In September, The Professional Market Boom Continued To Warm Up And Enter The Selling Season.

According to the prosperity monitoring results of the China Textile Federation circulation branch, in September 2019, the national textile and garment professional market managers' prosperity index was 52.69, an increase of 2.96 percentage points from 49.73 in August, and the professional market business climate index was 52.67, up 1.74 percentage points from 50.93 in August.

Management boom and business boom

Data show that in September, the prosperity index of managers and merchants of textile and garment market continued to rise and entered the peak season of sales.

1, the manager's prosperity index increased by 2.96 percentage points.

Chart 1 list of managers' indices

Data source: circulation branch database

From the manager's prosperity index, in September, the manager's prosperity index was 52.69, up 2.96 percentage points from 49.73 in August, and the operating environment index was 54.84, up 2.58 percentage points from 52.26 in August.

In the sub index, the total operating index was 53.55, an increase of 2.90 percentage points from 50.65 in August; the logistics delivery volume index was 53.87, a 3.22 percentage point increase from 50.65 in August; the passenger flow index was 54.19, a 4.51 percentage point increase over that of August; the opening rate index was 52.26, an increase of 49.03 percentage points over that of August; the rental index was 52.26, a percentage point higher than that of August; the electricity sales index was less than that of August, a percentage point higher than that of August.

2, the business climate index increased by 1.74 percentage points.

Chart 2 list of merchant indices

Data source: circulation branch database

From the business climate index, the business climate index of the total index is 52.67, up 1.74 percentage points from 50.93 in August, and the operating environment index is 54.64, up 1.94 percentage points from 52.70 in August.

In the sub index, the sales volume index was 56, an increase of 3.52 percentage points from 52.48 in August; the average selling price index was 55.07, up 3.23 percentage points from 51.84 in August; the profit index was 55.57, 3.51 percentage points higher than 52.06 in August; the composite cost index was 47.14, a decrease of 48.87 percentage points over that of August; the stock index was 47.14, unchanged from August; the electricity supplier sales index was 47.14, a percentage point higher than that in August.

Two highlights data analysis

1, total market operation, logistics delivery and passenger flow increased significantly.

In September, the proportion of total market share increased by 48.39%, an increase of 22.58 percentage points from 25.81% in August, and the increase in the proportion of logistics deliveries was 48.39%, up 22.58 percentage points from 25.81% in August, and 51.61% in the choice of passenger traffic, increasing by 32.26% percentage points over 19.35% in August. In September, with the full sale of the new autumn wear, the professional market realized a further increase in total business volume, logistics delivery volume and passenger volume on the basis of August. Among them, the proportion of total business increase and logistics delivery increased by 50%, and the peak season of sales in the second half of the professional market is coming.

2, the sales volume index and profit index increased significantly.

In September, the proportion of total sales increased by 66.43%, an increase of 26.71 percentage points from 39.72% in August, and a 65% increase in profit from business owners, up 28.83 percentage points from 36.17% in August.

3, merchant cost and inventory pressure is still larger.

In September, the indices of managers and merchants overall improved. The total cost index and inventory index of the merchants were two below the 50, the composite cost index was 47.14, 1.73 percentage points lower than the 48.87 in August, and the stock index was 49.43, unchanged from August. Although the two indices are generally low, there are certain subjective roles of merchants. In September, the professional market entered the peak selling season, and merchants increased investment in the design and production of autumn clothing, buyers picking goods and marketing activities, and increased some of the costs. Merchants actively increased some inventory in order to cope with the increase in orders, which affected the final value of the two indicators to a certain extent.

Three prediction index

Data show that managers, the next management boom index is 54.52, an increase of 0.97 percentage points from 53.55 in August, and the next operating environment index is 54.84, up 1.61 percentage points from 53.23 in August. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 55, up 2.02 percentage points from 52.98 in August, and the operating environment index for the next period is 55, up 1.74 percentage points from 53.26 in August. In October, the professional market is about to continue the selling season. Managers and merchants are more confident about the sales situation.

Enclosure:

1, monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of two parts: "manager index" and "merchant index". Sampling method was adopted to select clothing and fabrics, home textiles and small commodities in different markets.

2. Monitoring samples

The manager's prosperity sample is made up of 32 textile and garment specialized markets, such as Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's wear building, Jiangsu's perichi Bridge home textile market, Shanghai new seven Pu clothing market and Liaoning Xi Liu clothing market. The business life samples are composed of 150 businessmen, such as Tao Tao dress, Muzi hut, Ruili Han Shi, and Chi Di dress.

3. Monitoring cycle

The monitoring cycle is monthly, monthly and monthly.

4. Index structure

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" is composed of four first level indexes: the current manager's prosperity index, the next manager's prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. "The current manager's prosperity index" consists of six indices, namely, the total operating index, the logistics delivery volume index, the passenger flow index, the opening rate index, the rental index and the electricity supplier sales index, which are six indices.

The "merchant index" is composed of four first level indices, namely, the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. The "business climate index" is composed of six index two indices, namely, sales volume index, average price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and electricity supplier sales index.

5, index analysis

The positive index includes manager's total operating index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rental index, electricity supplier sales ratio index and merchant sales index, average price index, profit index, electricity supplier sales ratio index. The positive index is more than 50, which indicates that the business condition is optimistic, the bigger the value is, the more optimistic the positive index is less than 50, which indicates that the business condition is not optimistic; the smaller the value, the more pessimistic it is.

The reverse index includes the cost index and inventory index. The cost index is more than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of merchants decreases, the greater the cost, the lower the cost pressure. The cost index is lower than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of business increases, the smaller the cost, the greater the cost pressure. An inventory index of more than 50 indicates that the inventory pressure decreases, the larger the inventory pressure is, the lower the inventory index is, which means that the inventory pressure increases, the smaller the inventory pressure, the greater the inventory pressure.