Why Are There So Many Differences Between Last Year And This Year?
Although the production and sale of polyester products came to a small climax in the end of July, the production and sales of 31 days were about 130%, and the production and sales of 30 days were over 200%. However, the whole month was still not satisfactory, especially in terms of terminal demand.
The same is the textile off-season, last year "off-season not light", but this year "off-season is more light", in fact, there are similarities and differences between them.
Same points
The future of Sino US trade is uncertain, which makes it difficult to make orders.
Since the beginning of last year, Sino US relations have been in a stage of fluctuation. The prospect is very complicated, which has affected the export share of textiles to the United States. Many of us have begun to take a wait-and-see attitude. The list has been cautious. How to treat each other's tariffs is also difficult to solve. More and more orders are flowing to the Southeast Asian market, which are impeding the development of the domestic textile industry.
Difference
PTA affects the textile market to the left or right.
Whether this year or last year, the market of the weaving market has been affected by PTA, but the difference is that in April last year, PTA began to continue to rush upward, driving the weaving market began to improve. By July, the appearance of market outburst began to appear.
This year, PTA has skyrocketed and plummeted. The downstream weaving mills are more afraid to store up goods in the off-season, and lack of market confidence.
Polyester filament prices affect buyers desire to buy!
Last year, with the strong driving force of PTA, the price of polyester filament began to soar, and weaving manufacturers continued to sell goods and store goods for production.
At the end of June and early July this year, the polyester filament rose a wave price following the PTA skyrocketing situation, but the weaving manufacturer did not buy it. The production and sale of polyester filament remained in the doldrums, and the raw material merchant had to reduce the price again. Although the production and sales at the end of the month have picked up, it is customary to resume production and sales at the end of the month.
This year, grey fabric inventory has been refreshed for 2 years.
Last year, when environmental protection policies were tightened, production restriction, limit stop and power restriction were implemented, the average loom rate in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces was around 80%. However, because of the good market situation, the inventory of grey fabrics was only about 25 days. Although this year's environmental protection is not as big as last year, but the market demand is poor, the inventory of grey fabric has risen to about 42 days, and it has been refreshed for 2 years.
Lack of demand and overcapacity are the main reasons.
In fact, 7 and August are the traditional off-season itself, but because of the better market in the off-season last year, there is a sharp contrast.
The main reason for this year's slack season is still too much excess capacity.
Last year, the environmental policy began to tighten, and many textile enterprises began to move to northern Jiangsu and Anhui. However, due to the beginning of production, production capacity was not released overnight.
This year, the peripheral capacity will suddenly emerge and the capacity will explode. The market can not keep up with the speed of the productivity explosion, and is delayed by the capacity. The market is difficult to climb up, so the news of production reduction, production stop and holiday is constantly coming.
Although the textile market is not as good as expected, the probability of "Jin nine silver ten" is unlikely to come, but the off-season is also the turning point of "survival of the fittest". How to survive the darkness before dawn is particularly important.
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