Cotton Prices Continue To Be Strong, Cotton Starts To Store And Store &Nbsp, Or Balance Grain And Cotton Land.

　　 cotton The introduction of protective price policy is being given Cotton grower At the same time, the minimum income expectation is more important or is to inhibit cotton. Seeded area The great ups and downs make it form a reasonable balance with the grain sowing, and do not compete with the grain production.

Recently, the state Development and Reform Commission Eight ministries and commissions jointly issued the cotton temporary storage and purchase plan in 2011, and decided to implement the temporary cotton storage and storage system from 2011. The temporary storage price is 19800 yuan per ton of standard grade lint to the warehouse.

This is the first time in China to establish the system of cotton temporary storage. This means that cotton is beginning to enjoy the same protection as food crops. The real meaning of the policy is to restrain the rise and fall of the cotton planting area, so as to form a reasonable balance with the grain sowing.

19800 disputes over pricing

The implementation time of the plan is from September 1, 2011 to March 31, 2012, and the price of temporary storage and purchase is 19800 yuan per ton of standard grade lint to the warehouse. The main cotton producing areas are Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Shandong, Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Hunan, Hunan, and 13 provinces (districts and cities).

The plan shows that once standard grade lint is introduced Price 5 consecutive working days less than 19800 yuan / ton, will start. Policy nature Collect and store. The national development and Reform Commission pointed out that the establishment of the temporary storage system and the timely release of the plan will help protect cotton farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton and stabilize cotton production in 2011.

The introduction of the lowest purchase price has made the cotton farmers have a steady income expectation and has a certain effect on stabilizing the sowing area of cotton. Ma Wenfeng, an analyst with Orient agricultural consulting company, told the Nanfang Daily reporter.

If we consider the cost and revenue combination, the price of 19800 yuan / ton is a bit low. According to the calculation before the Spring Festival, we should set it at about 22000 yuan. Ma Wenfeng thinks.

According to the calculation, the 19800 yuan / ton new year storage and storage of the lint base price, according to the current cottonseed price conversion, roughly the new flower purchase price of 5 yuan / kg, relative to the current futures and spot prices are low, if the cost accounting, only enough security. Zhang Junling, an analyst at Dongxing futures research and development center, believes that the minimum purchase price is relatively low, which is harmful to the planting area.

Or to balance grain and cotton land disputes.

Cotton prices rose all the way in 2010, and the spot price of standard cotton has risen from 13 thousand yuan / ton in 2009 to about 30 thousand yuan per ton. The industry has already forecast the increase of cotton planting area in 2011, but the average increase is only around 5%.

China Cotton Association's cotton planting intentions survey in March showed that the cotton planting area increased in most parts of the country due to the high level of cotton purchase price. It is estimated that the total area of cotton planting in China will grow by 80 million 960 thousand mu in 2011 and 5.1% in the same caliber, which is lower than that of the previous 84 million 550 thousand mu.

At the same time, the soaring cotton prices also boosted the planting enthusiasm of the main producing countries. According to reports, in 2011, the US cotton planting area increased by nearly 15%, and India was also increasing its planting area. The sharp increase in planting area is bound to have an impact on the future price trend.

Judging from the market rule of agricultural products, due to the influence of climate and other factors, there is a production cycle at the same time, and the price fluctuation is larger. The phenomenon of price rise for one year or a year is very common. Ma Wenfeng pointed out that a signal given by 19800 yuan / ton is that because of the increase of the global planting area, the cotton price in 2011 is hard to get out of the strong trend in 2010 and the possibility of going down will be greater. This will have a certain early warning effect on cotton growers.

In Ma Wenfeng's view, the introduction of the cotton protection price policy, while giving the cotton farmers the lowest income expectation, is more important in restraining the rise and fall of the cotton planting area so as to form a reasonable balance with the grain sowing, so as not to compete with the grain producing and producing land.

Insiders said that the minimum purchase price policy of cotton was ready to come out in 2006 but failed to come out. On the one hand, it was related to operation and implementation. On the other hand, the state feared that it would aggravate the dispute over land use for grain and cotton. Land is generally used to grow grain, oil and cotton, and farmers will choose crop varieties through income comparison. Ma Wenfeng said that China, as the largest cotton producer and consumer country, has a large demand gap every year, but its position is still inferior to the strategic significance of grain.