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    Growth Rate Will Grow Steadily In The Next Five Years, June.

    2016/5/31 16:19:00 28

    China'S EconomyGrowth RateMacro Economy

    China's annual GDP grew by 6.9% last year, and China's official economic growth target is 6.5%-7% this year.

    China's National Bureau of Statistics announced GDP growth of 6.7% in the first quarter of this year, which was in line with market expectations, but lower than 6.8% in the fourth quarter of last year, the lowest level since the first quarter of 2009.

    A spokesman for the Bureau of Statistics said.

    China's economy

    There are signs of bottom up.

    In the short term, China's economic stage may be U and W, and the medium and long term trend may be similar to L.

    Pei Changhong, director of the Institute of economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes that China's government spending and capacity reduction can help the growth rate stabilize at 6.5%. The growth rate in the next five years is "very good performance".

    According to the Japan economic news agency, the twenty-second session of the agency was held.

    The future of Asia

    At the international conference, Pei Changhong pointed out that since 2012, China's potential economic growth rate has been declining. As the government has to shift to a strategy suitable for medium and high speed growth, it is not as rapid as it used to be, and the potential growth rate has dropped to 6%-7%.

    Pei Changhong believes that the level of growth should be maintained at 6.5%.

    China

    It needs not only government expenditure but also overcapacity of coal and iron and steel industry to rectify industry and fight against poverty.

    He predicts that China will promote the pformation of industrial structure and adopt the way of developing the third industry.

    He believes that the third industry should take a larger share in China's GDP.

    Related links:

    Under the background of slowing growth of private investment, the State Council inspection team recently conducted research in Heilongjiang province.

    An economic region with resources, a complete railway line and a heavy industrial base, the economy is in a predicament, and the reasons are very complicated.

    The state-owned system has played a huge role in promoting the local economy, but now the drawbacks of some rigid elements are increasingly apparent.

    In September 2015, the Heilongjiang provincial chamber of Commerce published the article on "Northeast China's economy: the proportion of traditional industries is too high, how to adjust the structure?" the article points out that the proportion of state-owned economy in Liaoning is over 30%, that in Jilin is over 40%, and that in Heilongjiang is over 50%, far higher than the national average.

    There are 4113 Enterprises above Designated Size in Heilongjiang Province, and the proportion of state-owned enterprises is close to 70%.

    Such a situation is by no means rare: one or two large state-owned enterprises occupy more than half of the cities, and enterprises run their own communities, from education to medical services. Thus, it is difficult to form the social division of labor in cities. This is also an important reason for the lack of vitality in the cities.

    As an industrial city, the level of urbanization in Northeast China is not low.

    In 2013, the urbanization rate of Liaoning reached 66.45%, close to the average level of developed countries, ranked fifth in the whole country, and the urbanization rate in Heilongjiang and Jilin was 57.4% and 54.2% respectively, ranking eleventh and 13 in the whole country.

    Theoretically speaking, the more developed the economy is, the higher the level of urbanization is; the higher the level of urbanization, the more developed the third industry; the more developed the third industry, the more prosperous the city is.

    This is a development model based on natural circulation.

    Unfortunately, the situation in Northeast China is not consistent with the above situation, indicating that urbanization in the northeast is largely based on the state heavy chemical industry, and the quality of urbanization is not high enough, and the division of labor is not perfect.

    If the three provinces do not break the phenomenon of enterprises running the society, it is more difficult for the city to establish a complete ecological chain.

    Even if some large enterprises are unable to break it for a time, big and all internal businesses must be broken. Otherwise, the social functions of the enterprises will hamper the development of local economy. The most typical example is the recruitment of employees only, so that local employment can be balanced.

    Although the private economy in the three provinces has made great progress, the degree of entrepreneurship and innovation is still not enough compared with the eastern coastal provinces.

    Starting a business is a risky business. The chance of success is not particularly high.

    Northeastern friend computer cost: if you follow your parents' footsteps, you can basically enter the state-owned enterprises in a rational way. So who else is willing to work in private enterprises? If you start early in business and start from the bottom, you will have high risk and sacrifice probability.

    Media reports once said that the children of Daqing oil field were forced to go to the oil field by their parents and worked for a drought and flood.

    These parents have linked the fate of their families to state-owned enterprises for generations.

    A comparable case is the pformation of Wuhan Iron and steel company and the re employment of employees. Although it has also triggered social waves to a certain extent, it has not caused the Wuhan economy to be bone and bone. This should be attributed to Wuhan's economic diversification and toughness.

    The private economy in Eastern three provinces also has some development, but there are more parasitic in the traditional state-owned enterprises. Most of these enterprises do not form a complete industrial chain except a few pharmaceutical industries.

    The scale of private investment in Heilongjiang has steadily expanded. The proportion of non-public economy in the total economy has increased from 48% in 2010 to 52.6% in 2015.

    Among them, the added value of Heilongjiang's non-public economy increased by 7.3% over the same period in 2015, an increase of 1.6 percentage points higher than that of the gross domestic product.

    But most private enterprises hang on the neck of state-owned enterprises and do not have their own independent will.

    Changchun's FAW is very strong, but its surrounding automobile industry chain is obviously larger than the private investment booming Yangtze River Delta, no matter whether the industry chain is mature or perfect.

    It can be imagined that if the elements of autumn leaf forest, ski resort, Russian culture and other elements on the Sino Russian border should be put in the Pearl River Delta, then the service industry should not be able to solve the problem of employment for many people, just like a hot oil cooking.

    Unfortunately, many distinctive culture in Northeast China has not been shown.

    I went to a famous restaurant in Harbin and found that Russian food was not authentic enough.

    Some forestry cities have gone deep into forestry pformation, but lack of high taste urban planning. Unexpected tall buildings have greatly reduced the value of green forests.

    Now, when it comes to the culture of Northeast China, the only thing that can impress people is Tieling's "Er Ren Zhuan", and the decline of northeast culture is regrettable.


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