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    Second Tier Cities Partial Overheating Has Been Secondary Housing Liquidity Risk Latency.

    2020/6/20 13:31:00 0

    Second Tier CitiesLocalSecond-Hand HousingLiquidityRisk

    The epidemic seems to have little impact on the property market.

    Shenzhen property market staged a wave of magic market in recent years. It seems that some other cities are beginning to rise.

    Last month, Hangzhou's record breaking 50 thousand Yaohao grabbed the house, attracting the eyes of the whole nation. Nanjing, Chengdu and other places also witnessed a similar phenomenon of "beating New".

    But investing in new houses will eventually become a reality in the second-hand housing market. In most cities, new houses are hot, but second-hand houses are very weak. When the listing volume soared, the liquidity was very poor, but there was no market price.

    It is not always possible to win new businesses. In the future, the property market will not be able to control the price of the housing market.

    Second tier and new competition

    Shenzhen is the hottest city in the first tier cities this year, Shanghai.

    According to incomplete statistics, in 4-5 months, there were at least 7 "CD-ROM" in Shanghai. Among them, the most popular one is the East Hui Li, which is located in the front beach. The total number of 411 Suites is 2284, and the recognition rate is as high as 5 times. This is the largest number of projects that Shanghai has recognized in the year to date.

    Like the first tier cities in Shenzhen and Shanghai, the property market takes the lead and the new line is not resigned to weakness.

    As Nanjing's first "ten thousand people shake" this year, the riverside opened at the end of last year will go up to the city. In June 1st this year, 223 sets of housing sources were added. About 11890 groups were involved in the Yaohao, with a success rate of only 1.8%. In addition to the availability of talent, the average rate of successful housing is 1.43%.

    The low to one digit success rate is also phenomenal in the history of Nanjing property market. It is reported that sales amounted to 830 million yuan on that day, and the number of lines was only more than 300.

    Hangzhou, which is next to it, has also created the "50 thousand people shaking" that shocked the whole country.

    At the beginning of June, Hangzhou ocean Xixi mansion launched 959 housing sources, attracting 50 thousand people to sign Yaohao, set a record, the money price expectations under the price limit, attracted buyers to enter the market one after another, everyone wanted to make a big profit.

    On the other side, the northern city of the Mixc happiness followed the launch of the last batch of housing sources, attracting 20 thousand people Yaohao, the two big hot plate face to face, directly led to the Hangzhou Yaohao registration system paralysis.

    As a new first tier city, the hot property market in Hangzhou is increasing day by day, even though the epidemic has just passed. In May, the sales price index of new residential buildings in Hangzhou rose by 0.7% in the National Bureau of statistics, up 5.1% last year.

    In fact, the "hit the new" is just because the house price is upside down. The average price of the 959 houses in Xixi mansion is only 28 thousand / square meter, and the average price of the surrounding projects is 35 thousand ~4 / m2. The bonus of the price limit is just around the corner. At 90 square meters, you can earn 600 thousand at least. An investor said.

    Under the new upsurge, the turnover of some cities has picked up. Kerr data show that in May, the new area of the 28 key cities in the country increased by 19%, a year-on-year decline, narrowing to 2%, compared with the growth of 30% in the first tier cities, especially in Shanghai. The turnover reached a record high of 1 million 90 thousand square meters in a single month.

    Second hand housing circulation doubt

    But the property market has a AB face, and it seems to be a partial overheating behind the new house.

    From the end of February this year to the end of May, Hangzhou launched a total of 203 new flats, while the number of flats was 95 times, with a swing rate of about 46.7%. Even if it was hot, such as Yuhang, there were 21 times.

    There are Hangzhou developers told reporters that in addition to some of the new disk because the price difference attractive, most of the other new plate to the rate is not very good.

    At the same time, the meaning of "fight new" finally settled in the second-hand housing market. New houses should be sold at a premium. But is the second-hand housing market really as good as expected?

    Take Hangzhou's first million people shake project, for example, at the beginning, almost everyone thought that the unit price was 18 thousand and 500 yuan / square meter, and it could earn 1 million by shaking.

    Second hand housing to the website shows that the price of fusion letter Tianlan is 2-2.24 million / Ping, and there is no such arbitrage space.

    In fact, the total number of second-hand housing in Hangzhou has reached an astonishing 116 thousand sets, far exceeding the sales volume of Hangzhou in one year.

    In Guangzhou, an intermediary said that the second-hand housing in Guangzhou was very embarrassing. Most sellers refused to lower the price, but the buyer felt that it would drop again. Many houses have been unable to afford to cut prices.

    Many owners told reporters that the price of their own residential area dropped by about 5000 this year.

    In the chain's official website, Guangzhou's current second-hand housing listing volume exceeds 70 thousand sets, compared to last June, second-hand housing listing volume has just exceeded 50 thousand sets, a year increased by twenty thousand sets. Adequate housing sources, so that buyers have more bargaining space.

    Guangzhou Central Plains Research Institute data show that in the second week of June, 1089 second-hand housing transactions in Guangzhou, a decline of 3.2%, compared with the previous active, turnover has been declining for two consecutive weeks.

    Second-hand housing owners price index decreased by 2.9%, the confidence of the market will affect the owner's offer, after all, it is still necessary to sell the house to make profits.

    In May, in Beijing, Qingdao, Chengdu, Suzhou, Xiamen and other cities, the number of second-hand housing has declined to varying degrees compared with the same period last year. Chengdu and Suzhou also had a year-on-year decline of over 50%, with a decrease of 12%-13% in the ring.

    58 Zhang Bo, an analyst at the Research Institute, said that in the new housing market, it can be understood that there is a plate difference in the transaction of second-hand housing. Often Yishoufang market better market, the volume of second-hand housing transactions are not bad, but the majority of new housing transactions concentrated areas, the volume of second-hand housing will be worse; and the second-hand housing transactions concentrated area, often concentrated in the one hand room with no centralized supply area.

    Zhang Bo believes that in the future, in the context of housing speculation, housing prices will remain stable in the long run. The price difference of a second-hand house will gradually be diluted by the market itself. It is very difficult to exist the so-called huge profit space, and the real estate market will maintain a healthy and stable development.

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