The Latest Data Came Out, And The Professional Market Rebounded In August.

The prosperity monitoring results of China Textile and textile circulation branch show that in August 2019, the national textile and garment professional market managers' prosperity index was 49.73, an increase of 0.27 percentage points from 49.46 in July, and the professional market business climate index was 50.93, up 1.76 percentage points from 49.17 in July.

First, management boom and business boom.

1, the manager's prosperity index increased by 0.27 percentage points.

Chart 1 list of managers' indices

　　 Data source: circulation branch database

From the manager's prosperity index, in August, the manager's prosperity index was 49.73, up 0.27 percentage points from 49.46 in July, and the operating environment index was 52.26, up 1.61 percentage points from 50.65 in July.

In the sub index, the total operating index was 50.65, an increase of 1.30 percentage points from 49.35 in July; the logistics delivery volume index was 50.65, a 1.62 percentage point increase from 49.03 in July; the passenger flow index was 49.68, a 0.97 percentage point increase over July 48.71; the opening rate index was 49.03, an increase of 48.71 percentage points lower than that in July; the rental index was 49.03, down by a percentage point compared with that in July; the electricity supplier sales index was less than that in July, a drop of 1% over that in July.

2, the business climate index increased by 1.76 percentage points.

Chart 2 list of merchant indices

　　 Data source: circulation branch database

From the business climate index, the business climate index of the total index is 50.93, up 1.76 percentage points from 49.17 in July, and the operating environment index is 52.70, up 3.27 percentage points from 49.43 in July.

In the sub index, the sales volume index was 52.48, an increase of 4.18 percentage points from 48.30 in July; the average selling price index was 51.84, up 4.39 percentage points from 47.45 in July; the profit index was 52.06, which was 3.62 percentage points higher than 48.44 in July; the comprehensive cost index was 48.87, an increase of 48.44 percentage points lower than that in July; the stock index was 48.87, down by a percentage point compared with that in July; and the electricity supplier sales index was less than that in July, a percentage point higher than that in July.

Two, highlight data analysis

1, the professional market is still in the off-season.

In August, the proportion of total market share increased by 25.81%, up 6.46 percentage points from 19.35% in July, and the proportion of the increase in market logistics delivery was 25.81%, up 9.68 percentage points from 16.13% in July. In August, the professional market sentiment index rebounded on the basis of July, but sales continued in the off-season. The total operating index was 50.65, the logistics delivery volume index was 50.65, the passenger flow index was 49.68, and the standard off-season is still continuing.

2, the overall cost index of business declines.

In August, the ratio of cost increase to merchants was 13.48%, up 9.22 percentage points from 4.26% in July, and the composite cost index was 48.87, which was 1.98 percentage points lower than that in July, indicating that the cost pressure of merchants in August is greater than that in July. In August, merchants increased investment and increased costs in the following aspects: design and production of autumn clothing, buying and selling of buyers, and series marketing activities of autumn clothes listing.

Three. Prediction index

Data show that managers, the next management boom index is 53.55, an increase of 0.32 percentage points from 53.23 in July, and the next operating environment index is 53.23, up 0.65 percentage points from 52.58 in July. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 52.98, up 2.13 percentage points from 50.85 in July, and the operating environment index for the next period is 53.26, up 2.48 percentage points from 50.78 in July. In September, the professional market will soon usher in the selling season. Managers and merchants are more confident of sales in September.

Enclosure:

1, monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of two parts: "manager index" and "merchant index". Sampling method was adopted to select clothing and fabrics, home textiles and small commodities in different markets.

2. Monitoring samples

The manager's prosperity sample is made up of 32 textile and garment specialized markets, such as Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's wear building, Jiangsu's perichi Bridge home textile market, Shanghai new seven Pu clothing market and Liaoning Xi Liu clothing market. The business life samples are composed of 150 businessmen, such as Tao Tao dress, Muzi hut, Ruili Han Shi, and Chi Di dress.

3. Monitoring cycle

The monitoring cycle is monthly, monthly and monthly.

4. Index structure

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" is composed of four first level indexes: the current manager's prosperity index, the next manager's prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. "The current manager's prosperity index" consists of six indices, namely, the total operating index, the logistics delivery volume index, the passenger flow index, the opening rate index, the rental index and the electricity supplier sales index, which are six indices. The "merchant index" is composed of four first level indices, namely, the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. The "business climate index" is composed of six index two indices, namely, sales volume index, average price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and electricity supplier sales index.

5, index analysis

The positive index includes manager's total operating index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rental index, electricity supplier sales ratio index and merchant sales index, average price index, profit index, electricity supplier sales ratio index. The positive index is more than 50, which indicates that the business condition is optimistic, the bigger the value is, the more optimistic the positive index is less than 50, which indicates that the business condition is not optimistic; the smaller the value, the more pessimistic it is. The reverse index includes the cost index and inventory index. The cost index is more than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of merchants decreases, the greater the cost, the lower the cost pressure. The cost index is lower than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of business increases, the smaller the cost, the greater the cost pressure. An inventory index of more than 50 indicates that the inventory pressure decreases, the larger the inventory pressure is, the lower the inventory index is, which means that the inventory pressure increases, the smaller the inventory pressure, the greater the inventory pressure.