Cotton Purchase And Storage Plan &Nbsp; Balance Land Area Still Need Time.

Has been concerned about the domestic Cotton price In this article, I pointed out that the cotton price has soared in the "Domino domino effect" which was reported recently. Weaving , printing and dyeing , clothing , Home textiles And other downstream industries.

This phenomenon has not lasted for too long. Recently, the eight ministries and commissions of the national development and Reform Commission jointly issued the 2011 cotton temporary purchase and storage plan, and decided to implement the temporary cotton purchase and storage system from 2011. The temporary storage price is 19800 yuan per ton of standard grade lint to the warehouse. This is the first time that cotton reserves system has been established in our country, which means that cotton also enjoys the same protection as the grain. Some experts pointed out: the real significance of the policy is to restrain the large and large amount of cotton planting area, so as to form a reasonable balance with the grain sowing.

"Issuing temporary storage and storage of cotton before the cotton starts to be widely planted will help the cotton growers to grasp the price information in 2011 and guide cotton farmers to determine the planting area according to the cost accounting." Ma Junkai, Deputy Secretary General of the Dezhou Cotton Association of Shandong, said in an interview with the author that the early release of the provisional purchase and storage price in 2011 would help to cool down the current cotton price and reduce the cost of downstream textile enterprises, thereby easing the upward pressure on clothing and other commodities.

I understand that since 2010, cotton prices have been constantly updated, taking cotton futures zhengmian 109 contract as an example, rising from 19855 yuan per ton in September 17, 2010 to 33600 yuan per ton in November 10th, or more than 69%. After a period of adjustment, it rose to 34870 yuan per ton in February 17, 2011. As a result, enterprises have difficulty in working capital and "orders are afraid to pick up". According to statistics, as of the end of February 2011, the growth rate of yarn production in textile enterprises above designated size was 11.3% lower than that in the same period in 2010. The growth rate of cloth production decreased by 37.3% compared with the same period in 2010, and the output of clothing decreased by 2.6% compared with the same period in 2010.

As a rule, soaring cotton prices can boost cotton farmers' pockets, but it turns out that farmers' cotton yields are still generally low. Mr. Wang, manager of the raw material company of a cotton spinning enterprise in Dezhou, Shandong, told me that the income of cotton seed was not even enough to grow grain. At the same time, because of insufficient subsidies, cotton growers' desire to grow was reduced, and some local labor force gave up cotton cultivation and went out to work. "Cotton prices rise and fall and cotton seed profits are generally low, which is the main reason why farmers' enthusiasm for planting cotton is not high. If this situation is not improved, it will continue to cause harm to cotton farmers' enthusiasm and intensify the contradiction between supply and demand of cotton. Ma Junkai said. How to maintain the growth of cotton growers and the normal production of textile enterprises has become a pressing problem for the government and industry organizations.

"Advance the plan and price of the purchase and storage in advance, so that cotton farmers and cotton producers will have a good production plan ahead of schedule. At the same time, the promise of open storage can make cotton merchants feel free to buy, ensure that the cotton farmers benefit, and in fact also play the role of the lowest purchase protection price." Tan Yanwen, a professor at South China Agricultural University, said. The author understands that according to this plan, the execution time is from September 1, 2011 to March 31, 2012, and the main cotton producing areas are Tianjin, Hebei, Shanxi, Jiangsu, Anhui, Jiangxi, Shandong, Henan, Hubei, Hunan, Hunan, Hunan, and 13 provinces (districts and cities) as the execution area. The temporary storage price is standard grade lint and the price of the warehouse is 19800 yuan per ton.

"According to the price stipulated in this temporary purchase and storage system, it will help restore cotton farmers' enthusiasm." Ma Junkai said, but generally speaking, cotton began to grow on a large scale starting from mid April of each year. The temporary storage and storage price announced now will help increase the planting area of cotton in 2011, but at present, most farmers have reserved cotton plantations ahead of time, and the remaining areas are planted with other grains. The increase in production will not be obvious.

The author understands that the plan indicates that once the standard grade lint price is lower than 19800 yuan / ton for 5 consecutive working days, it will initiate policy purchasing and storage. The introduction of the lowest purchase price has made the cotton farmers have a steady income expectation and has a certain effect on stabilizing the planting area of cotton. Ma Wenfeng, an analyst with the eastern Agribusiness Consulting firm, told the author, "but if we consider it from the perspective of cost and revenue combination, the price of 19800 yuan / ton is a bit low. According to the calculation before the Spring Festival, we should set it at about 22000 yuan."

According to the calculation, the 19800 yuan / ton new year storage and storage of the lint base price, according to the current cottonseed price conversion, roughly the new flower purchase price of 5 yuan / kg, relative to the current futures and spot prices are low, if the cost accounting, only enough security.