How Should Investors Invest In Stocks?
In the end of 2016, the war was finally announced.
"Short" is not the person who shorts the Chinese stock market, but the result of the final game between the two parties in 2017.
The results indicate that there will be no continuous systemic opportunities in 2017, but the activity of individual stocks is expected to be better than that in 2016.
Take some black horses in the fourth quarter of 2016, for example, there are some opportunities for emergencies, which belong to the characteristics of pure hot money, such as the concept of shared economy, and the representative species is Shanghai Phoenix.
The bicycle industry is also a new industry in the sunset industry, and its stock price has reached a new high. Some opportunities belong to mixed characteristics, such as new retail. In essence, it belongs to a mixture of the anticipation of stock pfer and the new retail concept, which represents Sanjiang's shopping. Some opportunities belong to the opportunity of the reform, such as mixed pformation, the representative variety is China Unicom and zhe Zhong share; some opportunities are to link up the core of all chains, such as equity pfer, reorganization and merger.
The representative variety was Sichuan double horse in the early stage, and recently it was *ST Black Panther.
It is possible for people with a heart to see that, aside from the concept of high seasonal pfer, most of the mainstream black horse groups have one of the most important keywords: equity.
Equity changes, equity reform and asset restructuring.
In the fourth quarter of 2016, a medium and long term theme emerged, indicating that the theme of 2017 will continue to expand and grow.
But a single main line is very easy to fatigue, so long as it does not appear.
Systemic risk
Opportunities for timeliness will also be exploited.
It is estimated that the new dark horse that may happen during the pre disclosure period of the 2017 annual report comes from some of the groups whose performance exceeds expected growth. Another group worthy of attention in the second half of 2017 will come from a large number of new shares listed in the second half of 2016 and the first half of 2017.
The number of groups will expand to hundreds of years next year, unprecedented in nature, and will naturally become a new plate.
However, the valuation of these varieties is far higher than that of comparable industries.
Now the financing environment is hot, the whole nation is sweepy lottery, the issuing speed is almost the same as the registration system.
With the super smooth IPO financing of emerging industries, the "interest driving force" stage of GEM has been lost.
Structured opportunities, such as semiconductor industry chain, Internet of things, smart healthcare, smart city, 5G development, and chip localization, are expected.
But from a system perspective, it is difficult to get out of the overall market.
The gem is being suppressed. At this stage, the other leg of economic structural pformation can only be chosen: the innovation and upgrading of traditional industries, so that the mixed ownership reform becomes a totem of reward market, and profit seeking people are looking for maps.
From central enterprises to local state-owned enterprises, maps spread quickly, but excessive speculation will be harmful to the market.
Market
Since the adjustment of 3301 points, we have started to pick up after dropping to 3068.
As for the nature of this pick-up, there has been a great difference between the market participants.
On the other hand, the rise of the 3068 point is a new rising band.
Since it is a new rising band, it will surely hit a new high of 3301 last November 29th.
According to such a judgement, the Shanghai Composite Index will have the opportunity to test more than 3500 points in the first half of this year.
On the empty side, the rally at the 3068 point is only a rebound relative to the 3301 point adjustment.
The height of its rebound is hard to surmount 3250 points.
Once the rebound is completed, the market will once again be adjusted downward and retest the support strength of the 3000 point.
According to this view, it is only in the second half of the year that 3301 points will be able to test whether or not to go beyond the next rising band.
On the surface, this is just a question of when the market will challenge 3301 points.
But from the point of view of market research, this is a major problem in determining the nature of bands and operating strategies.
And I stand on the "empty" side, to be accurate, for this year's market market, the first half of the author in the first half of the second half of the second half.
The main reasons and logic are as follows:
First, the birth of the 3301 point was generated under the conditions of risk capital plus leverage.
Today, there is no strong mechanism plus leverage, without digesting and settling, the 3301 point is hard to overcome again.
Second, when the new president of the United States takes office, there may be many variables in the world's politics and economy.
In the first half of the year, it is precisely the time period for countries to explore and collide with each other, and the impact on the market environment is self-evident.
Third, from the technical aspect, the author also gets the same conclusion.
A shares
In the first half of the year, the rate of shocks was adjusted.
Because the 3301 point to 3068 point reduction is a 5 wave decline in structure, which means that this wave is only the first adjustment band at 3301 point in the medium term adjustment. After a short rally, there should be second adjustment bands.
Before the completion of the second adjustment bands, the probability of rising bands and the high innovation rate is small.
For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats net report.
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