"China'S Aunt" May Usher In The Opportunity To Unlock.

Recently, the international gold price has gone up again, and it has risen more than 1250 US dollars per ounce.

Under the strong rebound trend, the "Chinese mother" who had hunters gold in the year may usher in the opportunity to unlock.

Gold industry analysts said that from the perspective of the sales channels of gold shops, perhaps it is because the reason has not yet been "unlocked", in the current price of gold, almost can not see the purchase of thousands of grams of gold bars.

In the first half of this year, the international gold price is likely to break through 1300 points. So how far away from the "Chinese mother"?

International gold prices hit high

Reporters visited many shopping malls in the city.

Outside the door of a gold shop, when talking about the gold price that has been rising steadily, Ms. Wang said: "before the gold price fell too hard, three or four yuan ago bought 400 yuan a gram, behind the quilt is very strong, now does not invest, only buys the gold jewelry."

Ms. Wang's statement is very universal.

Since December 2015, with the influx of hedge funds, international gold prices have been rising. However, there is no "Grand View" of Chinese mothers buying gold at major gold stores.

In fact, since the end of last year, influenced by the Fed's announcement of raising interest rates, there has been a big change in the international financial market. Crude oil prices have dropped and global stock markets have fallen. As a very basic hedge investment, global hedge funds have rushed into the gold market and pushed the international gold prices all the way.

"This round of international gold price rise occurred in early December of last year, and it is likely to continue to rise in the first half of this year, from last year to the lowest point at 1046, and has risen to the highest 1263 points in recent times, which is less than 20% in six months."

Gold wallet chief researcher Xiao Lei said.

In Shandong gold chief analyst Jiang Shu, it is accurate to say that the rise of international gold price is from January this year, and the overall decline in December last year, because the Fed started to raise interest rates, and the gold price was still in a bottoming process after the increase of interest rate. The true mark of the rise was in January, the rise of the Spring Festival was accelerated, and the two days were approaching the high point.

In fact, according to the custom of Chinese consumers, the timing of buying gold is often reduced after several rounds of interest rate cuts by the central bank.

Mr. Liu believes that gold has the property of preserving value, and there will not be significant price fluctuations, and there will be no sharp decline in earnings.

According to a China issued by the China Gold Association in 2014

China's private gold reserves are only 6000 tons, and the per capita gold holdings are less than 4.6 grams, which is quite different from the global average of 20 grams per capita, and the storage space is also very large, which aggravated Mr. Liu's idea of buying gold at that time.

Ms. Wang said the experience of quilt took place in April 2013.

"Because the stock market was very good at that time, other equity investments were developed, including the commodity market and real estate recovery. Under such circumstances, the whole investment market did not exist for the gold hedging demand. The world's largest SPDR Gold Trust gold had been reduced from 1200 tons, and the outflow of funds was huge, and the international gold price dropped from 1600" cliff style "to about 1400.

Xiao Lei said.

The psychological impact of buying up and buying down, such as Ms. Wang, many people choose to buy some gold.

Unexpectedly, after the international gold price fell again, Ms. Wang was arrested.

And with the recent rise in international gold prices, Ms. Wang behind the Chinese aunt saw the hope of understanding the set.

"Of course there is hope for the solution now, but it depends on the specific time."

Xiao Lei said.

"In fact, the price of real buying at that time was probably between $1350 and $1400, and more in 1350, and there was also a devaluation factor for RMB. Now that the RMB has depreciated against the US dollar, and the average price of the US dollar has dropped 10% last year, the average price of the people's currency has fallen by only 6%. That means that if the gold price was 1400 dollars, it would be a $1350 now.

Further explanation.

"We should consider the factors of the RMB exchange rate. In 2013, the RMB was stable against the US dollar or a slight appreciation. The current RMB exchange rate has depreciated by about 10% in the past year. This makes the US dollar go up so much that it can reach a relatively high price of RMB, so the current average price of less than 1300 dollars may make some people get out of the way."

Jiang Shu also said.

It is believed that investment and consumption should be separated in the process of personal gold holdings.

"Buy jewelry, do not think too much about the price of gold, and if you want to make investment, it is different from the simple consumption of gold jewelry, because it is relatively hard to realisk.

If you want to invest in gold, you can buy investment gold bars.

But in terms of investment operation, we do not propose to buy physical gold now, but we can choose to make a short-term investment, and the price of gold in the first half of this year may be higher.

Xiao Lei said, "I personally feel that Chinese aunt like Ms. Wang is right to buy gold, because physical investment is very simple. The gold that Chinese mothers bought last year did not sell directly. After this rise, not many Chinese mothers bought it.

Because at present, China's folk gold reserves are low, people forget the price when they buy it, they do not know what price to buy, which means that the last time the gold rush was not due to speculation, but because of demand, it happened that the price dropped and triggered a panic buying.