Stock Market Outlook: Next Monday Or Tempting Fall

News: 1, the Information Office of the State Council held a press conference this morning at the press office of the State Council Information Office.

Wu Yuliang, deputy secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, replied to reporters at the press conference.

The anti-corruption questions indicate that corruption and finance are related. Corruption will inevitably lead to some black box operations, causing some abnormal phenomena, which can be seen from the cases.

This year's communiqu has already said that there are basically two changes. The determination against corruption has not changed. The goal has not changed. The anti-corruption in the financial field has only been carried out in depth. Now we conduct inspections and thoroughly investigate.

Therefore, this field, like other fields, is the unwavering anticorruption of the CPC Central Committee and will go further.

In 2 and January 16th, the national securities and futures supervision conference will be held at the China Securities Regulatory Commission in 2016.

The national securities and futures supervision conference is the most important meeting of the China Securities Regulatory Commission in the year. Xiao Gang will deliver a long speech at the meeting.

3, the central bank released data show that China's M2 money supply in December was 13.3%, 13.6% and 13.7%.

In December, China added RMB loans to 597 billion 800 million yuan, which was expected to be 700 billion yuan, with a value of 708 billion 900 million yuan.

4, some of the reform plans of military research institutes have been published and submitted for trial.

It is reported that there are more papers on the reform of the classification of military research institutes, including the classification scheme of military research institutes and the implementation plan of the classified reform implementation of military research institutes, as well as the pformation of military industry research institutes into enterprise supporting policies in the classified reform of public institutions.

This week's volatility is very intriguing: it does not touch the 2850 of the psychological defense line, and it also shows ups and downs.

This is not normal without a clear margin of interest. Speculators do not show strength at all, but the volume of pactions does not rise.

Or can be interpreted as: further build up the bottom, expand the base width, take the initiative to copy the bottom, sit back and wait for the big market to reverse, because all people are expected to either save the market by policy, or the national team should take the initiative, or protect the plate forward, no matter what kind of situation, there are not a small upward attack in the near future.

This week is over.

Next week is definitely not a rebound, a big counterattack. There is not much time left. If we want to have a good Spring Festival,

Collect the conditions for big counterattack or big rebound:

1, blue chip force, this has appeared, although no statistics, yesterday's Shanghai stock market about 600 billion of the paction has seen the shadow of blue chip.

2, the national market, in fact, the official has been concerned about the stock market, gossip, the national team has entered the market quietly.

3, super good, can not talk about this time.

No good idea, and even look at the color of the above face, but the outside world is good, for example, the recent general decline in currency value has come out, accumulating 700 basis points; the trade great difference has been maintained; there is also one outside you do not know if there is no concern, big traffic, recently accompanied by the practice of a big year to go to Chongqing, followed by Yunnan, Zhejiang, Chongqing and other provinces and cities to open a large traffic construction list, the cumulative total investment of nearly 5 trillion yuan, I do not know this is not a big advantage, of course, if the stock market is in bad condition again, the rescue market will immediately be killed;

A number of market experts pointed out that serious overfall rather than short-term overfall is the basis for a big counterattack or big rebound. If not expected, the resulting bottoming behavior will appear directly next Monday, with a tempting drop and fall between serious overfall and short-term overfall. If so, next weekend will get a good market for a long time.

Why is it judged next Monday or tempting fall?

For one reason, some judgments have gone from vagueness to clarity, such as whether China is in the economic downturn or simply defined as the adjustment of economic growth; for example, in the fluctuation of stock market,

From the analysis of this week's market, at least the panic has been contained. For example, how the state sees the recent stock market, it can also see the behavior of rescuing the market, but there is no explicit concrete operation.

Reason two, the low level of stock market has dispelled people's excessive worry about stock market bubbles and systemic risks. If calculated from the beginning of June 2015, it is almost the same as the Shanghai Composite Index has fallen by 2000 points, and no bubble or systemic risk has been added to violence.

Reason three, if you look at the stock market in the global environment, in fact, only the Chinese stock market has a high P / E ratio, and the P / E ratio of the stock market in the United States and Singapore is about 10 times or more, and taking the US stock as an example, it has already surpassed the 2008 stock disaster point, indicating that there is a downward trend in these external markets.

The above three reasons can only prove that the future is positive. Why do we talk about temptation next Monday?

The above analysis is summed up by logical thinking. That is, the banner of the market has been opened up. The fundamentals are short of a wave of oversold prices. The bottom has arrived. If there is a strong performance, a wave or fall will result in a more resilient rebound. Is there much room for future harvest?

The low 2850 hit by the stock market crash in 2015 was severely tested at the beginning of the new year.

However, from the management of the urgent appease to appease the market, "national team" pull weights to wait for signs to see signs, at the current point should not be too panic.

The index is getting closer to the security position!