A Shares Have Been Consolidated For 3000 To 3100 O'Clock For A Long Time.

Since the middle of September, due to the Fed's interest rate expectations and other factors, the global capital market has been constantly oscillating, and the rainy and rainy trend has brought the Shanghai Composite Index back to the 3002 point on the last day of the holiday.

After the four day of the Mid Autumn Festival holiday, tomorrow, the A share market will usher in the "eventful week". What are the factors that will affect the trend of the A share market in the next week? What are the factors that will affect the trend of the A-share market in the coming week? Will the A shares make their own direction in the week after the contraction of the paction?

If we can give a preface to the major events that may affect the market in the coming week, the September 22nd fed meeting will undoubtedly become the first choice for many people.

Although occurring on the other side of the ocean, adding or not likely to determine the fate of many funds in emerging market economies is undoubtedly an important time for many markets such as exchange market, stock market and so on.

Of course, it is said that the stock market is expected to reflect the market, so this interest conference is so concerned that the important reason is that there are expected ups and downs.

In September 9th, Boston Fed chairman Rosengren suggested that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates sharply, leading to a sharp fall in US stocks on Friday. But in September 12th, before the Mid Autumn Festival, the Fed governor Brainard said that the Fed should avoid removing the support of the US economy too quickly, which strengthened the expectation that the Fed would maintain interest rates unchanged next week.

Some institutional research shows that about 85% of economists expect the Federal Reserve to stay in action in September.

But what kind of impact will this move or immobility bring to the A share market near the 3000 point?

Gui Haoming, chief economist of Shen Wan Hongyuan securities, said: "from the recent relevant economic data released by the United States, the possibility of not raising interest rates is slightly larger. However, stocks are now adjusting, so I believe that even raising interest rates may not have a direct impact on the market."

If investors' confidence is strengthened, the market is expected to choose upward. "A shares have been consolidated for 3000 long to 3100 o'clock in recent years. They should belong to the trend of shrinkage inventory."

After the Spring Festival, the bottom of the market is actually rising. Until now, I think that the trend of the slow cow has been established.

In the next year or so, it will be a trend of a slow cow.

Aside from other people's affairs, there will be many things in the A share market in the coming week.

The first to bear in mind is the purchase of new shares, which is also a worry about the withdrawal of funds. Undoubtedly, there will be subtle psychological changes in funds at key time points.

Statistics show that after the holidays, A shares will usher in a small upsurge in the purchase of new shares, a total of 9.

In the coming week, the Changshu bank and the Hangzhou bank on Friday will receive much attention. They will issue 222 million shares and 262 million shares respectively on Tuesday.

Although such a scale in the banking sequence is nothing, it is a time bomb for the current A share market, which is not compatible with people and funds are not abundant.

However, Yang Delong, chief economist of Qianhai open source, believes that the impact of new stock purchase is limited.

He pointed out that "next week, new shares purchase more, the purchase of new shares are mainly some new funds, and this part of the funds are not much related to the two tier market, focusing on doing new.

Another part of the fund is some low position investors, taking idle funds to fight new.

Therefore, the impact of new marketing on the market has been relatively small.

In particular, it is not necessary to make payment in advance.

The impact on the market has been greatly reduced. "

In addition, the lifting of the ban on the sale of restricted shares, which is usually not at all, may also be a worrying factor at this time.

According to statistics, in the coming week, as many as 26 stocks in two cities are facing the lifting of restrictions on restricted shares, and 3 billion 800 million shares will be added up. The market value will reach 88 billion 120 million yuan at the closing price in September 14th, a significant increase over the previous week.

Yang Hai, senior strategist of open source securities, believes that the lifting of the ban is mainly concentrated on small cap stocks.

"After the lifting of the ban, the pressure of liquidation is indeed a very important issue in the two tier market this year. The economic situation is not good. Many shareholders after the lifting of the ban share some requests for an extension of the lockup period, some even increase their holdings, but some of them have also been reduced. This part of the reduction pressure is mainly from the small and medium sized boards and the growth enterprise market.

Because their stock price is relatively high. "

Of course, for 4 days' rest.

Nor is it good news.

Heaven palace two on the mid autumn night of the smooth flying sky how can also be able to boost the space plate's holiday hot news.

In September 14th, the State Energy Administration issued the first batch of 20 solar thermal power demonstration projects, which should also bring some stimulation to the relevant sectors.

Apple's 7 debut also made Apple Corp's stock price climbing during the Mid Autumn Festival holiday. There are still quite a few stocks in the A share market.

How many of the reports of international investors investing in the multi A share market before the holidays are really from the heart, the market and investors have their own judgement.

Lido and you come to me, Gui Haoming, chief analyst of Shen Wan Hongyuan securities, believes that it is difficult for the market to make a directional choice quickly. "Before going weak, we still need to have a bottom process, which is dominated by weak or partial shocks. Only after three thousand points are effectively supported, can we get a little stronger."