Hold 50 Ups And Downs! In November, The Prosperity Index Of Textile And Garment Market In China Dropped.

In November 2019, the textile and garment professional market managers' prosperity index was 50.38, down 1.50 percentage points from 51.88 in October. The professional market business climate index is 50.55, down 0.73 percentage points from 51.28 in October.

Management boom

Business downturn

Data show that in November, the prosperity index of managers and merchants of textile and garment market in China dropped slightly, but the overall value is still higher than 50.

1, the manager's prosperity index has dropped by 1.50 percentage points.

Chart 1 list of managers' indices

data Source: Circulation branch database

From the manager's prosperity index, in November, the manager's prosperity index was 50.38, down 1.50 percentage points from 51.88 in October. The operating environment index was 50.97, down 1.29 percentage points from 52.26 in October.

In the sub index, the total operating index was 50.32, down 1.94 percentage points from 52.26 in October. The logistics delivery volume index was 50, down 2.58 percentage points from 52.58 in October. The passenger flow index was 50.65, down 2.90 percentage points from 53.55 in October. The opening rate index was 50.32, down 1.62 percentage points from 51.94 in October; The rental index was 49.68, unchanged from October. Electricity supplier sales index was 51.29, unchanged from October.

2, the business climate index has dropped by 0.73 percentage points.

Chart 2 list of merchant indices

data Source: Circulation branch database

In terms of the business climate index, the business climate index is 50.55, down 0.73 percentage points from 51.28 in October. The operating environment index was 50.77, down 1.32 percentage points from 52.09 in October.

In the sub index, the sales volume index was 51.34, down 1.47 percentage points from 52.81 in October. The average selling price index is 50.42, down 2.24 percentage points from 52.66 in October. The profit index was 51.69, down 0.18 percentage points from 51.87 in October. The composite cost index is 50.07, up 0.50 percentage points from 49.57 in October; The stock index is 49.86, down 0.50 percentage points from 50.36 in October. The electricity supplier sales index was 49.93, down 0.50 percentage points from 50.43 in October.

Highlight data analysis

1, the total market operation, logistics delivery volume, passenger volume fall.

In November, the proportion of total market operations increased by 16.13%, down 16.13 percentage points from 32.26% in October. The proportion of the increase in the delivery volume of the selected market logistics is 16.13%, which is 16.13 percentage points lower than that of 32.26% in October. The increase in passenger traffic was 12.90%, down 25.81 percentage points from 38.71% in October. The total market operating index, the logistics delivery volume index and the passenger flow index all showed a downward trend. We can see that with the end of the "golden nine silver ten", the sales situation of the professional market has dropped slightly.

2, sales volume index and profit index fall.

In November, the proportion of total sales increased by 20.42%, down 17.71 percentage points from 38.13% in October. The proportion of merchants who choose to increase profits is 22.54%, which is 4.80 percentage points lower than that of 27.34% in October, but the total indexes remain above 50 of the ups and downs. Although sales volume and profit have dropped slightly compared with October, they still maintain a good sales situation.

Prediction index

According to the data, the next manager's prosperity index is 50.32, which is 2.26 percentage points lower than that of 52.58 in October. The next business environment index is 51.29, down 1.29 percentage points from 52.58 in October. In terms of business, the next business climate index is 50.42, down 1.74 percentage points from 52.16 in October. The next business environment index is 50.63, down 1.53 percentage points from 52.16 in October.

Enclosure

1, monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of two parts: "manager index" and "merchant index". Sampling method was adopted to select clothing and fabrics, home textiles and small commodities in different markets.

2. Monitoring samples

The manager's prosperity sample is made up of 32 textile and garment specialized markets, such as Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's wear building, Jiangsu's perichi Bridge home textile market, Shanghai new seven Pu clothing market and Liaoning Xi Liu clothing market. The business life samples are composed of 150 businessmen, such as Tao Tao dress, Muzi hut, Ruili Han Shi, and Chi Di dress.

3. Monitoring cycle

The monitoring cycle is monthly, monthly and monthly.

4. Index structure

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" is composed of four indexes: the current manager's prosperity index, the next manager's prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next operating environment index. The "current manager prosperity index" consists of six indices, namely, the total operating index, the logistics delivery volume index, the passenger flow index, the opening rate index, the rental index and the electricity supplier sales index, which are composed of two indices.

The "merchant index" is composed of four first level indices: the business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index. The "business climate index" is composed of six indices, including sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and electricity supplier sales index. The index is composed of two indices.

5, index analysis

The positive index includes manager's total operating index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, door opening rate index, rental index, electricity supplier sales ratio index and merchant sales index, average price index, profit index, electricity supplier sales ratio index. The positive index is more than 50, which indicates that the business condition is optimistic, the larger the value is, the more optimistic it is. The positive index is below 50, which indicates that the operation is not optimistic. The smaller the value, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes the cost index and inventory index. The cost index is more than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of merchants decreases, the greater the value, the smaller the cost pressure. The cost index is lower than 50, which indicates that the cost pressure of business increases, the smaller the cost, the greater the cost pressure. The stock index exceeds 50, indicating that the inventory pressure decreases, the larger the stock pressure, the smaller the inventory pressure. The stock index is below 50, which indicates that the pressure of merchant inventory increases, the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.