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    Changes In Prices Of Ethylene Glycol Before And After Ching Ming Festival

    2020/4/9 11:30:00 90

    Ethylene Glycol Price Quotation

    The OPEC+ conference became the focus of the market. The United States said Saudi Arabia and Russia will slash crude oil production. Saudi Arabia called for an emergency meeting of OPEC+. The market renewed the hope of joint production cuts. The international crude oil market staged a wave of inflation before Qingming Festival. However, with the delay of the meeting, traders still had doubts about the prospect of production reduction. After the follow up of ethylene glycol related products, the fundamentals are weak and support is insufficient, and the market turnover is down.

    Changes in the upstream and downstream data of ethylene glycol before and after Ching Ming Festival

    ? ?

    2020.4.2

    2020.4.3

    2020.4.6

    2020.4.7

    Ratio of front to back

    Front to back ratio

    exchange rate

    RMB

    Seven point zero nine nine five

    Seven point one one zero four

    Seven point one one zero four

    Seven point zero nine three nine

    -0.0056

    -0.08%

    crude oil

    Brent oil

    Twenty-nine point nine four

    Thirty-four point one one

    Thirty-three Point Zero Five

    Thirty-one point eight seven

    One point nine three

    6.45%

    WTI oil

    Twenty-five point three two

    Twenty-eight point three four

    Twenty-six point zero eight

    Twenty-three point six three

    -1.69

    -6.67%

    China SC

    Two hundred and seventy-six point five

    Two hundred and eighty-five

    ?

    Two hundred and ninety-five point eight

    Nineteen point three

    6.98%

    naphtha

    Naphtha

    One hundred and seventy-six point five

    Two hundred and four point five

    Two hundred and three point five

    One hundred and ninety-eight point two five

    Twenty-one point seven five

    12.32%

    Nap Crack

    -43.26

    -45.87

    -39.09

    -35.68

    Seven point five eight

    17.53%

    ethylene

    CFR Northeast Asia

    Four hundred and eighty

    Four hundred and fifty

    Four hundred and fifty

    Four hundred and ten

    -70

    -14.58%

    CFR Southeast Asia

    Four hundred and fifty

    Four hundred and twenty

    Four hundred and twenty

    Three hundred and eighty

    -70

    -15.56%

    MEG Goods in stock

    MEG Dollar

    Three hundred and ninety-one

    Three hundred and eighty-four

    Three hundred and eighty-four

    Three hundred and ninety-four

    Three

    0.77%

    MEG Goods in stock

    Three thousand two hundred and ninety-five

    Three thousand three hundred and eighty

    ?

    Three thousand three hundred and thirty

    Thirty-five

    1.06%

    PTA Goods in stock

    PTA Dollar

    Four hundred and twenty

    Four hundred and twenty

    ?

    Four Twenty

    Zero

    0%

    PTA Goods in stock

    Three thousand one hundred and sixty

    Three thousand and two hundred

    ?

    Three thousand three hundred and twenty-five

    One hundred and sixty-five

    5.22%

    MEG futures

    Two thousand and five

    Three thousand three hundred and fifty-eight

    Three thousand three hundred and thirty-seven

    ?

    Three thousand three hundred and seventy-three

    Fifteen

    0.45%

    Two thousand and nine

    Three thousand five hundred and thirty-nine

    Three thousand five hundred and twenty-four

    ?

    Three thousand five hundred and sixty

    Twenty-one

    0.59%

    EG05-09

    -181

    -187

    ?

    -187

    -6

    -3.31%

    Basis

    -63

    Forty-three

    ?

    -43

    Twenty

    31.75%

    PTA futures

    Two thousand and five

    Three thousand three hundred and eight

    Three thousand three hundred and fifty-two

    ?

    Three thousand four hundred and two

    Ninety-four

    2.84%

    Two thousand and nine

    Three thousand four hundred and twenty-two

    Three thousand four hundred and sixty-two

    ?

    Three thousand five hundred and sixteen

    Ninety-four

    2.75%

    TA05-09

    -114

    -110

    ?

    -114

    Zero

    0%

    Basis

    -148

    -152

    ?

    -77

    Seventy-one

    47.97%

    polyester

    Semi optical section

    Four thousand two hundred and fifty

    Four thousand and three hundred

    ?

    Four thousand five hundred and fifty

    Three hundred

    7.06%

    PET bottle flakes

    Five thousand and one hundred

    Five thousand one hundred and fifty

    ?

    Five thousand three hundred and fifty

    Two hundred and fifty

    4.90%

    One point four Direct spinning polyester and short

    Five thousand two hundred and seventy-five

    Five thousand three hundred and twenty-five

    ?

    Five thousand and eight hundred

    Five hundred and twenty-five

    9.95%

    Direct spinning semi gloss POY 150D/48F

    Four thousand six hundred and twenty-five

    Four thousand and eight hundred

    ?

    Five thousand three hundred and fifty

    Seven hundred and twenty-five

    15.68%

    Direct spinning semi gloss FDY 150D/96F

    Four thousand nine hundred and fifty

    Five thousand one hundred and seventy-five

    ?

    Five thousand seven hundred and fifty

    Eight hundred

    16.16%

    Polyester DTY 150D/48F low elastic

    Six thousand three hundred and twenty-five

    Six thousand five hundred and twenty-five

    ?

    Six thousand nine hundred and fifty

    Six hundred and twenty-five

    9.88%

    Shipping in main reservoir area

    MEG

    Seven thousand

    Seven thousand and fifty

    ?

    Six thousand and four hundred

    -600

    -8.57%

    Port inventory

    MEG

    One hundred and twelve point zero six

    ? ?

    One hundred and fourteen point zero nine

    Two point zero three

    1.81%

    Operating rate

    MEG

    66.14%

    64.13%

    ?

    59.86%

    -6.28%

    -9.50%

    PTA

    84.48%

    85.81%

    ?

    85.81%

    1.33%

    1.57%

    polyester

    78.52%

    78.52%

    ?

    79.63%

    1.11%

    1.41%

    Production and sale data

    Polyester filament production and marketing

    122.02%

    232.85%

    ?

    35.70%

    -86.32%

    -70.74%

    Production and sale of PET staple fiber

    222.18%

    200.68%

    ?

    58.67%

    -163.51%

    -73.59%

    Polyester chip production and marketing

    92.73%

    78.79%

    ?

    79.09%

    -13.64%

    -14.71%

    Source: lung Chung

    Market performance:

    From the above table, we can see that ethylene glycol follows the trend of upstream crude oil and naphtha as "V" trend. Ethylene slowly follows a downward trend. Downstream polyester products have been depressed for a long time, and prices have risen sharply. Take polyester filament as an example. Due to the downturn of the polyester industry chain, it will be difficult to stimulate the steady delivery of goods from 2020 to April, and raw materials inventory and cost inventories are high. However, the release of crude oil before Qingming Festival was a good signal, which once stimulated the downstream to pick up the goods, and the market was hot. The stock of polyester filament decreased from 35 days in the early days to about 27-28 days, and the stock of short fibers dropped from 10-11 days to 8-9 days. After the festival, the market information was uncertain, accompanied by the withdrawal of funds, and the downstream production and sales declined rapidly.

    Return to reality:

    Since 2020, the profits of ethylene glycol enterprises have been squeezed. Coal enterprises have already suffered serious losses. After a quarter of a year, they began to reduce their losses and stop repair and avoid risks. Up to now, 68.61% of the oil production started, 42.85% of the coal started up, and the supply volume decreased significantly after entering April, but the port stock has been divided by the storehouse stage. At this point, downstream polyester production enterprises because of double high inhibition, load up and down in 78.29%, improve power shortage. When the market is weak, ethylene glycol rises difficultly, and the fundamentals have been exhausted by time. It is also hard to fall.
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