In The First Half Of 2019, The Market Was Unknown. Textile Owners At The End Of The Year Were Rational Stockpiling.

Recently, the raw materials market has received good news: the international oil price has dropped from 9 to seven, which has been a great reversal. PTA futures are up more than 400 points earlier than the beginning of the month, and the production and sale of polyester filament is no longer a "one day tour", which has lasted for six days. During the week of this pet factory's "mirth", many questions emerged: did the downstream really sell the raw materials procurement plan that was "pending and shelved"? How long can this market last?

Weaving, printing and dyeing enterprise holiday notice has been "released", concentrated in January 20-25 days!

From the holiday notice issued by various industrial clusters, we can see that the time for printing and dyeing and weaving enterprises to leave is concentrated on 20-25 days in January. That is to say, in another 1-2 weeks, the textile market will usher in an annual "empty window period".

With the arrival of the Spring Festival holiday, the demand for stocking the Spring Festival has also become the focus of attention. From the market survey, most of the weaving factories in Shengze begin to run at full capacity, mainly in order to reduce the impact of low productivity after the Spring Festival.

"The factory is running at full capacity," he said. "This year we have a relatively heavy trade pressure. Because the stock is not high, the pressure is acceptable. We are ready to leave in January 25th."

The rhythm of buying and buying has begun, but this year's enthusiasm is not as high as ever.

Traditionally, there will be a wave of rising prices in the textile industry in the early spring festival. After all, the demand for Spring Festival hoarding is still very large. However, from this year's survey, it is found that the enthusiasm for stocking the major textile mills is not as high as in recent years. Besides the boom of the fourth quarter industry and the lack of confidence in many textile bosses, the price of raw materials in the early stage has also become one of the factors that restrict them.

Suzhou Pan Yuan Textile Technology Co., Ltd. pan chief said that the company mainly engaged in outdoor fabrics such as Sydney spinning, four rounds, etc. this year, the sales situation is stable, the company's internal and external trade has developed, but because of the order goods, so do not hoard raw materials, are based on the order of the situation and then purchase raw materials.

Wu, who produces four side bombs, also says that the order in the factory can be achieved in March, but it is not very optimistic about the future market, so it is generally not to store up raw materials, and to buy some points according to the order.

In addition to the operation of raw materials purchased by some production orders enterprises, the majority of the weaving enterprises who produce conventional products will still choose to "store goods in moderation".

Yun Jie textile Lv Zong said, "although the market will not be fair next year, the raw materials will still be selectively hoarded, especially the low elastic wire, which will continue to enter the goods for 2 months starting this week."

Wujiang Gu Jie Textile Co., Ltd. Gu also said that after the Spring Festival, raw materials bullish, coupled with more orders on hand, there is no inventory pressure in the factory, so we have already hoarding about 300 tons of raw materials.

Xie manager of Wujiang Zhongwei Textile Co., Ltd. also said that there would be stockpiling operations, but the volume was small. "On the one hand, raw materials need orders for procurement, not excessive storage, and on the other hand, they are concerned about changes in raw material market and their own receivables." He explained.

In addition, many manufacturers said they would keep the raw materials in place in the two weeks before the holiday, and the general storage period was 1-2 months. Compared with the previous years, this year's weaving factories can say that the handwriting of raw materials stockpiling is "small and small." The most important thing is the rising cost, fierce competition and shrinking profits, which has led to the textile owners being more cautious in stockpiling raw materials, and at the end of the year, the funds are generally tight, which further limits the operation of raw materials for stockpiling.

Xia LAN textile manager, who has already prepared the right amount of stock this week, sighed, "at the end of this year, the pressure of accounts receivable is relatively large, and the inventory in the factory is higher than that of the same period last year. The capital occupied by itself is very large, so the material will be hoarding, but it will not be hoarding. This era is still an era of cash being king, so we can put money in our own hands to operate more flexibly."

Before the holidays, can we buy a wave after the holidays? Will this happen again this year?

From the recent production and sales trend chart of polyester factories, we can see that the production and marketing of polyester enterprises has broken hundreds of times this year. This is still not easy to perform in the polyester factory's overhaul period. Compared with the previous one, it has been greatly improved. How long can this market continue? In the past years, "old master" would say: a year ago, a wave will be bought after a year, so will this kind of operation happen this year?

During the visit, more than 8 of the textile enterprises started to work in the eight to the early tenth of the year. They either replenish the raw materials according to the order, or take the strategy of not buying.

"The raw material market is uncertain after the Spring Festival," said Gu Gu, manager of the textile industry. "It is still necessary to see the market of specific raw materials, but the surrounding looms are coming up, and the rent and labor costs are getting higher and higher. Weaving enterprises' profit situation is not a concept, so next year's operation is prudent."

Yu Jie textile Gu Gu also admitted that after the start of eight, the purchase of raw materials will not be considered for the time being. It can be seen that on the one hand, the raw materials for purchasing before the Spring Festival are enough. On the other hand, the market outlook is generally empty.

Based on the above analysis, most textile bosses are more worried about the continuation of the hot market trend in the first half of 2019, and at the same time, they are also afraid of the sharp rise and fall of raw materials. In the era of fierce competition and low profit margins, the bargaining power of weaving factories is gradually losing. Therefore, every decision must be cautious. Therefore, from the end of the year, the amount of stockpiling will be reduced compared with before or after the Spring Festival, and the demand for raw materials will not be strong after the Spring Festival.