The Prosperity Index Of Textile And Garment Professional Market Fluctuated Slightly In July

The prosperity monitoring results of circulation branch of China Textile Federation show that in July 2022, the prosperity index of national textile and garment professional market managers is 49.68, which is 0.27 percentage points lower than that of 49.95 in June; The business climate index of professional market was 49.68, flat with June. In July, the professional market continued the off-season of sales, and the prosperity of managers and merchants fluctuated slightly.

　　 1、 The prosperity of managers and merchants fluctuated slightly

According to the data, in July, the business climate index of the national textile and clothing professional market managers and merchants fluctuated slightly compared with June, basically flat.

　　 1. The business climate index of managers decreased by 0.27 percentage points

Chart 1 list of managers' index

Among the sub indexes, the total business index was 50.32, up 0.64 percentage points from 49.68 in June; The logistics delivery index was 50.65, up 0.65 percentage points from 50.00 in June; The passenger flow index was 49.68, which was the same as that in June; The opening rate index was 49.03, down 1.29 percentage points from 50.32 in June; 48.00% compared with the rent index of 71.00%; The e-commerce sales index was 49.68, down 0.32 percentage points from 50.00 in June. From the perspective of manager climate index, in the total index, the manager climate index in July was 49.68, down 0.27 percentage points from 49.95 in June; The business environment index was 49.68, down 0.97 percentage points from 50.65 in June.

　　 2. Business climate index flat

Chart 2 list of merchant index

Among the sub indexes, the sales index was 49.46, down 0.13 percentage points from 49.59 in June; The average price index was 49.32, down 0.07 percentage points from 49.39 in June; The profit index was 49.05, down 0.47 percentage points from 49.52 in June; The comprehensive cost index was 50.00, up 0.27 percentage points from 49.73 in June; The inventory index was 50.27, up 0.41 percentage points from 49.86 in June; The e-commerce sales index was 50.00, flat with June. In terms of the business climate index, the business climate index in July was 49.68, which was the same as that in June; The business environment index was 49.93, down 0.89 percentage points from 50.82 in June.

2、 Data analysis

1. The total market operation, logistics delivery and passenger flow index are basically the same

In July, 83.87% of the total market operation, 87.10% of the logistics delivery volume and 83.87% of the customers chose the same market volume. More than 80% of the enterprises chose the same market operation, logistics delivery and passenger flow as June. It can be seen that the market operation is basically the same as that in June, and the sales off-season continues, The indices have not yet returned above 50.

　　 2. The total sales volume and profit index of merchants were basically flat

In July, 90.48% of the total sales and 86.39% of the total profits of the selected merchants were flat, both of which reached more than 80%. It can be seen that the merchant index of the professional market is consistent with the manager index, and the sales situation in July is basically the same as that in June.

　　 3、 The forecast index fell below 50

The data shows that for managers, the business climate index of managers in the next period is 49.68, down 0.64 percentage points from 50.32 in June; 50% in the next period, which was lower than that in the next period. In terms of merchants, the next business climate index was 49.80, down 1.29 percentage points from 51.09 in June; The next business environment index was 49.86, down 1.16 percentage points from 51.02 in June. As for the prediction index, the four prediction indexes fell below 50. The managers and merchants are not confident in the future development due to the influence of the current business situation.

　 　 Attachment:

　　 1. Monitoring methods

"Textile and clothing professional market prosperity index" consists of "manager index" and "merchant index". Using the sampling method, we selected markets and merchants of different business categories such as clothing, fabric, home textiles and small commodities, and filled in the questionnaires of managers' prosperity index and merchants' prosperity index respectively.

　　 2. Monitoring samples

The sample of managers' prosperity consists of 31 specialized textile and garment markets, including Guangzhou Baima clothing market, Shandong Jimo clothing market, Jiangsu Dieshiqiao home textile market, Shanghai xinqipu clothing market, Liaoning Xiliu clothing market. The sample of business prosperity is composed of 147 merchants, including Taotao clothing, sandley textile, Weibang home textile and Victoria cashmere.

　　 3. Monitoring period

The business cycle is monthly, submitted at the end of each month and released at the beginning of the next month.

　　 4. Index composition

In the "textile and clothing professional market prosperity index", the "manager index" consists of four first-class indexes: the current manager prosperity index, the next management prosperity index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; The "current manager climate index" consists of six secondary indexes: total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, opening rate index, rent index and e-commerce sales index.

"Merchant index" is composed of four first-class indexes: the current business climate index, the next business climate index, the current business environment index and the next business environment index; "Business climate index of this period" is composed of six secondary indexes: Sales Index, average selling price index, profit index, comprehensive cost index, inventory index and e-commerce sales index.

　　 5. Exponential analysis

The positive index includes manager's total business index, logistics delivery index, passenger flow index, merchant opening rate index, rent index, e-commerce sales volume proportion index, merchant sales volume index, average selling price index, profit index and e-commerce sales proportion index. If the positive index exceeds 50, it indicates that the business situation is optimistic, and the larger the value, the more optimistic it is; The positive index is lower than 50, indicating that the business situation is not optimistic; The less pessimistic the number is.

The reverse index includes merchant cost index and inventory index. When the cost index is over 50, it means that the merchant's cost pressure decreases; If the cost index is lower than 50, it indicates that the cost pressure of merchants increases. The smaller the value, the greater the cost pressure. When the inventory index exceeds 50, it indicates that the inventory pressure of merchants decreases, and the larger the value, the smaller the inventory pressure; If the inventory index is lower than 50, it indicates that the merchant's inventory pressure increases, and the smaller the value, the greater the inventory pressure.

(source: circulation branch of China Textile Federation)

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