Textile Headlines "Stable" In The First Half Of The Year And "Change" In The Second Half Of The Year: China Textile Federation'S Economic Operation Analysis Will Be Held In The First Half Of 2018.

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Industry 2018

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In the first half of 2018, the world economy accelerated recovery, and the domestic economy improved steadily, creating a relatively good market demand environment. China's textile and clothing exports and domestic market overall achieved good growth, providing a fundamental support for the textile industry to maintain a stable operation situation.

The industry has further pushed forward the structural reform of supply side. The characteristics of high quality development are more obvious. The economic indicators such as production, marketing, efficiency and investment are all characterized by structural adjustment, and the operation quality and efficiency have been improved compared with the first quarter.

Ye Jianchun, vice president of China Cotton Textile Industry Association, said that from the perspective of economic benefits, the cotton textile industry in the first half of the year was stable and good.

There are a large number of enterprises in the cotton textile cluster area, and the scale is different. The industrial chain is relatively complete. To a certain extent, it can reflect the development of the backbone of the industry.

Investigation and understanding, cotton textile industry started well in 2018, the number of orders was large, the amount of single row was large, and the opening rate of equipment basically remained 100%.

Since 2018, the company has been running well, with sufficient orders, smooth production and marketing, basically no inventory, and continuous improvement in operating conditions.

In the field of technical reform, the process of intellectualization of textile enterprises, led by large backbone enterprises, is the best.

For the development of 2018, the Sino US trade frictions have shown an upgrades trend, and the follow-up development of textile trade needs close attention. At present, the supply of cotton in the national storage tank is sufficient, with the new 800 thousand tons of cotton quotas added, the domestic cotton supply and demand can be smoothly pferred to the new cotton market; the output of the gauze has maintained a small increase; the industry operation is smooth, the main business income, the main business profit growth and the loss surface decrease.

The first half of 2018 was introduced at the meeting.

The basic situation of the industry, the upward trend of international oil prices, the enormous pressure on the cost of the chemical fiber industry, pushing up the price of the synthetic fiber Market shifted upward.

Judging from the first half of the year, the profit growth of chemical fiber has decreased, but the overall operation of the industry has achieved good results.

Sub industry operation differentiation, presents ice and fire dual situation.

Investment continues to rebound and production capacity is concentrated in the release stage, especially in polyester and viscose staple industry.

Demand: 7-8 months into the industry in the traditional off-season, demand may be weakened, but downstream capacity has increased, the traditional peak season in 9-10 is still worth looking forward to, the overall demand in the second half should be a small increase.

On the export side, trade protectionism is intensifying and trade frictions between China and the United States are escalating.

For the second half of the forecast of the chemical fiber industry: crude oil: from the supply and demand side, the OPEC countries will increase production, the US crude oil output will continue to grow, and the supply and demand pattern of crude oil in the second half of this year may be a small surplus.

The strong dollar will also cause pressure on oil prices.

However, the international oil price has been separated from the marginal pricing period of shale oil, and the uncertainty of oil price is increasing at present.

The operation of chemical fiber industry: the new capacity is further released, some old factories are restarted, and the supply side is expanded again.

But the growth of downstream demand is limited, and the instability of exports, the tight balance between supply and demand of polyester (polyester) will probably be broken.

The depreciation of RMB will lead to the rising cost of imported raw materials.

It is expected that the quality and efficiency of the industry will be less than half a year.

Ding Sijia, China's printing and dyeing industry association, made a report on the operation of the printing and dyeing industry in the first half of 2018 and the trend prediction in the second half of the year. The overall keynote of China's economy has shifted from "high speed growth stage" to "high quality development stage", from a stage dominated by quantity expansion to a new stage based on quality improvement.

In the first half of 2018, the quality of printing and dyeing industry remained relatively stable under the condition of a sharp drop in output growth.

The main problem facing the printing and dyeing industry is that the environmental storm is both a challenge and an opportunity.

It is true that environmental protection has brought short-term pain to the printing and dyeing industry.

In the long run, it is good for the industry to win the fittest. Printing and dyeing enterprises can increase their competitiveness in the face of adversity and grasp the opportunity to reshuffle the industry.

Simply shutting down enterprises, limiting production and banning EIA is a "blockage".

What the printing and dyeing industry needs is "sparse" -- adjusting the structure, changing the way, optimizing the technological route, and taking the road of circular development.

It is estimated that the output of printing and dyeing fabrics will continue to be negative during the "12th Five-Year" period in the printing and dyeing industry. The main economic indicators such as revenue and profit of the main business will remain at a low level, and exports are expected to maintain growth momentum. The overall production cost of printing and dyeing industry will remain at a high level. The overall production and operation situation of the industry is still grim, and the development of high-quality industry will become more urgent. 2018.

Express,

Since 2018, the textile machinery industry has continued to promote intelligent manufacturing and adjust and optimize its industrial structure. With the further upgrading of the textile industry upgrading and upgrading of equipment and the steady progress of the "one belt and one road" initiative in the international market, the textile machinery industry has continued its growth since last year, and the main economic indicators have maintained growth, thus achieving a smooth operation of the industry.

Du Yanbing, Deputy Secretary General of China clothing association, introduced the economic performance of China's garment industry in the first half of 2018. He said that in 2018, China's garment industry insisted on deepening the reform of the supply side structure, and continued to promote the pformation and upgrading of the industry.

Production output has declined, the decline has been increasing month by month, exports have declined slightly, domestic sales have been growing steadily and rapidly, negative investment growth has been narrowed, the decline has narrowed, the quality and efficiency are basically stable, and the profit pressure has increased.

In anticipation of the development of China's apparel industry in the second half of 2018, he said that China's garment industry will continue to deepen the reform of the supply side structure and vigorously promote the effective implementation of the "three products" strategy. It is expected that the garment industry will continue to maintain a relatively stable development trend in 2018.

Liu Yaozhong, deputy director of the China Textile International Trade Office, made a report on the progress of Sino US trade friction and its impact on the textile industry. He said that the United States is the largest single country market for China's textile and clothing exports. China is also the primary importing country of textile and clothing in the United States. After joining the WTO, China's textile and clothing exports to the United States experienced rapid growth to a stable process.

The impact of this Sino US trade friction on the textile industry is mainly related to trade, employment, investment and industrial chain. In this regard, China Textile Industry Federation actively cooperate with the relevant ministries and commissions of the state to carry out Sino US trade research, and make full efforts to safeguard the interests of the textile industry, and put forward relevant policy proposals: strengthen ties with the US textile and garment industry organizations and actively communicate with the United States after the escalation of the situation; stabilize foreign trade, reduce factor costs, further reform the cotton import quota system, let the industry regain a more equitable international competition environment for trade, propose to further lower taxes and fees, continue to lower the value added tax rate, and adopt a reduction or suspension of social security payments in the provinces that are exported to the United States to ensure steady employment.

In the concluding remarks, Gao Yong, secretary and Secretary General of the China Textile Industry Federation, pointed out that according to the analysis of the Ministry of industry and the relevant professional associations, the economic situation of the textile industry in the first half of this year can be described as a "stable" character.

First, the two sides are stable. In the first half of the year, the prices of cotton and chemical fiber are relatively stable.

Prices of wool and silk are at a high level, but they are relatively stable.

On the other hand, the market is relatively stable, and exports have changed from negative growth to a slight increase. The growth of domestic consumption has made up for part of the export growth.

Therefore, the two sides are stable, making the entire middle manufacturing link in a relatively stable state.

The overall benefit is slightly lower than that in the second half of last year, but it is also in a relatively stable state.

The industry situation in the second half of the year is expected to revolve around a "change" word, but it is not a big change.

At first, on the raw material and cotton policy, there will be some adjustment in the second half of the year. The import quota will include the impact of Sino US trade war on cotton prices. The second half of this year will be revealed. Meanwhile, oil prices are more volatile recently, so raw materials are expected to increase in the second half of the year.

From the market perspective, the second half is expected to not change too much, domestic consumption may be slightly lower than the first half of the year, exports, Sino US trade friction has not yet touched on clothing and home textiles two main exports to the United States.

Therefore, in the second half of the year, the overall trend of the whole industry is still stable despite changing the word.

Gao Yong suggested adding some structural analysis when analyzing the economic operation of the entire textile industry.

For the sales market, the impact of domestic consumption structure and new format on traditional formats needs to be analyzed.

In addition, exports have data according to customs statistics. Domestic need to compare physical stores and online sales with the structure of exports.

At the same time, Gao Yong pointed out that the structure of industrial concentration of various professions, and the current situation of the whole manufacturing terminal is better. In fact, the situation of large and medium-sized enterprises is better because the industrial concentration is improving, and the capacity and profit are pferred to large and medium-sized enterprises.

It is hoped that in future analysis of the industry situation, structural analysis will be enhanced, so that the situation of the industry can be more comprehensive.

(China Textile team)