A Share Index: The Market Moves Lower And Higher To Return To The Shock Pattern.

Monday's big line is caused by many factors.

First of all, the market has its own operation rules.

The stock index failed to break through after Changyang in May 31st, but continued to consolidate for many days, and became more balanced.

But in a non bull market environment, lasting consolidation is a big drain on human consumption. Even three small lines were not technically comfortable.

Secondly, from the perspective of the market, the enthusiasm of the new stock market during the consolidation period failed to stimulate the enthusiasm of the market as a whole, but accumulated significant results.

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Monday as the market leader plate of the new sub area callback, strongly hit the market sentiment, the afternoon sell-off gradually increased, to the end of the crash.

Finally, Monday's crash is related to the fall in the external market of the holiday. Of course, A shares will not be excluded from the anticipated response of the MSCI index.

From the perspective of funds, the market rose before the Dragon Boat Festival, and then crossed for many days, followed by a big line on Monday, but rose again on Wednesday. This series of changes shows that the stock fund is playing an internal game.

From the policy point of view, the storm group (300431) merger and reorganization was rejected, indicating that management pushed up through the acquisition of high price.

The strict supervision of the mode has broken the ecological relationship of A share market for a long time.

And the fall of the storm also led to a decline in the popularity of technology stocks and media stocks.

In addition, the reduction of large shareholders broke the balance in the short term.

From the economic data, credit, investment and other data show that the economy is still weak, affecting investor confidence.

The trigger for Monday's decline is a reaction to MSCI's suspension of A shares.

There are many factors that affect the market trend. MSCI is only one of them.

But the market is much more talked about, which makes people feel important.

In fact, how much money can be brought into the MSCI related index? 100 billion yuan.

Now how much money does the national team have? Two trillion yuan.

Therefore, if we enter or slow down, the inclusion of the MSCI index is not the market.

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From a slightly longer cycle, it does not have much material impact on the market.

Is there any bad market in the future? It's hard to say.

At present, the international political and economic environment is complex.

However, the peripheral market will only play a greater role in the weak market. As long as market confidence is established, all negative factors will be weakened.

Tang Zhuyi: actually the problem of stock capital game. After Monday's crash and the low Wednesday's opening to 2800, many people thought that they had reached the resistance level and attracted investors to enter the market.

However, we can see that no matter whether the market is upward or downward, no definite trend has been formed recently. For example, after a big line, a small Yin and small Yang begins to merge. A large line follows a small Yang Yin, which has been maintained in a narrow range of oscillations.

Therefore, we can not judge that after Wednesday's rise, it will mean that the profits will be exhausted and the trend will continue.

At the same time, the reduction of major shareholders in June, strict supervision and the influence of the external market will become an important factor in the follow-up direction of A share stock funds.