"Crazy Cotton" Is Again Showing Cotton Price Rise.
Yesterday, Zheng cotton The main contract CF1109 contract opened up and closed at 32500 yuan / ton.
Cotton futures prices rose from 16000 yuan / ton in July last year to 33000 yuan / ton in November 10th, or more than 100%.
Since then, under the control of the state, it has dropped to 24000 yuan / ton in half a month.
In February 17th this year, cotton prices hit a record high of 34870 yuan / ton, and recently it has been over 32000 yuan / ton.
Textile enterprises located downstream of the industrial chain are facing a dilemma of profit decline.
In shopping malls, there are traces of chemical fiber blending on the labels of some garments.
A "hot weather, warm underwear is still pretty.
Cotton prices have risen, and the price of pure cotton clothes in shopping malls has more than doubled compared to last year. In order to reduce costs, many factories use household chemical fiber blended instead of cotton.
Last Sunday, Wang Yifan and his retired parents wandered back to Hangzhou to solve the problem.
In a pile
Spring clothes
However, the price of cotton underwear has gone up a bit since last winter.
After watching it for a long time, he finally bought two sets of cotton at a price of 160 yuan. He said, "this is also a copy of the bottom. It looks like it will rise next year."
In the clothing wholesale market of Sijiqing, Ms. Zhou, a brand clothing wholesaler, is bargaining with her customers: "a cotton material sandwich coat, the factory ex factory price has risen by 15 yuan / piece, no increase in price, no money at all, I can't help it."
She told reporters that in recent months, the price of cotton clothing has increased by 10% to 20%.
"If there are no major policy changes, cotton prices will continue to operate at a high level and the probability of a rise will be relatively large."
Cotton futures are expected to hit a record high of 40 thousand yuan / tonne this year, said Kuang Bo, a Yongan futures analyst who has been watching more cotton.
According to statistics, cotton production in China was 5 million 970 thousand tons last year and imported cotton exceeded 3 million tons. At present, the market demand is about 12 million tons a year, and the gap between supply and demand is about 3 million tons.
Kuang Bo believes that most of the cotton is now pferred from the hands of cotton growers to traders and cotton processing plants. Some downstream manufacturers rely on digestion stock. Before the new cotton market was launched in October, the cotton market is still a buyer's market. Although the price of cotton is very high, spinning output has also reached a new high, indicating that the cotton mill is also producing at full capacity, and cotton prices are hard to adjust at a time.
B "doubles the income of cotton farmers to participate in Agricultural Machinery Cooperatives
In March, Liu Xiangwu, a large cotton farmer of Xin Ken farm in Sha ya, Akesu, Xinjiang, measured the temperature every day.
The surface temperature of the last two days is only 2 to 3 degrees below zero, which does not meet the cotton planting temperature.
With the experience of making cotton seed last year, Liu Xiangwu is looking forward to this year's cotton market.
Because cotton prices last year were unprecedented highs, most of the cotton growers were very profitable. During the Spring Festival this year, there were more firecrackers in every household.
A few days before the Spring Festival, Liu Xiangwu sent the last car of cotton to the acquisition station. After all, he sold a total of more than 200 tons of cotton, with a profit of about 2500000 yuan last year.
sell
cotton
About 2500000 yuan, Liu Xiangwu did not all deposit in the bank.
Last year, enough to eat, the lack of picking up flowers, Liu Xiangwu invested about 300000 yuan this year, took part in a farm machinery cooperative, 21 families of large cotton farmers raised about 14000000 yuan, the purchase of laser leveling instrument, large farmland machine, large flower picking machine.
Liu Xiangwu calculated an account. Picking up a kilogram of cotton for florist to pay 1.5 yuan, plus living expenses, heating costs, etc., the cost of artificial harvesting of one kilogram of cotton is about 2.1 yuan, and more than 300 yuan per mu of real estate will cost more than 600 yuan.
The cost of collecting cotton by machine is 1.16 yuan per kilogram of cotton, and a 2 million 400 thousand yuan flower picking machine can harvest 210 mu of land a day, much higher than manual efficiency.
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Of course, the cost of large-scale mechanization is much higher than before. He plans to invest 600 thousand yuan this year, nearly half as high as last year's 400 thousand yuan.
C "costs rise, cotton farmers grow cotton enthusiasm
Teng Shimin, chairman of Xinjiang Sha Ya Fuli cotton limited liability company, is a Wenshang businessman. He runs a farm of more than 20 thousand acres, and there are more than 100 cotton growers.
He told reporters that because of the limited farm land, many farmers made money after making money this year, in order to expand their planting area, they began to find more land to contract cotton seeds outside.
"Most of the more than 100 cotton growers made millions of dollars last year."
Teng Shimin said that at the same time, a lot of cotton farmers who did not grow cotton were ready to join the cotton planting team this year.
Teng Shimin, a farmer on the farm under his hands, said that the rent of contracted land has also risen rapidly this year. The rent of the better land is more than 1100 yuan per mu, and the difference is 500~600 yuan / mu.
Last year, a better rent was only 400~500 yuan / mu.
"Not only the rent is rising, but the cost of seed, fertilizer and irrigation has gone up."
According to a local cotton grower, cotton farmers may lose money if the purchase price of seed cotton can not reach 8 yuan per kilogram according to the possible cost of planting this year.
In his memory, the average purchase price of seed cotton in 2009 was only 7 yuan / kg.
However, after the highest purchase price of over 14 yuan / kg last year, many people still thought about expanding production, including himself.
After cotton prices rise and fall, many cotton traders are selling their last stock and preparing for the acquisition and processing of cotton this year.
Wenzhou Xinjiang run Zheng Ruiyao Akesu long as cotton Co., Ltd., it is located at the junction of West Bridge Awati intersection 500 meters south.
These two days, his factory has stopped buying cotton, and still has more than 1000 tons of long staple cotton stock.
Over the past two days, the spot price of long staple cotton has reached 45000 yuan / ton, which is much higher than the price of 32000 yuan / ton of fine cotton.
Zheng Ruiyao's factory sold 5000 tons of lint this year, much larger than in previous years.
He told reporters that although the price has gone up very high, it has increased the cost pressure of the cotton harvest, but this year's revenue is also the best in recent years.
Recently, the demand for downstream businesses is still rising. There is quite a lot of calls for him. He expects cotton prices to remain good this year, and his factory's purchase may exceed last year's.
"After the first wave of regulation and control in November last year, cotton prices continued to rise, the market demand was very strong, more like demand driven growth, and the price of the international market was also rising."
Teng Shimin is also optimistic about the market outlook. He told reporters that the spot price of recent imports of US cotton was around 37000~38000 yuan / ton. At present, the demand for cotton in the global market is still tight.
The meaning of chemical fiber blending
Blended chemical fiber fabric is a textile product made of chemical fiber blended with other natural fibers such as cotton wool, silk and hemp.
For example: polyester cotton cloth, polyester wool, and so on.
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