"Heaven" Is Not Good, Cotton Planting Area Sharply Reduced
In recent years, China's cotton planting area has been decreasing obviously. In the first half of this year, India, a big country exporting cotton to China, abruptly stopped exporting cotton to China.
Relative to the beginning of this year, at present
cotton
The price has risen by two or three.
In this context, what is the new cotton purchase going to start? Reporters recently interviewed experts from cotton farmers and provincial agriculture departments in Suizhou, Tianmen and other places.
"Heaven" does not make progress, but slow progress.
On the afternoon of 19 July, the old cotton grower in Zengdou District of Suizhou city began to worry about their own cotton fields. "This year's rain is too much, so the cotton will continue to turn yellow.
Especially the low-lying field water is serious, below the fruit branch almost all soaks in the rain.
Due to weather reasons, various degrees of waterlogging disasters have occurred in various regions of our province. The cotton planting and pplanting progress in this spring is slow, and the seedlings are significantly worse than 4 years in the same period.
According to the provincial Cotton Association's recent monitoring of 55 villages in 16 main cotton producing counties in the province, the Jianghan Plain in our province has already blooming, while the growth season in the Hannan and Ezhou areas with relatively poor growth may be postponed for 20~30 days over the rest of the province, which is 5~7 days later than the same period last year.
At present, cotton diseases are mainly yellow blight in China. Aphids, bug bugs and red spiders are the main pests.
The cotton expert of our Provincial Department of Agriculture said that the heavy rainfall process caused the lodging of cotton seedlings in the eastern part of Hubei and Jianghan Plain. The two is that some low-lying cotton fields were not well drained, and the top was flooded for more than 3 days, resulting in rotten roots and dead seedlings. Even after the cotton soaked in rain, the stems and leaves were damaged, and the growth process was delayed, resulting in a large number of flower buds falling off.
Stocks are bottoming out.
market
Prosperous demand
27, reporters learned from the provincial Cotton Association, our province's real estate cotton stocks have basically bottomed out, part of the Xinjiang cotton purchase and sale of cotton enterprises also participated in the early stage of electronic matching pactions, lint spot market circulation less.
At present, the 2 class cotton cash pick up price is concentrated at 18800 yuan / ton, and the 3 grade cotton is 18600 yuan / ton.
According to the owner of Xiantao hoarding cotton enterprise, the 20 textile enterprises involved in Wuhan, Xiangfan and Henan in the province, the scale of production capacity of these textile enterprises is mostly around 100 thousand spindles. At present, they basically purchase cotton according to order.
Although there seems to be a slowdown in downstream sales, it does not affect the demand for cotton purchases.
It is understood that at present, several large textile enterprises in Hanchuan and other places in the province have good sales of gauze and enterprises, and there is basically no backlog of products.
Contradiction between supply and demand
Cotton price
Affirmative rise
In recent years, due to the low efficiency of cotton planting, the enthusiasm of cotton farmers to grow cotton is not high.
Cotton farmer Liu Di Jin says that there are fewer and fewer farmers in their villages.
Cotton prices are not in these two years. Last year, only 5.6 yuan per kilogram of new cotton was ~5.7 yuan.
This year, local cotton growers have a higher expectation of new cotton purchase price in the second half of this year, concentrating on 7.4~7.8 yuan / kg.
In addition, rising labor costs are also one of the important reasons cotton farmers expect cotton prices to rise.
Gan Ping, a reporter from the Tianmen cotton grower, told reporters: "cotton consumption is much more labor force. This year's labor cost has risen to 30 yuan / day ~40 yuan / day. Last year it was 25 yuan / day ~30 yuan / day, up by more than 20%."
According to the data of relevant departments, the cotton planting area in China was 83 million mu in 2008, and the total area of cotton cultivation in the whole country was 76 million mu in 2009.
At present, the demand for cotton in the whole country is 10 million tons ~1100 million tons, but this year's cotton planting area has not increased on the basis of last year. In addition, India, which exported 30% of cotton to China, recently announced that it had stopped exporting cotton to China, resulting in a growing contradiction between supply and demand.
Therefore, the industry has predicted that the purchase price of new cotton will definitely rise this year.
Experts suggest that the cotton market is promising. Cotton producers in the main producing areas should raise their production per unit area and make an essay on the intercropping of crops.
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