The Yellow River'S Cotton Rising Atmosphere Is Picking Up.

According to cotton farmers, the number of seed cotton in recent years is small, but the number of cotton ginning plants is even less.

As seed cotton fell, cotton seeds in the the Yellow River Valley fell steadily and rose individually.

According to the feedback from the oil refineries, the cottonseed market is generally in good market in recent years, and there is a tendency to recover lost territory.

According to statistics, as of early January,

Seed cotton purchase progress is about 85%, cotton farmers still have a small amount of seed cotton, not only the main body of the acquisition, but also sporadic cotton distribution, most of them are responsible cotton farmers, cotton farmers are lazy to sell, enterprises are more lazy to accept, resulting in a slow acquisition phenomenon.

Market analysis, cotton seed strong reasons, first, the number of cottonseed is small. Up to now, the entire the Yellow River basin continues to process seed cotton 400 type cotton ginning factory not more than 20, cottonseed output is less; two is near the end of the year, cottonseed oil cottonseed meal sales rebounded, the price rose slightly, also for cotton seed belt to certain support.

However, from the perspective of market feedback, there is still a hint of warmth in the market.

According to a market analysis, there is still hope for cotton in the near future.

The tight supply and demand situation of cotton will be the main keynote this year.

Preliminary statistics show that the cotton output in 2016 will not exceed 5 million tons, and the gap of about 3000000 tons can not be ignored.

Even in March 2017, the national cotton mill went out or extended 2016.

"Good play", cotton prices do not fall or rise.

To sum up, the recent market is intertwined, and the future ups and downs are unforeseeable.

After the rapid decline of Zheng cotton, it has been lower than the cost of warehouse receipts. It has rebounded slightly under the promotion of the bottom money. Due to the difficulty of spot sales, the price center of gravity has shifted downward, and the willingness to spot guarantee is strong.

The Spring Festival holiday is approaching, and the intensity of spot replenishment is smaller than expected. The current basis is narrowed, the pressure of the hedge market is short, and the hard disk is hard to do before the holiday.

Global supply is abundant, consumption is weak, textile trade friction is increasing, and bad cotton prices are still having room for callback in the near future.

According to statistics of processing enterprises, new cotton sales of about 2400000 tons, plus circulation inventory, commercial inventory of more than 2 million 500 thousand tons, the removal of the Spring Festival holiday, the sale time is only 1 and a half months, at least 1 million 500 thousand tons of new cotton need to sell after the turn out, the annual shipments will increase, mainland package factory all want to clear up to go home for the new year.

The price of the bank is generally down by 100-200 yuan / ton, and the pportation price has eased, the freight price has decreased by 50-100 yuan / ton, and the spot quotation in the mainland has dropped synchronously, and the actual paction price has dropped by 100-200 yuan / ton.

Xinjiang library "double 29B" gross weight 15500-15800 yuan / ton, "double 28B" 15300-15500 yuan / ton; the inland bank quotes "double 29B" weight 16200-16400 yuan / ton, "double 28B" 16000-16200 yuan / ton, strong low, horse value C2 has 16000 yuan / ton below the turnover; cotton gross weight 14800-15600 yuan / ton, American cotton 16600-17000 yuan / ton, Australia cotton 17000-17500 yuan / ton, India cotton 16000-16200 yuan / ton, the overall sales are not smooth.

Cotton mills generally promoted the return of funds a year ago, and the price of cotton yarn steadily decreased.

Prices fell, the supply of goods in the mainland increased, the cotton mill wait-and-see sentiment increased, and more strategies were followed. The intensity of the replenishment was less than that of previous years.

In the case of futures discount, there are cotton mill enterprises buying hedging in futures to reduce procurement costs and reduce capital occupation.

With the coming of the Spring Festival, the sales intention is strong, and the high position hedging warehouse receipts will be able to cash in the profits and sell the stock spot years ago. The coming of the wheel is coming, the psychological pressure is great, and the spot market is showing a drop in the whole market.

Zheng cotton is in a low position, and is more than spot discount. It sells short positions in the hedge market, and has a small increase under the impetus of multi position.

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