The Aftermarket Of The Hebei Shandong Henan Yarn Market Is Deeply Worried

The price of cotton has been reduced to a level of 14500 yuan / ton for a short period of time. According to the analysis of the industry, this will be the lowest price in recent years to the new flower listing period.

However, many cotton textile enterprises are not satisfied with the quality of the cotton pads. Facing the high orders of customers, it is impossible to use the existing cotton pads. Only the cost is increased by adding cotton or some long staple cotton, but the increase of the cost will increase the quotation, and it will be very difficult for the tourists to accept it.

This week

Generally speaking, the demand for yarn market has not increased significantly, and most of the textile enterprises are free.

Introduction of a factory in Hebei: Although the production and sales rate in the off-season period has declined little, there are not enough order forms on the machine platform, which seems to be worrying about the subsequent orders.

There are many more orders in the peak season, and the level of processing fees is higher.

During the off-season, differentiated orders gradually reduced, and the machine could not stop at any time. Only some conventional varieties of the mainland could be picked up. Such a variety of customers had lower prices, and the processing fees left to the manufacturers were quite low. In the short term, the gross profit margins of the mainland varieties were even negative.

Even so, individual manufacturers can not operate at full capacity. For the lack of order varieties, they can only temporarily make some stocks on the mainland, but they are not stable in the face of cotton prices.

Generally, the general manufacturers choose stocking varieties such as polyester cotton and other blended yarns.

This week viscose staple fiber quotation is still in the high-end position, at present, there is no raw material enterprise in the library, still dare not easily purchase raw material orders.

But the enterprises with much raw materials can be overjoyed.

A factory in Shandong bought a large quantity of stock at the price of 14000 yuan / ton at the price of viscose staple, which can basically be used in September. Now the order is abundant, and it is very profitable.

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The extended store has turned a lot of anticipation in the cotton market. The interest of traders in the store has been greatly reduced, and the pressure on selling cotton has already increased sharply.

The recent dumping and storage of RPG means that there will be more and more cotton reserves that can be put into the market in the future. If we take 5000 tons a day, it will be 50 thousand tons in 10 working days, which means that there will be enough guarantee for 30 thousand tons per day in the future.

At present, the market's worries about supply are disappearing, and the selling pressure of inventories is increasing.

Another month into the new cotton year, although the new cotton will not be listed soon, but market psychology will no longer worry about the supply of cotton.

However, cotton will not be "bear" anymore.

The condition for cotton to continue with "bear" is that the cash available on the market is not enough to supply the reserve cotton, which is more than demand.

At present, we do not have this condition. The new cotton year also needs the replenish of cotton to meet the needs of production.

As long as the market needs cotton reserves, the cotton will not bear.

Therefore, the cotton market is returning to the rational state.

Don't worry about American cotton leading the market.

Because some people buy American cotton, the United States cotton can rise; and only cotton yarn sales, Chinese yarn price rise, people will buy cotton.

Therefore, China can only lead the cotton market.

If China's cotton prices drop and cotton yarn prices fall, the interest in buying cotton will surely drop.

At present, the rational throw and storage of cotton reserves has made the cotton market return to reason, and the stability of cotton prices has been a goal pursued by management for a long time, and this goal is being realized.

From the graphic point of view, the bean oil may have the shape of the head and shoulders. It is worth buying at 30 cents / pound, stopping 1 cents / pound, about 3%.

If 10% capital is used, the scale of the stop loss is 3%, acceptable; if the bottom of the head and shoulders is formed, it will break through 35 cents / pound.

Now, the current position will not only return far more than 3% (when breaking 35 cents / pound, the return is 17%), and the most important thing is that you find the end of the situation, which will help enormously in the future.

This is the game, pure game, not a little basic research.

You can also continue to look at the empty space, as long as your reasons are adequate.

If you look right, the above operation is bound to stop.

Technical methods do not need opinions, so those who praise technical analysis despise research.

They constantly stop their losses and find the opportunities they want; their ability to fight against them needs to be particularly strong, otherwise they will soon collapse.

Investors who study carefully and then trade can be less vulnerable, because they are far less likely to be hit than those who live on technology trading.

In the long run, the value of research is far greater than the value of operation.

If the research is well done, the operation is very simple, just order, not much skill.

The technical investors are very demanding on the operation. He needs to find the key point - the price point and the point of time, that is, the point of time and space, but the probability of finding it is very low, so it is very difficult.

And investors based on fundamental operations only need to find out an interval, for example, the price of cotton can be up to 300 yuan at 12500 yuan per ton, which is easy to close.

Therefore, research is of great value.

People with high operation level are wizards who can not reproduce; ordinary people are more suitable to conduct pactions through research.