Cotton Farmers' Hearts Are Completely Broken.

In the past 3 months, cotton prices have been rising again and again, but unlike last year, this is the cotton price "diving". The reporter interviewed found that the cotton price drop has caused many farmers' desire to "reduce production or not reduce", and the following industrial chains such as spinning and weaving were all at a loss because of the huge fluctuation of cotton prices, so many enterprises limited production and stopped production.

Ensuring cotton growers' enthusiasm for planting and stabilizing cotton prices have become cotton growers. Textile enterprises Unanimous wish. "Now cotton price is only 8 yuan per kilogram, and I haven't sold it yet, and last year when it was high, it came to 14 yuan per kilogram, even if it was 12 yuan per kilogram 3 months ago." Looking at nearly 3500 kilograms of cotton stored in the house, Wang Jinshun, a villager in the twenty Mile Village of Gaotang County, Shandong, regrets.

In the main cotton producing areas of Shandong, Dezhou, Liaocheng and other places, Wang Jinshun is only one of the many "injured" cotton farmers. According to Ma Junkai, Deputy Secretary General of the cotton association of Dezhou, nearly 40% of the farmers' households in many parts of Dezhou have not been sold, and some villages have about 80% cotton reserves. Even some farmers have not sold a catty.

Futures prices are comparable to spot prices. Zhengzhou cotton futures contract Zheng cotton 1109) less than 30% in March.

According to several farmers, the cost of cotton per mu is now close to 1300 yuan (400 yuan for manpower, 500 yuan for agriculture and 400 yuan for rent). The average yield of cotton is about 280 kilograms, and seed cotton price is only 9.3 yuan per kilogram in order to maintain capital, reaching 11 yuan per kilogram. The current cotton price has just been guaranteed.

Ma Junkai pointed out cotton growers and cotton enterprises in the cotton industry chain. Spinning enterprises They are entangled in cotton prices.

Spinning is the first step after seed cotton processing into lint, and the days are "ice and fire". Commodity data traders' business monitoring data showed that 21S cotton yarn fell from 37 thousand yuan in mid February to less than 32 thousand yuan. Ma Junkai said that Dezhou now has more than 60% of the textile enterprises with cotton as its main raw material, and it is estimated that about 20% of the enterprises will stop production.

Although sometimes we know that we need to lose money, some enterprises still have to "bite the bullet". Tang Maoyong, deputy director of the textile and Fiber Inspection Institute of Liaocheng, Shandong, explained that some enterprises did not dare to stop work easily. After stopping work, it was difficult to recruit workers in a short time, so some enterprises could only increase their inventories, but the pressure of enterprise funds would increase accordingly.

In the process of knitting and cotton production, the fluctuation of raw material prices also affects the normal production of enterprises. Li Chuanbo, manager of Shandong de Mian Limited by Share Ltd raw materials company, said that when the cost is high, demand is reduced, and when prices fall, customers are too afraid to make long orders. Business data also showed that the short list of cotton spinning orders maintained a sharp increase in the spring Canton Fair this year, accounting for 90% of the total orders, while the long list was only 10%.

Although domestic cotton prices have shown signs of stabilization in recent days, it is generally agreed that cotton prices will not rebound substantially in recent years, due to the impact of global cotton production increase in 2011/2012 and the decline in global commodity prices. The sharp fluctuations in cotton prices have made the whole industry chain "entangled". Meanwhile, industry experts are also reflecting and questioning, how can the cotton price stabilization mechanism be established?

In March this year, the State Development and Reform Commission and other departments promulgated the "cotton temporary storage and purchase plan for 2011". It was proposed that the minimum purchase price of standard grade lint of 19 thousand and 800 yuan per ton in 13 provinces, including Xinjiang and Shandong, should be purchased from September 1, 2011 to March 31, 2012. This policy is considered by the industry to be the lowest protective price system of cotton.

"The minimum protective price has a certain effect on stabilizing the market price, but at present, this price can not fully mobilize the enthusiasm of cotton farmers to grow cotton." Tang Maoyong, deputy director of the textile and Fiber Inspection Institute in Liaocheng, Shandong, who often deals with cotton farmers and cotton enterprises, said that cotton cultivation is mainly time-consuming and time-consuming. Farmers can grow grain and go out to work, which can increase many benefits.

Tang Maoyong said cotton growers have been on the low side for 3 consecutive years. If cotton prices continue to be low in the new year, the cotton planting area will definitely continue to decrease next year.

Li Chuanbo believes that the stability of cotton production is the "source of 10000 sources" for the stability of the following industrial chain. The large fluctuation of output will lead to fluctuations in the prices of subsequent products such as lint, yarn, cloth and so on, thereby affecting the normal operation of the industrial chain. The state should intensify efforts in cotton seed subsidy and temporary storage and storage system, so as to keep cotton prices basically stable.