The 2020 Opening Of Shenzhen Property Market: The Lie And Truth Of Soaring Housing Prices

The property market was released after the epidemic. In 2020, the property market in Shenzhen ushered in a magical start. After two months of noise, it suddenly ended abruptly in May.

From the May 1 holiday to the present, the property market in Shenzhen did not usher in a big outbreak, which contrasted sharply with the heated market atmosphere before.

3, April, Shenzhen has experienced the new house price "tea drinking fee", the second-hand housing listing price soaring, the housing loan operation and so on a series of disturbances; the new housing second-hand housing linkage, originally thought that after the epidemic will be frustrated the Shenzhen property market, the speculation atmosphere is exceptionally strong, the second-hand housing price also obviously rises, the National People's vision has been attracted.

With the official launch of the Shenzhen authorities, it is necessary to investigate the housing loan business, punish the illegal intermediary, suspend the developer's property net sign, and set up a high priced second-hand housing market, releasing the information of serial regulation and control, and the market craziness will no longer spread, as if the sea's storm is gradually subsiding.

In order to stabilize the market speculation, the Shenzhen municipal government has prepared various regulatory measures to increase supply, and also put on the agenda. In the future, the Shenzhen property market is expected to be stable under the combination of long and short term regulation.

"Virtual fire" is booming.

No one has thought that the epidemic will become stable after the year. The opening of the Shenzhen property market will open up a wave of magic prices.

Back in March and April, part of the property market in Shenzhen can be described as "deep water". With the three opening of the three merchants' market rumors, optimism has been stirred up, and the price of second-hand housing in Nanshan, Bazhong, Guangming and other areas suddenly soared.

According to the shell secondary housing purchase platform shows that the center of second-hand housing in the center of the highest price of 190 thousand yuan / square meter, the current sale of 34 suites source, the lowest unit price. Thirteen point five Ten thousand yuan / square meter, and only one set.

Similarly, in the hot spot area of Nanshan District, Huarun city run Fu phase 1, had appeared 200 thousand yuan / square meter listing price, and the shell second-hand housing platform showed that the average price of the residential area was 162632 yuan / square meter, significantly higher than the average housing price in the same district.

Property buyers said that Shenzhen's second-hand housing listing prices surged in the minority, "last year's unit price of 50 thousand -6 10000 square meters of Longhua Hongshan District, now are more than eighty thousand or ninety thousand, and Huaye rose four square meters of 47 square meters of small Huxing, unit price has 100 thousand +."

In the remote bright area, the listing price exceeded 70 thousand yuan per square meter. Shell purchase platform data show that the most expensive second hand housing listing price is 76486 yuan / square meter, and the average price of second-hand housing in the district is 66756 yuan / square meter.

Shenzhen Central Plains Center data show that in the fourth week of March, Shenzhen District seven second-hand housing prices in addition to the Longgang area drop slightly, other regional quotas rose, of which the average price of Baoan rose. 2.19% The biggest increase.

From the point of view of the change of quotation, the rise of the owner's quotation is accounted for. 55.19% And for more than half a week, the price of the offer fell. 34.51% 。

Some people in the industry have analyzed the sudden rise of the second-hand housing price in Shenzhen after the year, and perhaps with the abolition of the luxury tax. Under the optimistic mood of the market, the second-hand housing owners want to make high appraisal and high loan, and the money that the low interest loan can buy can be continued.

Yan Yuejin, director of the research center of the think-tank of Yi Ju Research Institute, told reporters that the luxury tax was abolished. The landlord expected this to be an external factor. The underlying reason is that Shenzhen's potential market demand is very strong. "Whether it is bought or sold, or for children studying or investing, Shenzhen's housing supply is relatively scarce."

In addition, this round of property market warming, the new housing second-hand housing linkage, the new housing market "sold out" brought about by the optimistic expectations, will also affect the secondary housing market.

Deal with the truth

The new house has to pay the "tea drinking fee" to buy, the second-hand housing quotation is one day, the seemingly crazy, bustling Shenzhen property market, in the past two months, the transaction price has not risen sharply.

In fact, as the Shenzhen real estate intermediary Association said, "many of the district's ultra-high price offer is only quoted, in fact, many have not yet concluded", the actual market is still in wait-and-see more.

According to the Shenzhen chamber of Commerce, as of April 17th, although the highest price to 200 thousand yuan / square meter, but the average price of Huarun city actual transactions showed at 120 thousand yuan -14 million yuan / square meter, and nearly 30 days within the basic zero turnover or only 1 sets.

Shell secondary housing trading platform shows that the highest price of one square center can reach 190 thousand yuan / square meter, but the latest three transaction price is only in the Eleven point four Ten thousand yuan - Thirteen point six Ten thousand yuan / square meter.

Shenzhen Central Plains research center data show that in March, 8008 second-hand housing transactions in Shenzhen, the chain rose. Three point eight Times. However, on the one hand, the growth of transfer data was due to a small volume of transactions in February. After the epidemic, there was a compensatory rise. On the other hand, there was a certain time difference between the transfer data and the real time transaction. The secondary housing transferred in March was mainly the housing agreement signed by the end of last year to the beginning of this year.

From the transaction price point of view, the average transaction price of second-hand housing in Shenzhen in March was 59048 yuan / square meter. 0.95% 。

According to the National Bureau of statistics, Shenzhen's second hand housing prices rose in March in 4 tier cities, with an average price of about 64000 yuan per square meter, up from the same period last year. 1.6% 。 But this figure is far less than the "horror" of the market.

From the record data, the number of second-hand housing transactions in Shenzhen in April was 7679 sets, the decline in the chain. 4.1% The transaction area is Sixty-five point nine 000 square meters, the chain slipped. 3% 。

Zoning, in addition to Luohu and Futian two regional transactions in April, the number of transactions increased, the other regions declined, of which the number of transactions in the salt field slipped. 25.4% The biggest decline was to 103 sets.

Many insiders pointed out that the phenomenon of second-hand housing prices is not widespread. The owners want to use this hot property market to raise housing prices, but buyers do not accept it. Most actual transactions are based on reasonable prices.

Shenzhen Association also pointed out that in 3 and April, the Shenzhen property market did exist in some areas, local properties were "stir fried" phenomenon, and in the "stir fried" behind, there are some investment companies, media and real estate intermediary personnel and other stakeholders from the organization of the real estate team benefit chain, boosted the property market "false fire".

But overall, the volume of transactions in the first quarter is not due to the stir up behavior, resulting in hot spots within the net sign volume (volume) of the sharp rise, the real estate "virtual fire" did not give the industry obvious efficiency boost. The actual transaction situation is not consistent with the hot sensory experience of the property market, which shows that the market situation in the context of differentiation does not have the representativeness of the city.

In May, the Shenzhen property market continued to decline. According to shell statistics, "51" within five days, Shenzhen new housing sales 328 sets, compared with last year's "51" turnover of 724 sets, down. 54.7% However, compared with the average daily turnover of 114 sets in April, the average daily turnover during the May 1 period was 65 sets, down. 42.9% 。

Secondary housing, Shenzhen Central Plains data show that in May 3rd -5 9, the city's second-hand housing transactions 1225 sets, a decline in the chain. 22.7% The turnover area is 102384 square meters, which is lower than the ring. 23.5% 。

Control combination boxing

From frenzy to calm, the heat of the Shenzhen property market has declined, to a large extent, due to timely government regulation.

In April 18th, the Shenzhen Municipal Housing Bureau announced that in the light of the recent chaos in the secondary housing market, a three month renovation was launched to crack down on illegal activities.

Among them, the Housing Authority named the second-hand housing listing price high, agencies and individuals malicious speculation housing prices, part of the media issued false statements, high valuation of institutions, high loan, "black intermediary" illegal operation and so on.

Two days later, the Shenzhen branch of the central bank issued a document saying that it would thoroughly investigate the newly issued commercial loans of commercial banks in Shenzhen this year, which became the dividing line of the wave of the property market in Shenzhen.

In April 28th, Zhang Xuefan, director of Shenzhen housing and Construction Bureau, revealed that Shenzhen had issued a ticket to the developer of Shekou, the developer of the three previous opening of the Bay Xi project. The 192 housing sources of the Bay Xi and the sale items of the company in Shenzhen were all "locked" and suspended.

At the same time, the regulation of second-hand housing has also been used as a means of thunder. The Housing Authority will jointly inspect the market supervision bureau and the Public Security Bureau. Many intermediaries have confirmed that the store will be inspected.

Twenty-first Century economic report survey shows that at present, Nanshan, Shekou, Bao Zhong, Guangming and other regions all have houses under the intermediary platform. According to the spread of Shenzhen industry, the unit price of 200 thousand yuan / m2 of second-hand housing source shall not be listed.

Reporters log on shells and other real estate information platform, has not been able to query Huarun city unit price of 200 thousand yuan / square meters above housing, and Guangming New District also has no Six point three 000 yuan / square meter above the housing source.

Shenzhen chamber of commerce related sources revealed that as early as April 18th, the hot spots and high priced houses have been monitored. At present, the list of foreign exchange listings has been published regularly.

Under the strict rhythm, the "Shenzhen second-hand housing guidance price" has been published for a long time. According to the second-hand housing intermediaries in Shenzhen, officials will limit the price increase of second-hand housing in Shenzhen area, and are discussing policies and details, including preventing loopholes in Yin and Yang contracts in the market.

Regarding this, Li Yujia, chief research fellow of Guangdong provincial housing policy research center, believes that the "runaway" phenomenon of Shenzhen's second-hand housing market must be intervened by strong administrative means.

Regulation points to a long-term mechanism. Zhang Xuefan also stressed that "we have prepared a lot of measures for the rise in housing prices."

He said that in the future, we will solve the housing problem through a number of tackling measures. "For example, in the trading section, we should take advantage of the means of less leverage, high interest rates and high taxes on high priced housing, and differentiate it from ordinary housing. In the holding link, we can also consider the issue of real estate tax."

Li Yujia said, "we need to be cautious about landing property tax, but the property market in Shenzhen is not hard to cure. Shenzhen's commercial property has the strongest financial attributes and asset attributes (not one), and property tax is the best way to deal with asset price inflation and curb rising expectations.

And from a more fundamental solution, Shenzhen is also aware of the need to increase supply. In May 8th, Shenzhen issued the "construction land supply plan for 2020 in Shenzhen", which indicated that the housing supply will be further increased.

Documents show that this year Shenzhen residential land plan supply Two hundred and ninety-three point two Ha accounts for about 25% of the total housing plan in 2035, of which new supply is available. One hundred and twenty-nine point two Hectare doubled since last year.

?