Squeeze &Nbsp Down; All Cotton Yarn Is No Longer In Sight.

Recently, all Cotton yarn Market sentiment is relatively weak, and market sentiment is growing. Many small factories have reduced their prices by more than 1000 yuan, and big factories with strong quotations have also begun to offer small concessions. Upstream cotton market downturn, Zheng cotton futures continued to decline for several days, the downstream fabric enterprises also high inventories, quotations declined slightly. Under the pressure, the whole cotton yarn or scenery is no longer obvious.

First, cotton production is high and new flower prices are difficult to list.

Recently, China is worried that rainy weather will have an impact on the output of new flowers, but good expectations in the international market will bring more benefits to new flower production. The US Department of agriculture's July annual crop acreage report released in June 30th showed that the 2010/11 cotton planting area in the United States is expected to increase by 19.26% to 66 million 160 thousand mu. India planted 4 million 368 thousand and 200 hectares of new flowers (up to July 1st), up nearly 50% from the same period last year. Meanwhile, the planting area and output of other cotton producing countries have also risen. Along with the increase of cotton planting area in India, the United States and West Africa, the domestic cotton supply will bring more resources. The price of new flower will not break through at the beginning of the market. It is estimated that the price of seed cotton is between 3.5-3.7 yuan / Jin and the price of lint is in the range of 15500-16500 yuan / ton.

Two, cotton yarn slightly reduced prices. profit Still gratifying

Recently, the whole cotton yarn market is mainly stable, and sentiment is growing. Some small factories have lowered their product quotations because of the backlog of funds. The price of cotton yarn in Shandong, Heze, Weifang and Yuncheng has been reduced by more than 1000 yuan. The price of 40S combed woven yarns is 26000 yuan / ton with no tickets, and the price is generally 27500 yuan / ton. The quality of the 32S combed yarn is poor. The ticket price is 25000 yuan / ton, and the price is 26500 yuan / ton with the ticket. Only the 3 class real estate cotton belt ticket is sent to the high price quoted at 18500 yuan, plus the loss of 4-6% (the quality of the yarn is not high, and the loss of blowing carding unit is not large), the cost of producing a ton of 32S combed cotton yarn is 19200-19600 yuan / ton, plus 4500 yuan / ton processing fee and financial cost, the cost of the whole cotton yarn 32S is 23700-24100 yuan / ton, and the profit space is more than 1000 yuan. And many enterprises buy Cotton in the early stage, the cost is less than 17000 yuan, and the profit space is more abundant.

Three. Cotton grey cloth Prices fell slightly.

Starting from July, the price of cotton fabric began to slow down. Affected by the weak market in the upstream, and the arrival of the off-season in July, all textile enterprises feel that orders are shrinking rapidly and prices are being promoted. Shandong Jining a big factory cotton grey cloth quotation reduced 3 wool / rice, some small factories on the basis of low price grey cloth also slightly drop. One of them is made of 40 Combed Yarns, of which the density is 133 / inch and the weft density is 100 / inch. Plain weave is woven on air-jet looms. The warp yarn is 132 grams and the weft line is 100 grams. According to the 40S combed yarn, the average price is 32500 yuan / ton in the market at present, the cost is only 7 yuan / meter, plus the weaving cost per meter of grey cloth is about 4 yuan, the actual cost is around 11 yuan / meter. However, the market quotation is relatively low, among which a large textile group in Shandong has a ticket quoted price of 11 yuan / meter, and the profit margin of textile enterprises is very small, and there may even be a loss.

Four, import and export data are good, but the export growth of the textile industry will decline in the three quarter, influenced by the European debt crisis and RMB exchange rate reform.

According to the latest export data released by the General Administration of customs, 1-6 months of textile and apparel exports totaled 88 billion 878 million US dollars, representing an increase of 22.04% over the same period, of which 35 billion 652 million US dollars in textile exports, an increase of 32.31% over the same period last year, and exports of garments and accessories were US $53 billion 226 million, up 16.02% over the same period last year. In June 2010, textile and garment exports increased by US $21 billion 62 million, an increase of 56.22% over the same period last year. Of them, textile exports were US $6 billion 595 million, an increase of 31.06% compared to the same period last year, and clothing exports stood at US $14 billion 467 million, up 71.21% over the same period last year. Although the export data in June continued the rebound trend in the first two months and maintained steady growth, however, the European debt crisis, the RMB exchange rate, the US unemployment rate still stood at 9.5%, the price of raw materials increased, and the cost of labor increased. The export growth of the textile industry in the three quarter would be down.

Five, policy control measures to strengthen, cotton prices continue to rise fatigue.

This year, a number of ministries and commissions jointly issued a number of policies to control cotton prices, including the throw in storage at any time and the quota of million tons imported cotton that has been issued. The head office of the Agricultural Development Bank issued the notice on the qualification confirmation of cotton purchase loan in 2010, and fully deployed the qualification of cotton purchase loan in 2010. The NDRC has also cracked down on the speculation in agricultural products. At the same time, recently, because of the frequent loss of agricultural product prices, the national development and Reform Commission finally made a big hit. In July 13th, it issued the "special provisions on penalties for price violations during the period of abnormal market prices", which explicitly stipulates that operators can distribute heavy price information to a maximum penalty of up to 2 million yuan. From the regulation and control means, we can see the country's means and determination to stabilize cotton prices. The introduction of various regulatory measures has also restricted the threat of malicious speculation in the market, and has also put a stop to the boom in cotton prices.

At present, many cotton enterprises are suspending production, and cotton yarn manufacturers also have the problem of inventory uplink. Emergency shipment is a consistent view of cotton spinning enterprises. Although the low temperature weather has delayed the planting of cotton, good production and good production expectations all over the world have provided the possibility of adequate supply of cotton in the new year. The international economic recovery foundation is still not stable, the unemployment rate continues to be high, the RMB restarts exchange rate reform, and the arrival of the off-season, under the pressure of multiple pressures, the whole cotton yarn or restart down channel.