"Electricity Shortage" Has Led Clothing Companies To Take Orders.
The frustration and confusion of power supply make many enterprises special.
foreign trade
Enterprises dare not place orders at random.
"Without the guarantee of electricity, today's order will be an indemnity sheet in the future. What can we do?"
An entrepreneur who just returned from the Canton fair said, "I could have done more."
Order
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"Electricity shortage" attack
After the national development and Reform Commission warned that this year's electricity supply situation is not optimistic, although the peak of non electricity consumption, there is a continuous shortage of electricity throughout the country.
Under the condition of tight electricity supply, the peculiar phenomenon of large scale maintenance and stopping power supply of thermal power plants everywhere is developing constantly.
Recently, media reports said: "the NDRC may hold a meeting in May 13th to discuss the price of electricity in five provinces, such as Hunan and Anhui, so as to resolve the increasingly serious electricity shortage in these provinces."
At present
inflation
Under the increasing pressure, electricity price adjustment has attracted much attention.
Yu Yanshan, deputy director of the general office of the State Electricity Regulatory Commission, said that if the condition of water supply is not good and the situation of continuous loss of thermal power enterprises can not be changed, the situation of large power sluice and power restriction in summer will happen.
The helpless and perplexity of electricity makes many enterprises, especially foreign trade enterprises, not dare to place orders at random.
"Without the guarantee of electricity, today's order will be an indemnity sheet in the future. What can we do?"
An entrepreneur who just returned from the Canton fair said, "I could have placed more orders."
In order to avoid the power failure caused by excessive power consumption in the past years, to ensure that production can be carried out according to plan, in the workshop on the first floor of a company specializing in the production of low noise deep groove ball bearings in Cixi, Ningbo, only 40% of the production equipment was used, and the remaining 60% were in the "rest" state.
Huo Yunjun, the head of the company, pointed to a high-power diesel engine in the northwest corner of the plant. It said that only 40% of the equipment had been moved, mainly because the diesel generators purchased by themselves were a little useful.
At present, the industrial electricity consumption is 0.9 yuan / degree, but the cost of generating diesel engine is 1.5 yuan / degree - 2 yuan / degree.
In addition, the electricity and voltage generated by the diesel engine are very unstable and can only be used for some primary products, and can not be used for finishing.
"There are more than 100 customers in Ningbo and surrounding areas waiting for us to do dyeing and finishing. If the electricity is stopped for a long time, not only will our company lose, but a large number of upstream garment enterprises will also suffer losses."
Zhang Wenping, Secretary of Party branch of Yinzhou Gulin welfare factory, said.
It seems that the impact of "power restriction on the sluice" has affected the upstream and downstream industries of the enterprises involved.
Relatively speaking, the sudden power failure is more serious for some chemical fiber enterprises than for other types of enterprises.
Chemical fiber enterprises are relatively longer production lines. Once the electricity is suddenly cut off, the raw materials of the whole line will be scrapped, and the one-time loss may exceed several hundred thousand yuan.
It is worth noting that the current large-scale blackout is not a lack of power production capacity, but a substantial loss of thermal power enterprises.
In the case of electricity prices can not be raised, fuel and coal prices continue to rise, thermal power enterprises fall into the dilemma of more production and loss.
In recent years, the interests distribution of upstream and downstream enterprises in power industry is seriously unbalanced.
On the one hand, the profits of the coal enterprises are surging forward. On the other hand, the whole industry is losing money in the power generation industry.
The electricity regulatory report of 2010, issued in early May, pointed out that since 2008, the five major power generating groups in the country (Huaneng, Datang, Huadian, Guodian and CIC) thermal power have accumulated losses for more than 8 billion 500 million yuan in 3 consecutive years, and the total loss has reached about 60000000000 yuan.
UBS Securities recently released a report that the recent shortage of electricity in some parts of China will not significantly inhibit the overall economic growth this year, but it will change the trend of quarterly economic growth and increase China's imports of diesel and fuel oil in the coming months.
UBS believes that the risk of a serious nationwide electricity shortage in China this year and the obvious decline in economic growth is very small, and it still maintains a 9.3% forecast of China's economic growth in 2011.
The report argues that the power shortage is caused by multiple factors such as China's energy price regulation, regional electricity imbalance, strong demand for electricity and reduced hydropower generation.
Hu Zhipeng, an economist at UBS Securities, said in a report that the power supply problem may change the trend of China's economic growth this year.
From the perspective of electricity shortage restricting the growth of industrial production, economic growth in the two quarter may slow down.
"As the problem of electricity shortage is resolved later this year, coupled with the rebound in hydropower generation and the increase in coal and electricity prices enough to boost its supply, the release of previously suppressed demand for heavy industrial products may increase economic growth in the three or four quarter."
Wenzhou does not have large power outages yet.
"There is only a partial short time for power cuts.
Unlike last year, in the last year of 11th Five-Year, there was a lot of pressure for energy conservation and emission reduction targets.
Zhou Dewen, President of Wenzhou SME Development Association, said.
Wang Jianping, chairman of Wenzhou haw group, said, "as far as my area is concerned, there is no blackout or power pull.
It's not as serious as the media said.
I think the orderly use of electricity in Wenzhou is still better. "
Wang Jianping believes that in April and May, the situation of electricity consumption is not very different from that of previous years, and electricity consumption is not a problem.
However, if the temperature rises and the electricity load increases, then it will be hard to say whether it is still so abundant. "In the past year, Wenzhou was on the dog days, and there was a few days of electricity stopping."
Wang Jianping said that if the electricity situation is grim, then more power and power outages will be encountered in some enterprises which are seriously polluted. "Shoes factories like ours do not belong to polluting enterprises, so electricity consumption is still guaranteed."
Jiang Hong, general manager of Wenzhou Sheng Bang Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. has also verified the above statement: "since this year, we have not been asked to cut off electricity.
Even last year, it was normal for us to use electricity in winter and summer.
The government takes care of our high-tech enterprises. "
Sheng bang technology is an industrial electrical appliance manufacturer. Its main products include photoelectric sensors, proximity sensors, speed sensors, electromagnets, solid state relays, wire detectors, wire cutters, weft detectors, automotive electrical appliances, broken controller and automatic control equipment.
However, there are also owners in Wenzhou, who said that since April and May, Wenzhou has imposed power rationing. "Those who are required to make orderly use of electricity are mainly those with heavy pollution and large energy consumption."
"Do not dare to take large orders".
Jiang Hong said that in order to prepare for trouble, they also have diesel generators, though they may not take a few days in a year.
As far as the cost of diesel power generation is concerned, he says it is difficult to calculate.
Before media reports said, due to "power restriction", many coastal small and medium-sized enterprises began to start diesel engine power generation.
However, the cost per kilowatt hour of diesel engine power generation is different. At present, there are divergent opinions, which are 1.5 yuan / degree, and 3 yuan / degree respectively. Therefore, it is difficult to estimate the burden of diesel power generation on enterprises.
The analysis report released by the Commodity Research Institute, 17, said: "from the serious electricity shortage in Central China, we know that the electricity shortage in Hunan and Jiangxi did not cause" oil shortage ", and the demand for diesel oil did not increase significantly, because diesel prices remained high.
According to the above report, the wholesale price of domestic gasoline has dropped significantly, and the situation of diesel oil deals has also been favorable. "Especially in the Pearl River Delta region, the Guangdong market is the most obvious. Currently, the price of gasoline in Guangdong is lower than the wholesale price of 350 yuan / ton, while the price of diesel has been 100 yuan / ton lower than the maximum retail price limit.
Other regions still show the highest price limit, yet there is no obvious loosening, but the overall turnover is not ideal, and the price is high.
Zhou Dewen said frankly, the mentality of small and medium-sized enterprises is also very delicate, and the order is not big enough, so there is no climax of production.
So it is not very serious to use electricity now.
The real peak of electricity consumption is generally 8-9 months.
At that time, in order to catch up with the orders for the second half of the year, the electricity consumption of the industry will increase linearly. That is the real time of electricity consumption.
Zhou Dewen disclosed that the start-up of SMEs in Wenzhou is not ideal this year. "Since the Spring Festival, some enterprises have not even started work."
Overall, this year is not as prosperous as it used to be.
I feel that the current situation is almost the same as in the 2008 financial crisis.
The increasing pressure on production, the rising appreciation of RMB, the sharp rise of raw material prices, and the surge of inflation and wage increase are the main reasons for Zhou Dewen to think of underemployment.
Most of the traditional labor-intensive enterprises such as lighters, clothing, shoemaking, glasses and so on are now more difficult.
Ningbo: electricity shortage has led to heavy losses and slow economic growth.
Electricity has been difficult for many years in Ningbo's industrial enterprises.
Most of the enterprises in Ningbo have a good psychological expectation for the power supply and power limitation during the summer peak.
What I did not expect was that this year's electricity utilization would be so difficult that the "slam gate restriction" would come so early.
"This is only the beginning. It can be predicted that the problem of electricity will become more and more serious as the weather gets hotter."
Chen Tianyun, chairman of Ningbo Tianyi Fuel Co. Ltd., admitted to reporters, "what should I do?
God knows. "
Almost from the beginning of the year, the problem of electricity consumption is like a "magic spell".
In general, many industrial enterprises in Ningbo are worried.
The helpless and perplexity of electricity makes many enterprises, especially foreign trade enterprises, not dare to place orders at random.
"Without the guarantee of electricity, today's order will be an indemnity sheet in the future. What can we do?"
An entrepreneur who just returned from the Canton Fair told reporters.
"I could have placed more orders."
When will the power limit be ended?
In March this year, in a workshop on the first floor of an enterprise specializing in the production of low noise deep groove ball bearings in Kun Dun street, Cixi, Ningbo, watching all the equipment in the huge workshop was quietly there, the director of the enterprise, Wu Yun Jun, frowned helplessly.
The power failure caused the customer's order not to be completed in time, and the production plan was once again declared aground.
It is understood that, in order to avoid the power outage caused by excessive power consumption in the past years, ensure production can be carried out according to plan. In Huo Yun Jun's workshop, production equipment was used only 40%, and the remaining 60% was in a "rest" state.
Huo Yunjun pointed to a high-power diesel engine at the northwest corner of the factory. It said that only 40% of the equipment was moved, mainly because the diesel generators purchased by themselves were a little useful.
At present, the industrial electricity consumption is 0.9 yuan / degree, but the cost of generating diesel engine is 1.5 yuan -2 yuan / degree.
In addition, the electricity and voltage generated by the diesel engine are very unstable and can only be used for some primary products, and can not be used for finishing.
"If we are not to catch up with the progress of production, we will not use this kind of diesel engine which is expensive, polluting and energy consuming to generate electricity."
Huo Yunjun said.
In Beilun, a company suddenly suffered power failure during the production process. The production line was forced to stop and production equipment was damaged.
"There are more than 100 customers in Ningbo and surrounding areas waiting for us to do dyeing and finishing. If the electricity is stopped for a long time, not only will our company lose, but a large number of upstream garment enterprises will also suffer losses."
Zhang Wenping, Secretary of Party branch of Yinzhou Gulin welfare factory, said.
It seems that the impact of "power restriction on the sluice" has affected the upstream and downstream industries of the enterprises involved.
Relatively speaking, the sudden power failure is more serious for some chemical fiber enterprises than for other types of enterprises.
Chemical fiber enterprises are relatively longer production lines. Once the electricity is suddenly cut off, the raw materials of the whole line will be scrapped, and the one-time loss may exceed several hundred thousand yuan.
At the beginning of the year, the enterprise just passed the "labor shortage", and then encountered the "electricity difficult".
Some enterprises often fail to deliver customer orders due to power outages, which will not only be robbed by competitors, but will also affect the further development of enterprises.
Entrepreneurs who are frightened by the "electricity shortage" do not know when the power limit will be the end.
At present, the most concern of enterprises is the severity of "power restriction" in the summer.
The government should make early warning and inform the enterprises early so that the enterprises can make the best arrangements accordingly.
How to break the electricity "magic spell"
2011 is the year of the opening of 12th Five-Year, and many small and medium-sized enterprises are facing frequent power rationing again. The power sector also indicates that this situation is difficult to fundamentally change in the future.
Therefore, how to solve the problem of power supply and power supply has become a top priority for supporting the sustainable and stable development of SMEs.
Experts point out that the problem of "using electricity shortage" is actually caused by no change in the extensive growth mode of the economy.
Now, government departments are more likely to pay more attention to the speed of economic growth, and there are still a lot of large energy projects on the horse.
In the long run, they are not sustainable and have brought great pressure to society.
Yan Guoqing, Dean of Zhejiang Wanli University business school, believes that the power rationing will continue to force enterprises to take the courage of "breaking the wrist" and actively seek for their own development path with the help of technological innovation.
The cost of upgrading raw materials and equipment will be digested through the benefits gained from the pformation and upgrading of the industry, and strive to switch to high-tech industries, and resolutely eliminate backward production capacity and high energy consumption extensive production mode.
However, technological innovation will not be completed in a short time, and not all SMEs will be able to pform and upgrade and ensure success.
Small and medium-sized enterprises are located in the tower foundation of Ningbo's economic Pyramid. They should optimize the allocation of resources under their own existing conditions and try every means to alleviate the difficulties caused by power rationing.
In addition, it is also necessary for local governments and enterprises to redouble their efforts to solve the problem of supply and supply, coordinate the "folk wisdom" of the enterprises with the lead organizations of relevant government departments, and strive to get a new way out between power demand and power supply.
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