The Price Of Housing In 70 Cities In The Country Rose By &Nbsp In June, And The Volume And Price Rose.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics yesterday showed that the price of housing sales in 70 large and medium-sized cities increased by 0.5% in September, which has been achieved since June.

Authoritative publication

Sale

Sales increased by nearly 6 in September.

In September, the national commercial housing sales area was 104 million 460 thousand square meters, an increase of 16.6% over the same period, an increase of 52% over the same period. The total sales of commercial housing in the country increased by 549 billion 800 million yuan, up 35.2% over the same period last year.

The first three quarters of the year, the total area of commercial housing sales was 632 million square meters, an increase of 8.2% over the same period last year, an increase of 1.5 percentage points over that of 1-8 months, and sales of commercial housing 3 trillion and 190 billion yuan, an increase of 15.9% over the same period last year, an increase of 3.3 percentage points over that of 1-8 months.

Price

Since June, the price of single month has risen.

In September, the sales price of housing in 70 large and medium-sized cities increased by 9.1%, up 0.2 percentage points from August, rising by 0.5%, the first time since June.

Among them, the new residential sales price rose 11.3% over the same period, an increase of 0.4 percentage points lower than in August, and a 0.5% rise in the ratio.

Second hand residential sales prices rose 6.2% over the same period last month, rising by 0.5% compared with last month, an increase of 0.5% over the previous month, an increase of 0.4 percentage points over August.

Investment

Land purchase fee increased by 8 in September.

The first three quarters, the national real estate development investment of 33511 billion yuan, an increase of 36.4% over the same period, of which, the proportion of commercial housing investment in real estate development investment is 70.2%.

In the month of September, investment in real estate development was 515 billion 600 million yuan, an increase of 35%. Real estate development enterprises completed 33 million 920 thousand square meters of land acquisition, an increase of 20.3%, and land acquisition fees increased by 109 billion 400 million yuan, an increase of 80.1%.

Cause analysis

Developers actively adjust price investors eager to enter the market

Guo Yi, director of marketing, said that in April, the State Council document No. 10 mainly focused on speculators, and the new deal released signals to the market. Home buyers formed a downward trend, and the atmosphere of market watching was strong, resulting in a sharp decline in volume.

Subsequently, the market adjusted according to regulation and control, including some developers actively adjust the market price, the emergence of cost-effective housing, also attracted the demand for housing market, led to an increase in volume.

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Zhongyuan Real Estate three level Market Research Director Zhang Dawei said that in addition to developers flexible response to market regulation policies, property buyers for the real estate market prospects unclear, part of the market information misleading, anxious to enter the market is also the cause of the three quarter, especially in September, one of the reasons for the rise in turnover.

The intensity of pre regulation policies is large, but the actual effect is not directly proportional to the strength. This makes buyers think that the price reduction is not big enough, so the property market in September is rising again.

Expert opinion

Rigid demand is expected to re enter the market in the future.

Zheng Chaoyu, a professor of national economy management at Renmin University of China, said the three quarter real estate operation released by the National Bureau of statistics showed that the real estate market had been warmer in the 9 month, which could explain why the country issued more stringent policy of real estate regulation on the eve of national day.

But he also said that the reason for the excellent performance of sales data in 8 or 9 months is that rigid demand is re entering the market when prices fall. Although the buyer will wait and see after the restriction, the potential rigid demand is still strong. If the demand problem is not fundamentally solved, the demand will be re entered after a certain period of time.

All this means that the state's regulation and control of real estate will become a protracted war.

House prices will not rebound in vengeance.

Nie Meisheng, President of the real estate association of the Federation of industry and commerce, said there will be no retaliatory rebound in house prices.

In fact, the volume and volume of pactions in August have been restored, and the figures in September are much higher than in August.

In addition, before the national day, the relevant departments promulgated the "five states", clearly proposed to push the property tax, from the pilot of individual cities gradually pushed to the whole country.

Through the resolute containment of investment and speculation, the possibility of retaliatory rebound in the real estate market is not available after the introduction of property tax.

Fourth quarter housing prices may increase

Zhang Dawei, director of the three level Market Research of Zhongyuan Real estate, said that the detailed rules and regulations promulgated in recent years indicate that the government's determination to control the real estate market has not been relaxed.

In a number of cities with relatively prominent housing prices, administrative means have been used to intervene in the market, including cities such as Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hangzhou, which have issued "restriction orders". In the short term, the momentum of market warming for several months will be suppressed, including falling volume and rising prices.

It is estimated that the volume of second-hand housing turnover in the five tier cities in October will decrease by 2-3, and the possibility of falling prices in the fourth quarter will be bigger and bigger.