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Discussion On Healthy Development Of Cotton Industry In Dezhou City Of Shandong Province

2011/5/13 16:44:00 88

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In 2010, domestic cotton planting area decreased significantly, cotton production decreased, production and demand gap increased, cotton prices rose sharply, and cotton farmers' income increased.

What is the trend of the cotton market in 2011? Is the farmer willing to grow cotton? With these questions, the author made an investigation.

cotton

Prices are up and down.

Dezhou city of Shandong province is one of the key cotton producing areas in the country. The annual cotton planting area is 200-300 mu, but the area has decreased year by year in recent years. It was 2 million 890 thousand mu in 2008, 2 million 300 thousand mu in 2009, and only 1 million 550 thousand mu in 2010, the smallest area in nearly 11 years.

Last year, after the listing of new cotton, the purchase price of seed cotton soared rapidly, which was affected by factors such as domestic cotton production, demand increase, supply and demand gap expansion and hot money speculation. It rose rapidly from 4.20 yuan / kg in early September to 7.20 yuan / kg in early November, rising 71% in two months, double the same period in 2009, and hit the highest price in history.

The sale price of leather cotton rose rapidly from 18300 yuan per ton in the early September to 32000 yuan per ton in early November, up 75%, up 128% over the same period of the previous year, and even a new record high.

Cotton prices began to drop sharply after November 11th.

Four level at the end of November

Unginned cotton

The purchase price dropped to about 5.30 yuan / kg, the price of lint fell to 26000 yuan / ton per ton, and then slowly increased. Before the Spring Festival, the price of seed cotton rose to 6 yuan / kg, and lint was raised to 28000 yuan / ton.

After the Spring Festival, domestic and foreign cotton futures prices skyrocketed, spot prices also rose sharply, seed cotton purchase price rose to 6.40 yuan in mid February, lint rose to 31000 yuan / ton.

After February 20th, the price of lint and seed cotton slipped again. At present, the purchase price of seed cotton is 5.80 yuan / Jin and 28500 yuan / ton of lint.

As cotton prices are rising and falling, some cotton farmers are looking forward to selling and holding cotton for sale. Up to now, Dezhou's purchasing progress is about 80%, which is about 15% lower than in previous years, and some cotton farmers still have a lot of cotton.

Increase in cotton yields

In mid August of last year, there was a continuous high intensity rainfall and cloudy weather in Dezhou.

Cotton yield

And the quality has caused a great impact. The average yield per seed cotton is only 410 kg, which is more than 20% lower than that in the normal year. However, because of the higher price, the cotton farmers' income has increased.

Seed cotton income: according to the average yield of 410 Jin, the average selling price is 5.70 yuan / Jin, the output value of Mu is 2337 yuan, and the direct cost of planting is 395 yuan / mu (90 yuan for base fertilizer, 35 yuan for machine ploughing, 60 yuan for seed, 15 yuan for planting, 20 yuan for plastic film, 60 yuan for pesticide, 93 yuan for dressing, and 60 yuan for irrigation.

Grain income: according to the season of wheat and corn, the average yield of wheat is 1020 Jin, the average yield of corn is 1120 Jin, the average wheat price is 1.02 yuan / Jin, the corn is 0.96 yuan / Jin, and the output value of grain is 2115 yuan.

The cost of direct planting of wheat per mu is 351 yuan per mu and corn planting cost is 298 yuan / mu.

The output value of Mu is deducted from direct planting cost (excluding labor cost), plus 83 yuan per mu of grain direct subsidy and comprehensive agricultural subsidy, and the income of grain Mu is 1559 yuan.

Cotton yields more than 398 yuan per mu, but still less than other kinds of economic crops such as pepper.