The Market'S Main Body'S "Rejection" Mentality Rises This Year, Cotton Production Is Not Optimistic.

The drought in Xinjiang cotton area has been aggravated recently.

According to Akesu, Kashi and other places, at present, the cotton plant height 80-110cm has all entered the bud boll stage and the yield forming stage, and has higher requirements for water and fertilizer.

Since July, Xinjiang has been experiencing continuous high temperature and little rain. Cotton drought is becoming more and more serious.

Recently, the the Yellow River River Basin has also been subject to continuous high temperature and low rainfall. Most of the cotton fields in Hebei and Shandong are showing drought. Some cotton farmers predict that cotton production is not optimistic this year.

Recent market main body's "rejection" psychology rises, causes the cotton price to stabilize in the weak trend.

Some traders and cotton merchants went up the stock mentality. 15 days, 13 grade reserve real estate cotton, horse value B2, fiber length 28 millimeters, the price of 14200-14300 yuan / ton, small drop 50 yuan / ton.

Other raw materials, polyester staple fiber prices continue to rise during the week.

The overall market is relatively light, prices are stable, orders are few.

According to manufacturers, as the lower part of the factory summer vacation, orders reduced, spinning production also reduced production.

Air spinning prices are generally stable, orders remain, most manufacturers rush to make orders, full load production.

However, some manufacturers in the Yellow River basin said that because of high temperatures, workers' heatstroke prevention is a big problem, and manufacturers are paying more for them.

Recent pure polyester and polyester cotton yarn prices continue to rise, according to analysis, the recent pure polyester yarn, polyester cotton yarn price increase is mainly due to the rise of upstream raw materials.

The running trend of pure cotton yarn is relatively stable. Some parts of the northern part of the country have a slight fluctuation in recent years, and the stock of South of Jiangsu and Zhejiang is higher.

Pure polyester yarn trading atmosphere generally, the price is strong, local small rise, T45S trading volume is better, other specifications turnover is relatively stable.

The price of human cotton yarn has been steadily increased, which is larger than that of R30S.

Polyester cotton yarn volume generally, individual price increases slightly.

Polyester and viscose yarn 40S/2 trading volume is slightly better.

Basically stable.

At present, the inventory of screen factory has been in the process of gradual increase, most of the 25 days, the start rate is slightly down, and the sales of different specifications have the phenomenon of pfer, the overall post order follow-up strength is not good, the manufacturers are less confident in the future.

Pure cotton yarn is weak, negotiable price falls down. A factory in Jiangsu has a JC40S high price of 25500-25700 yuan / ton. Actually, it talks about the preferential purchase of orders, and businesses look down on the market.

Recently, the price of polyester staple fiber has been raised. The pure polyester yarn of Changyi, Shandong is locally fine-tuning. The original white quality is 32S. The price is 13000-15500 yuan / ton short, and the pure black 32S offers 12500 yuan / ton short delivery.

Sheng Zechun's quotation has steadily increased, 32S quoted 12300 yuan / ton, 45S rose 200 yuan, quoted 13000 yuan / ton, and sales of individual specifications were acceptable.

China, India and the United States

The growth is good, and the increase in supply side makes it difficult for cotton prices to rise again.

In addition, the national cotton store auction continued in 2017 and lasted until August 31st.

According to the current auction rate of national cotton and cotton sold at 70%, it is estimated that domestic cotton supply is adequate and price increases are not supported.

For the future market, although the domestic cotton growth is good, the market for 2017/18 cotton production is expected to occupy the mainstream view, price down is also digesting this factor.

The increase in output is bound to modify the logic of investment in 2016, but the gap between cotton production and marketing is still there, and as China's cotton inventories continue to decrease, the decline in cotton prices will become smaller in the coming half year.

If there is no extreme weather in the late stage, the listing time of new cotton has not been greatly postponed. In the later stage, the main contract of zhengmian will maintain the 14500-15500 yuan / ton Interval Oscillation trend as a whole.

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