2011, China'S Foreign Trade Should Go Against The Trend.

2011 China

China took the lead in freeing itself from the quagmire of the financial crisis, and the economic recovery has been improving.

However, due to the existence and superposition of international and domestic uncertainties, the trend of China's foreign trade in 2011 is even more complicated and needs to adopt flexible countermeasures to counter the trend.

Foreign trade faces difficulties next year

Serious challenges: the pressure of appreciation of the renminbi increased; in September 30th, the US House of Representatives voted to adopt the special tariff act, referring directly to China, adjusting the tariff to force the appreciation of the renminbi to suppress China's trade surplus with the United States, and leading the exchange rate war to the trade war; the labor cost of foreign trade enterprises increased, and with the gradual loss of the demographic dividend, China's foreign trade enterprises gradually lost their dependence on the low labor cost, and gradually weakened their competitiveness in the international trade market. The state's macro-control policy was squeezed. In recent years, the state has promulgated a strategy to restrict the export of foreign trade enterprises with high pollution and high energy consumption from the strategic height of improving the foreign trade structure. In the post crisis era of 2011, there are still many factors restricting China's foreign trade: trade protectionism is still on the block. The new trade strategies of the US and Europe are all aimed at grabbing the commanding heights of the strategy, which constitutes China.

Although China's foreign trade is facing difficulties and obstacles in 2011, it still faces major strategic opportunities at home and abroad, and the power of industrial development still exists.

From the international situation, in the post crisis era, the interests of all countries in the world have changed significantly. The days when developed countries dominate the world economy are gone forever. The weight of the right of speech of developing countries in international affairs is increasing, and the driving force of economic development is also increasing.

At the same time, because of the increasing resistance of WTO multilateral trade negotiations and the failure of some regional free trade area plans, bilateral free trade is again playing the leading role of global free trade in a new posture.

From the domestic situation, despite the great impact of the international financial crisis, China's position as the largest developing country has not changed. China's human resources are abundant, its infrastructure is constantly improving and its industrial support is complete.

At the same time, the next 10 years will continue to be a strategic opportunity for China's peaceful rise and a critical period to achieve the goal of building a moderately prosperous society in an all-round way.

China should speed up the pformation of its foreign economic development mode and consolidate its position as a trading power in the new pattern of world trade.

The focus should be on adjusting the trade structure.

In 2011, the domestic and foreign economic environment facing the operation of our foreign trade will be more complicated and changeable. Foreign trade policy should take "maintaining stability" as the main keynote. On the basis of maintaining the continuity and stability of policies, we should focus on adjusting the trade structure and speeding up the pformation of export growth mode.

Adjust policies and encourage pformation.

We should strategically adjust and improve China's current trade policies, including foreign trade, foreign-related taxation, finance, foreign exchange management, exchange rate and other trade related policies. We should focus on readjusting the trade structure and speeding up the pformation of export growth mode, so as to synchronize the foreign trade with the overall economic development of the country.

Import and export complement each other.

We should actively encourage exports, but we should prevent the pressure of excessive recovery and increase the appreciation of the renminbi.

From the stage of economic development, China has reached the pressure of RMB appreciation pressure, coupled with the long-term double surplus of foreign capital and foreign trade, which has increased the pressure.

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At this stage, the goal of foreign trade and economic cooperation is to maintain trade balance.

The continued expansion of net exports will make the pressure of RMB appreciation become a reality from a potential to a long-term impact on the international competitiveness of China's products.

Dialogue and mutual benefit should be strengthened.

Attention should be paid to the study of the changes in economic and trade relations with other countries.

Over the past one or two years, the economic and trade frictions between our country and some countries have increased. This is not a short-term phenomenon, but a long-term trend.

We need to study these changes in time, adjust the economic and trade policies of some countries and regions, enable them to share the benefits of China's economic development and opening up, and create a more favorable international environment for China's foreign trade development and the use of foreign capital.

We should actively participate in promoting the development of the Doha Round negotiations under the multilateral framework of the world trade organization, speed up the implementation of our regional economic cooperation process at the core of the free trade area strategy, and create a favorable atmosphere for cooperation and development in bilateral, regional and multilateral levels so as to achieve mutual benefit and win-win results.

Regional cooperation and risk diversification.

At present, the export ratio of our three largest trading partners is about 45.5%, although this proportion has decreased compared with the previous years, but the overseas export market is still more concentrated.

The next stage should continue to strengthen cooperation with Latin America, central and Eastern Europe, Southeast Asia and neighboring countries and regions, promote investment, trade and pit facilitation, further implement the implementation of cooperative projects, enhance the efficiency of customs clearance, and promote the development of inter regional trade.

Together, tit for tat.

Foreign trade often involves foreign lawsuits.

In foreign-related lawsuits, the government is not good at intervening, and only relies on trade associations to mediate and coordinate.

In the face of responding to anti-dumping, it must be a dilemma between the folk behavior and the individual enterprises.

The spirit of a single respondent is good, but after all, it is strong and weak. It is necessary to take the initiative to turn to the trade association and rely on the team strength of the whole industry to carry out the "group assault" to overcome the trade barriers set up by the western countries.

It is necessary to jointly involve many companies in collective complaints, and jointly resist the bullying and safeguard their rights and interests under the coordination of trade associations.

In fact, anti-dumping is both a spear and a shield.

Chinese enterprises should learn to use anti-dumping as a "shield" to fight in the two international and domestic markets and protect themselves.