Professional Market Prosperity Index Fluctuated Slightly In August

The prosperity monitoring results of circulation branch of China Textile Federation show that in August 2021, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers is 50.38, which is the same as that in July; The business climate index of professional market was 49.60, down 0.13 percentage points from 49.73 in July. In August, the overall prosperity index of textile and garment professional market was stable and fluctuated slightly.

　　 1、 The prosperity of managers and merchants is basically flat

According to the data, in August, the prosperity index of the national textile and clothing professional market managers and merchants was in line with that in July.

　　 1. Managers' climate index was flat with July

Chart 1 list of managers' index

Data source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation

From the perspective of manager climate index, in the total index, the manager climate index in August was 50.38, which was the same as that in July; The business environment index was 52.26, up 0.97 percentage points from 51.29 in July.

Among the sub indexes, the total business index was 51.29, up 0.64 percentage points from 50.65 in July; The logistics delivery index was 51.61, up 0.96 percentage points from 50.65 in July; The passenger flow index was 50.32, the same as that in July; The opening rate index was 50.32, down 0.33 percentage points from 50.65 in July; The rent index was 49.03, down 0.65 percentage points from 49.68 in July; The e-commerce sales index was 49.68, down 0.64 percentage points from 50.32 in July.

　　 2. The business climate index decreased by 0.13 percentage points

Chart 2 list of merchant index

Data source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation

In terms of the business climate index, the business climate index in August was 49.60, down 0.13 percentage points from 49.73 in July; The business environment index was 54.00, up 3.86 percentage points from 50.14 in July.

Among the sub indexes, the sales index was 48.69, down 0.42 percentage points from 49.11 in July; The average price index was 49.31, down 0.21 percentage points from 49.52 in July; The profit index was 48.76, down 0.21 percentage points from 48.97 in July; The comprehensive cost index was 50.41, down 0.41 percentage points from 50.82 in July; The inventory index was 50.21, up 0.42 percentage points from 49.79 in July; The e-commerce sales index was 50.21, up 0.07 percentage points from 50.14 in July.

2、 Data analysis

1. The overall market operation volume and logistics delivery index are stable

In August, 61.29% of the total market operation, 58.06% of the logistics delivery volume and 64.52% of the customers chose the same market volume, both of which exceeded 50%. The overall market operation index and logistics delivery volume index were stable, and the off-season sales of textile and clothing professional market continued.

　　 2. The total sales volume of merchants and the profit index were stable as a whole

In August, 68.97% of the total sales volume of the selected merchants was flat, and 69.66% of the selected merchants' profits were flat. The total sales index and profit index of the merchants were stable as a whole, and merchants and professional markets entered the sales off-season simultaneously.

　　 3、 The forecast index rebounded significantly

The data shows that for managers, the business climate index of managers in the next period is 53.23, up 3.23 percentage points from 50.00 in July; The next business environment index was 53.23, up 3.55 percentage points from 49.68 in July. In terms of merchants, the next business climate index was 54.76, up 4.62 percentage points from 50.14 in July; The next business environment index was 54.76, up 4.69 percentage points from 50.07 in July. In the aspect of prediction index, the four prediction indexes increased significantly, which shows that managers and merchants have strong confidence in the coming traditional sales season of professional market.

　　 attach ? Pieces:

　　 1. Monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, we selected markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabric, home textiles and small commodities, and filled in the questionnaires of managers' prosperity index and merchants' prosperity index respectively.

　　 2. Monitoring samples

The sample of managers' prosperity consists of 32 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Beijing Tianya women's clothing building, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao home textile market, Shanghai xinqipu clothing market, Liaoning Xiliu clothing market, etc. The sample of business prosperity is composed of more than 150 merchants, such as Taotao clothing, Muzi thatched house, Ruili Hanshi, zhedi clothing, etc.

　　 3. Monitoring period

The business cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month and released at the beginning of the next month.

　　 4. Index composition

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of four first-class indexes: the current manager prosperity index, the next management prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index“ The "business climate index of the current period" is composed of six secondary indexes: total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

"Merchant index" is composed of four first-class indexes: the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index“ The "business climate index of this period" consists of six secondary indexes: Sales Index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

　　 5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes manager's total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales volume proportion index, merchant sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index and e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the larger the value, the more optimistic it is; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The smaller the number, the more pessimistic.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index is over 50, it means that the merchant's cost pressure decreases; If the cost index is lower than 50, it indicates that the cost pressure of merchants increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the inventory pressure of merchants decreases, and the larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; If the inventory index is lower than 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure increases, and the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.

(source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation)