showed that the market participation was seriously insufficient. At that time, the market was in a depressed state.

From the Zhengzhou cotton index weekly K line trend chart, the price is located below the downward trend line and the moving average, and the EMA is arranged in a short order, and the downward trend continues; the short-term MACD index is at the bottom, and there is a demand for a rebound.

But in terms of volume and position, there is no sign of warming up, so there is a weak rebound and the rate will not be too great. In 2016, cotton prices will continue to be bottomed out.

In China, although the domestic cotton production and import volume decreased significantly in 2015, the cotton price was supported, but the demand for cotton in the lower reaches also declined, and the domestic cotton formed a "tight balance" situation. However, China's large inventory, its digestion would be a long-term process, and thus suppressed the formation of domestic cotton prices.

How to stock up in the future will become an important factor affecting the fluctuation of Zheng cotton futures price.

In the current state of high inventory and bottom demand, it is difficult for cotton prices to rise substantially. It is estimated that the cotton price will continue to weaken in 2016, and the price range of Zheng cotton index will be estimated at 10500-13500 yuan / ton.

To sum up, the international outlook for cotton fundamentals is expected to improve, supply is expected to decline, consumption is expected to increase slightly, cotton futures are expected to decline, but the supply and demand turn to a good margin is limited, and global cotton stocks are high, especially in China's inventory, and the decline in China's imports also to suppress international cotton prices.

Therefore, in 2016, the international cotton price will probably run weak oscillating, with an estimated operating interval of 50-70 cents per pound.