Analysis Of Acrylic Fiber Production And Marketing In China In September
1. Raw materials in September
Business community November 15th hearing this month, acrylonitrile prices in the upstream crude oil prices continued to decline, and downstream acrylic fiber and acrylic yarn market downturn, the price of acrylonitrile has dropped sharply. From the beginning of the month to the end of last decade, the price of acrylonitrile decreased sharply, and the price at the end of the month remained relatively stable driven by the stable price of crude oil. At the end of the month, domestic acrylonitrile prices fell to 15 thousand and 500 yuan / ton, down 1100 yuan / ton from the beginning of the month, or 6.63%.
In the three quarter, propylene nitrile prices generally showed a downward trend. 7, in August, although the price of crude oil dropped sharply, the price of acrylonitrile was relatively high, because the price of acrylonitrile was higher than before due to the substantial increase in the price. In August, the price of crude oil continued to decline, and the cost of propylene nitrile production dropped significantly. Therefore, the price of acrylonitrile also dropped sharply. The price of crude oil continued to decline in the future market, which could not be changed in a short period of time, and the increment in the downstream demand for acrylonitrile was very limited. Therefore, the price of propylene nitrile still has room for further decline.
Overview of acrylic fiber in two and September
(一)產銷存概況
According to the statistics of China Textile Circulation Association (sample enterprise), the production of acrylic fiber 36966 tons this month, an increase of 1719 tons from last month, an increase of 4.88%. A decrease of 11294 tons, a decrease of 23.40%. Sales volume was 35034 tons this month, a decrease of 1020 from last month, a decrease of 2.83%. A decrease of 7071 tons, a decrease of 16.79%. The stock was 24553 tons this month, an increase of 2014 tons from last month, an increase of 8.94%. Compared with the same period last year, a decrease of 17923 tons, a decrease of 42.20%. Production and sales rate was 94.77% this month, down 7.52 percentage points from last month. An increase of 7.52 percentage points over the same period. The inventory level was 66.42% this month, an increase of 2.47 percentage points from last month. 10.11 percentage points lower than the same period last year.
As of September, the first three quarters of the total production of acrylic fiber 347869 tons, down 132457 tons compared to the same period, a decrease of 27.58%. Cumulative sales of acrylic fiber 356868 tons, down 91722 tons, down 20.45%. The cumulative sales rate was 102.59%, an increase of 9.20 percentage points over the same period last year.
(二)市場概況
The average price of acrylic fiber inner plate decreased this month. In the case of lower demand, the price of economic fibre has to be adjusted to maintain a balance between production and sales and avoid a deeper financial crisis.
Therefore, the price of acrylic fiber was reduced by 100 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and the price remained stable after that. Judging from the magnitude of price adjustment, it can be said that the profits of acrylic fiber enterprises have not been high, and there is not much room for price adjustment. It can also be said that enterprises are looking forward to the recovery of the market in the future, maintaining a lower price range and avoiding the loss of enterprises before the market is better.
In the three quarter, the price of acrylic fiber first increased and then decreased, and the fluctuation was not large. The price of the products remained stable in a certain period of time, and the duration was strong. This shows that the activity of the market has declined markedly, and enterprises are constantly looking for prices acceptable to the market, and doing everything they can to maintain price stability.
The continued downward trend of upstream raw material prices and the market trend of downstream acrylic products are still in a doldrums, leading to a big change in the future market of acrylic fiber and the possibility of continuing to fall.
(三)銷售流向
According to the statistics of China Textile Circulation Association (sample enterprise), acrylic fiber sales this month are mainly concentrated in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Shandong and other regions. Compared with last month, there are varying degrees of reduction. The inflow of major sales areas did not fluctuate significantly compared with that of last month, and most regions were basically flat. Inflow in other areas is relatively small, and little change. Tianjin, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning and more than half of the region's acrylic fiber inflow volume blank.
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