In The New Year, The Intention Of Planting Cotton Is Decreasing.

In March, the intention of planting cotton in the Yangtze valley was slightly lower than that in the previous period, which is generally better than that in the the Yellow River River Basin.

The reasons for the decline of cotton planting intention in the basin are: first, the quota subsidy in the mainland has not yet been implemented, and the subsidy policy in 2016 is not clear.

Two, the benefit of cotton planting is not high, and the income is decreasing year by year. Some cotton fields are contracted for planting other crops and the situation of land abandonment has led to the decline of cotton area.

The cotton planting intention in the basin decreased by 15.1% compared with the same period last year, and the ratio increased by 0.8 percentage points.

Among them, the slowness of sales in Jiangsu province was the largest reduction of 22.5%, and the reduction in Hunan, Hubei and Anhui provinces was the same as that in the previous period; Jiangxi's survey and verification showed a decrease of 1.8%.

Among the 805 cotton farmers surveyed, 45.83% were prepared to reduce cotton planting area; 9.75% of the cotton growers were prepared to increase; 37.57% were flat with last year, and 6.86% were still wait-and-see.

The cotton planting area in the mainland and Xinjiang decreased in 2016/17, of which the mainland

The reduction of production is relatively positive. However, if the cotton production in Xinjiang is better in 2016, the extreme weather like 2015 will not appear. In 2016, the output of Xinjiang cotton will maintain or decrease slightly.

In March 2016, the cotton association of China Cotton Association and Xinjiang Huatai professional cooperative respectively carried out nearly 2714 designated farmers in 12 provinces of the mainland and 310 counties (cities and regiments) in Xinjiang autonomous region.

Intention area survey.

The survey results showed that the average cotton planting intention decreased by 11.5%, slightly lower than that of the previous period.

Based on the area of the association in 2015, it is estimated that the area of cotton planting in the whole country will be 42 million 660 thousand mu in 2016.

According to the subregion, the cotton planting intention in Xinjiang cotton region decreased by 8.6%, 0.5 percentage points higher than that in the previous period, and the decrease of cotton planting intention in the mainland cotton area was slightly lower than that in the previous period. The cotton area in the the Yellow River River Basin dropped by 19.06%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points over the previous period, and a decrease of 15.1% in the Yangtze River Basin cotton area, an increase of 0.8 percentage points over the previous period.

Of the 2714 households surveyed, 40.07% of them were prepared to reduce their planting area, accounting for 7.32% of the total increase, 45.68% of the total last year, and 6.93% of the households who were hovering.

Since mid March, cotton farmers in Xinjiang have received the last batch of cotton subsidy funds. The cotton planting intention in most parts of the country tends to be clear and has picked up earlier than before.

Cotton farmers generally reflect this year's agricultural production.

However, the cost of agricultural irrigation and the high cost of cotton planting in 2016 have not been alleviated. The enthusiasm of cotton growers for cotton planting is still not high.

The cotton planting intention in the cotton area decreased by 8.63%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous period. Among the 968 cotton farmers surveyed, 17.53% of the cotton planting areas were prepared, 4.90% of the cotton growers were prepared to increase, 71.52% were the same as last year, and 6.06% were still on the waiting list.

Beginning in late March, the weather conditions were good. In the southern Xinjiang and eastern Xinjiang, the sowing work began in the new year. It is estimated that the large sowing time in southern Xinjiang will last until mid April. The cotton fields in the North Xinjiang region are expected to start spring sowing in mid April.

The cotton planting intention in the the Yellow River River Basin has not changed much since the early stage. As at the end of March, the sale of some cotton farmers' seed cotton has not been completed, and cotton farmers' confidence in cotton planting is still insufficient as the market price of cotton falls and the subsidy funds in the mainland are delayed.

The intention of planting cotton in the basin dropped by 19.06%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points over the previous period.

Among them, the slowness of sales in Henan province was the largest reduction of 32.6%, while Hebei's year-on-year decline was 21%, while Shandong's year-on-year decline was 16.3%.

Among the 903 cotton farmers surveyed, 53.90% of cotton farmers were prepared to reduce cotton planting area, 7.32% of cotton growers were prepared to increase, 32.38% of which were last year, and 6.39% of cotton farmers who were on the sidelines.