Why China Indirectly Promoted The Success Of Trump'S General Election?
According to reports, a team of four economists recently studied voting in general elections in some counties of the United States.
Since 2002, the import volume of these areas from China has increased significantly, causing serious impact on the local industry.
The team found that in general, compared with the rate of support given by George Bush in 2000, the county's support for Trump increased by two percentage points from 2002 to 2002 when the local market imports from China increased by one percentage point.
Several are responsible for studying China.
American economy
The influential economists believe that China indirectly promoted the success of Trump's general election.
These researchers have found that with the increasing import volume of the United States from this Asian power, people in parts of the Midwest and southeastern regions of the United States will be more receptive to Trump's anti free trade policy.
In areas where the local economy is less affected by China's imports, such as the vast plains of the Great Plains, China's political impact is negligible.
In areas where the local economy is heavily hamper by China's imports, such as swing states, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Michigan, China has a significant impact on the general election.
For example, in the county of the county of wispek, from China.
Import volume
Rose 2.4 percentage points, compared with the local support rate for Bush in 2000, the approval rate for Trump increased by 8.7%.
For example, in Blanche County, Michigan, imports from China increased by 3 percentage points, and correspondingly the approval rate for the Republican candidate rose by 13.3%.
Many swing counties have been using furniture, electronics, toys, and so on.
clothing
And shoes as their pillar industries, they have been seriously impacted by China's imports.
Many of them also broke the balance in the presidential election of November, supporting Trump in succession.
David Donne, an economist at the University of Zurich, says there is no need to vote so that some states can reverse the water.
The study also took part in the study from David oak of Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Gordon Hansen of University of California at San Diego and Kaweg Marasi of Lund University in Sweden.
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Donne also said that the presidential election in many states is quite intense, and many other factors will exert some influence on it. For example, the number of voters and the director of the Federal Bureau of investigation, James Kemi, announced the resumption of the investigation of Hilary's "mail door".
He said that the current research team composed of economists has only studied the impact of China on the US presidential election.
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Since the beginning of the primary election, Americans have had a hard time avoiding this Trump.
This big mouth with love and hate has stories every day.
Over the past 200 years, the four year old political drama has been stylized and turned into a political science.
However, the rule of procedure is also there, and it is broken by people.
No, Trump has made history and created history. He is definitely a phenomenal figure. His campaign is absolutely phenomenal.
Trump is certainly a focus of observation of the US general election.
After winning the first victory in New Hampshire, Trump invited a reporter to join him in a special plane to the next station, Rally New York.
The reporter, who was flattered by surprise, got to know that the destination of the flight was temporarily changed to Florida. When they got off the plane, they came to a family farm in Florida, Trump, where there were more than 200 "servants".
What do we do here in such a tight election campaign? This reporter is really a little bit "the emperor is not anxious, eunuch urgent".
Trump said, take you to play, take a rest, spend the weekend.
By the way, look at the woman, hey, buddy, there are beautiful women on the beach in Florida.
This is the latest news that we heard locally on the day of Trump's victory.
Obviously, Trump is the most casual and most capricious one in the race for the fifty-eighth US presidents.
In this election, Trump acts differently from any other candidate.
This is the first conclusion in Trump's observation.
Such a special way of action, from time to time, challenging the US political correctness of the runaway election campaign, Trump is confident, winning all the way, singing triumphantly.
What is that all about?
In this regard, not only are we watching and thinking, but American political analysts and media opinion are more concerned.
After the primary election of South Carolina, we almost asked Trump.
American experts, media and even ordinary people have different views on Trump's nature. Our view is that although it looks very similar, Trump's "running" is definitely not "drunk driving".
In modern elections, slogans reflecting the campaign agenda are decisive.
Judging from the reactions of students and recent extensive observations, Trump's campaign slogan was successful in content and form at least in the field of communication.
In other words, Trump's seemingly arbitrary and arbitrary campaign strategy is effective.
This is the second conclusion in Trump's observation.
The next question is, what is the result of this wonderful election campaign? From the analysis commentary of American media and political analysts, and our own observation visit, the core message we get is that Trump is the most direct, most shrewd, or most sincere person in this election.
In addition, he was not a politician, but an outsider, which greatly strengthened the credibility of Trump's image. He did not look like other politicians, always wearing a mask, always correct to be leaky.
I see, Trump is in the "naked election".
Electable is an important and subtle thing in American election culture.
To some extent, the washability is the cognition and identification of voters' personality (personality).
According to the wisdom of China, Trump is "lost in the East, and gains everything."
The "naked election" strategy has won Trump's option.
This is the third conclusion in Trump's observation.
Analysis of form and content.
Another anomaly of trump pucco's campaign lies in his extreme election agenda, ideas and policy.
Politics is the art of balancing interests. Politicians always take care of all aspects.
But Trump did not seem to understand all of this. He always said, "the language is not amazing." in general, like Trump, he did not need to say victory.
But Trump's posture is not afraid of slamming, enjoying ridicule, and even intentionally exposing some flaws, such as last weekend's news with reporters in Florida.
Trump is very abnormal, and what does he mean by "Chang"? Obviously, he is deliberately pulling away from the new and old politicians such as Hilary, Jeb Bush, and Saunders and Rubio.
Look! My Trump and you guys are different from head to toe, from inside to outside.
Trump is a successful real estate agent, and he has run a talk show. His speech with other candidates is basically not on a horizontal line.
Trump on the stage is lively and free.
His squinting eyes were always hidden in cunning eyes, and he was very conscious of the changing situation.
Eight years ago, Obama's campaign slogan was "change"! What has changed in the United States in the past eight years? That is, the American people, at least a considerable part of the American people, are more dissatisfied with the political reality and are more disgusted with traditional politicians.
Recently, a poll showed that the American people's satisfaction rate for Congress was only 10%, and this time Trump stood opposite to three senators.
The most important thing for a politician is to assess the situation. Is there not a famous pair in Wuhou Temple of Chengdu, China? "If we do not judge the situation, it will be too wide and strict", then what is the right time to play? Is it not how to play? All right, Trump said.
That's right! Trump's seemingly random and even weird behavior has a social psychological foundation in the US at present.
This is the fourth conclusion in Trump's observation.
Unlike all politicians elected, Trump's political ideas and policy proposals are straightforward and even extreme.
This was also a taboo, but the election showed that Trump's policy was approved by a considerable number of voters.
These days, the name of Trump always reminds me of the word "Occam razor".
After careful consideration, in fact, Trump's policy proposition is not out of line. He actually has all the other parties in the policy basket.
What is different is that Trump has said that they are both simple and extreme.
The characteristic of policy is that the more comprehensive and rigorous it is, the harder it is to implement it.
Because the conditions and costs of achieving optimal solutions are often the highest.
Therefore, the best solution is always difficult to implement.
As a successful entrepreneur, Trump is well aware of this.
When Chirac, Saunders, little Bush, Rubio, etc., solemnly brag their best governing plan, Trump faced the problem and put forward the most simple and easy solution to every problem.
What a complicated world the president of the United States is facing today! Trump often makes such a statement in his speech: how can we do this? It's easy to do. When can it be done? It can be done at once!
A lot of experiments and practical experience in political sociology show that when a variety of solutions to a social problem lie ahead, people tend to choose the simplest and quickest plan.
Don't forget, when Soviet Union and East Europe changed dramatically, the Soviet liberals and the Conservatives ran for election. In the face of the old Soviet Union's pile up problems, the Liberals actually proposed the "five hundred day plan" (Stalin plan), while the conservative Soviet bureaucrats put forward a long winded plan.
How did it go? People had a "five hundred day plan"!
Facing the changes of the times and facing many difficult and difficult problems in the American society, Trump proposed the most simple and feasible solution to the complicated and changeable international situation.
Under the current circumstances, Trump's plan can be understood and accepted by the general public in the United States.
At the same time, Trump is more and more valued and taken seriously by the American elite.
This is the fifth conclusion that Trump observed.
Guo Guangchang, chairman of Fosun, said Trump would not turn threats to China into action.
Guo Guangchang, the chairman and billionaire of Fosun Group, said that the US President designate Trump is unlikely to carry out the trade protectionist commitment during the election campaign.
This once again shows that China's rich are betting that the world's two largest economies will not be on the opposite side.
As one of the most active Chinese companies in the field of acquisition, Fosun Group owns the Liberty28 building of Wall Street.
According to Bloomberg TV's broadcast show on Thursday, Guo Guangchang said the group would continue to invest in the US, and said that the interests of China and the US were too large for a trade war.
He said that Trump may not really do some of the things he promised during the campaign. He also saw this in previous presidents.
"I have a little expectation that a President born by a businessman will bring something different to the United States," Guo Guangchang said.
"I believe both leaders of China and the United States have the wisdom to find the best cooperation point."
Guo Guangchang's remarks show that Chinese leaders have stopped paying too much attention to these campaign slogans after being threatened by Trump for more than a year - from China as a currency manipulator to a 45% tariff on Chinese products.
Last week, Wang Jianlin, a rapidly rising Hollywood tycoon, said he was not worried about the outcome of the US presidential election and expressed "warm congratulations" to Trump.
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