At Present, The Gem Does Not Mean That There Is Any Possibility Of Reversal.

The gem and the GEM board have fallen below all the moving average, especially the gem, which means that the EMA system has already been arranged in a short way. Although the system of the moving average has already been arranged in a short way, it is still near the 1950 point line of the gap, but there is a certain support. However, it can basically be sure to make up for the gap. As for the gap, whether it will accelerate the downlink or continue to shake, still need to wait and see, but we can make it clear that at present, the gem does not have any possibility of reversing.

There was a big drop in the market on Monday, and the gem fell 5.5% on that day, creating the biggest drop in the single day in the second half of the year. The breakup on Monday was mainly due to the closing of the last week's weekly closing of all the weekly average system, and the weekly average line system formed a short order. After two days of calm at the weekend, investors could see that the breakup was coming.

The overall decline in stock index is smaller than the growth enterprise market. At present, there has been a significant difference between the two. The stock index is a long and medium term upward shock, and there are many important support below.

It is inevitable that innovation will be low after the mid and long term.

The stock index has strong support at 3100 points and frontline. However, as an important increment fund, the venture capital has been instructed by the management's window, and has cut off the incremental capital source of blue chips and white horse stocks. Under the premise that there is no incremental capital to enter the market at present, the stock index even has been supported by 3100 points and one line. At most, there has been a weak rebound near the 3100 point.

It is difficult to produce a reversal signal similar to the heavy line.

In addition, there are two gaps in the stock market below the 3010 points and 2920 points below the gap. Once the week falls below 3100, there will be no support below.

Liquidity is also not optimistic. On Thursday

The impact of the five year Treasury futures contract and the ten year Treasury futures contract hit the limit, reaching the limit for the first time since the listing of treasury bond futures, and there is still room for further downside in the short term.

Shanghai interbank 7 day interbank offered rate continued to rise to 2.505%, a new high in the past 15 months. Although the central bank's open market operation on Thursday made a net investment of 145 billion yuan, it could not alleviate the financial strain. Considering the expectations of the market for the reduction of 0.5%, the current market gap should be around 5000-6000 billion yuan.

The sharp fall in the price of treasury bond futures will directly lead to the downward trend of large bond funds and a negative pmission between the institutions. If the price of treasury bonds and treasury bonds futures further descend, the increase in the sale of Treasuries will have a negative impact on the entire stock market, and will not even rule out the downward trend of the stock market and bond market.

One of the highlights of this week is the central economic work conference. The meeting will determine the orientation of macroeconomic policy next year, set the fiscal policy and monetary policy, and predict that financial stability, fiscal reform, reform of state-owned enterprises and prevention and control of inflation will become an important task for next year.

Finally, according to the current market situation, the negative factors are more than the positive ones. The uncertainty is greater than the certainty. It can be judged that the current market adjustment is not over yet. The optimistic situation is to adjust the relay. In January next year, although the capital is improving, the majority of investors are not in love with the Spring Festival.

Therefore, in the absence of a clear market bottoming, volume rise and recovery, investors should try their best to keep their positions closed and not blindly enter the market. Investors who are still in a heavy position can rebate every time and avoid the big fluctuations caused by uncertainties.

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