Yangtze River Delta Survey: Medium And Small Textile Enterprises Suffer From Cyclical Austerity
Why do all previous tightening policies inevitably bring SMEs into the "money shortage" periodically? Why do large enterprises and big projects always get the advantage of financial resources? Why do grassroots financial institutions always stumble?
These problems are constantly troubling people.
Economists believe that these problems are related to the two element structure of finance.
According to the definition of economists, the two element structure of finance refers to the coexistence of formal finance and informal finance.
However, in China's special economic structure and financial system, the two element structure of finance has naturally been associated with the nature of the enterprise. Large enterprises and state-owned economy are more favored by formal finance in the system, while private enterprises and small and medium-sized enterprises can only be linked to grass-roots finance.
In order to explore the truth of the two element structure of finance, we have conducted in-depth interviews with the structural financing contradictions and phenomena brought about by the two financial structure, in order to analyze the internal causes of these contradictions and find possible paths to solve these contradictions.
Since today, a series of reports on the phenomenon of "two dimensional financial structure" will be launched continuously.
Business failure is now in Dongguan.
A few days ago, local senior toy enterprises "vegetarian" and
Textile enterprises
"Ding Jia" suddenly collapsed, and a "cold wave of manufacturing industry" once again attacked the industry in Dongguan.
People in the industry believe that the three factors, such as the appreciation of the RMB, the increase of wages and the rise of raw materials, are difficult to eliminate in the short term. This cold current will be even more than in 2008.
In Wujiang, Jiangsu, a well-known textile industry cluster, small and medium-sized textile enterprises complain that the cost of raw materials and labor is rising and profit margins have been squeezed.
financing
Under the pressure of rising costs, some small businesses have been struggling to survive. Some have chosen to stop production. Some have borrowed money from usury.
"Economic reference daily" reporter recently went to Jiangsu and Zhejiang two provinces interview that although small and medium-sized enterprises accounted for 85% to 90% of the contribution to employment, but the funds they received was seriously disconnected.
In the normal economic environment, small and medium-sized enterprises are facing the problem of financing difficulties. Once the policy is tightened, financing becomes even more difficult.
"Now, or in 2008 and 1998...
In the history of tightening policy, the first "sacrifice" is always small and medium-sized enterprises.
Guo Tianyong, a professor at the school of finance, Central University of Finance and Economics, told the economic reference daily that China's SMEs are suffering from cyclical austerity. The root cause of this phenomenon is the increasingly prominent financial structure of our country, which is "two element structure" - limited financial resources are always invested in large enterprises and big projects that the government is inclined to develop. SMEs inevitably fall into "money shortage" periodically.
"Under the relaxed policy environment, we actively expand production, creating the same value as big enterprises, but when they are tight, they always fall first."
In Wujiang, Jiangsu, a small and medium-sized textile enterprise manager in trouble told reporters.
"From 2009 to 2010, textile enterprises increased their investment crazily, especially when the price of cotton (21375,55.00,0.26%) rose to two or three thousand tons last year, and some people were queuing up to buy cotton spinning machines.
At that time, it was only six months after the deposit was paid to get the machine.
Wen Hao, deputy general manager of Jiangsu Hengli Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd.
Contrary to this heat, the demand for domestic and foreign demand is shrinking and the financing form is tightening in a tight environment.
Shen Bin, deputy director of Wujiang SME Bureau, said in an interview with the media, "from the Jiangsu and Zhejiang chemical fiber industry, the new capacity reached 60% in 2011, and our relevant statistics show that there is no significant increase in demand at home and abroad."
Ba Shu song, deputy director of the Finance Research Institute of the State Council Development Research Center, used "overshoot" to describe the situation of small and medium-sized private enterprises in a tight environment.
He said that the possibility of overshooting in China's economy is relatively high.
The real capital interest rate obtained by enterprises from the financial system is the real pressure of tightening rather than official interest rates.
From the two most dynamic regions in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, the cost of obtaining capital by private enterprises is almost the same as that in 2007 and 2008, but the real economy in that year was much stronger than it is now, for example, in 2007, G D P increased by 14.2%, and the external economic growth was strong.
"So this part of the tightening efforts are relatively large, if such a sustained strength, some enterprises will have a greater impact."
He said.
The information provided by a Wenzhou branch of the Banking Supervision Bureau showed that the Wenzhou economic and Trade Commission recently found that enterprises with a tight capital account accounted for 42.9% of the enterprises' capital side survey, and the average corporate funding gap was about 10%, while the loan satisfaction rate of the enterprises was only 57.4%.
On the one hand, monetary policy is constantly tightening, and on the other hand, small and medium-sized enterprises are thirsty for capital, which makes the source of funds for small and medium enterprises more inclined to private lending.
A sample survey of 350 enterprises by the Wenzhou finance office showed that at the end of the first quarter, the proportion of the three funds of the enterprise's operating capital, its own funds, bank loans and private lending was 56:28:16, and the proportion of bank loans decreased by 2 percentage points compared with the same period last year, down 4 percentage points compared with the beginning of the year.
The proportion of private lending increased gradually, which increased by 6 percentage points and 4 percentage points respectively over the same period of last year and the beginning of this year.
"In this case, the capital chain of small businesses is relatively fragile."
Zhou Qingming, chief supervisor of Wenzhou Banking Supervision Bureau, said that the demand for small and medium sized enterprises was large recently, and the difficulty of financing increased.
financing cost
Generally speaking, the recovery period of accounts receivable has been prolonged, and capital turnover has become tense.
In view of the main role of banks in China's financial system, it has an unshirkable responsibility for the "austerity" of SMEs. Although banks often publicize their credit support to small and medium-sized enterprises, a limited amount of loan amount in a tight environment always tends to flow to a larger business customer and government project in a tight environment.
"When we went to the banking industry in Zhejiang, we found that in the first half of the year, the number of SMEs seeking loans from banks was 2 to 3 times that of last year, and lending by banks was more prudent than last year," he said.
Guo Tianyong, a professor at the school of finance, Central University of Finance and Economics, told the economic reference daily that although the financing difficulties of SMEs are common in many countries, China's response is rather prominent.
According to the recent sample survey of 350 small and medium-sized enterprises in Wenzhou Finance Office of Zhejiang Province, 18% of the enterprises' capital chain is very fragile, and it may become the object of bank lending.
At the same time, 25 growing small businesses only have 133 million yuan from bank financing, accounting for 18.5% of the 24 key leading enterprises' bank loans.
"Banks are now asking companies to lend money and then deposit them in the bank immediately, then use the certificates of deposit as collateral and then lend them one time, which doubles the financing cost of enterprises and the annual loan interest rate is about 12 to 13%.
The average profit of the small and medium-sized enterprises is not more than 10%, which can not afford such a high cost of capital. For banks, their risks are even greater. "
The bank account manager told reporters.
Why do private and small and medium-sized economies suffer from the tightening of economic policies? Private and grassroots financial institutions are always excluded.
Guo Tianyong believes that this is a painful process that must be experienced by developing countries in the process of economic take-off, and the breakthrough is the timely pformation of the role of the government.
Guo Tianyong uses the theory of financial repression to explain the internal causes of "austerity" in small and medium-sized enterprises: there is widespread financial repression in developing countries. In the catch-up stage of economic takeoff, the role played by the government is more important. It needs to control limited financial resources and invest money in industries and projects that the government is inclined to develop.
"And the result of financial repression is that the government wants to reduce the cost of state and government projects to the lowest cost, so the interest rate level of financial institutions will be suppressed. There is a gap between the real interest rate and the nominal interest rate of financial institutions. Private and small and medium-sized economies that are not consistent with government projects and government investment goals can only bear higher real interest rates. At this stage, the development of private and grassroots financial institutions serving the latter will also be excluded -- the two element structure of finance is inevitable."
How can we get out of the vicious circle of financial repression? Guo Tianyong believes that after the development stage of economic development, the government's power should fade away. It is necessary to turn the driving force of economic growth to the market itself, to private capital and social capital - the adjustment of economic structure put forward by our country and the realization of endogenous growth, that is, the so-called financial deepening.
"The difficulty in the process of financial repression and financial deepening is the pformation of the government."
Guo Tianyong said, at present, the reasons why the government is unwilling to surrender the baton is more complicated: first, the government tends to think it is more efficient than the market; second, the government is worried that if it lets go, the economy will collapse; third, the power of the government to surrender the baton will be greatly weakened and no way to be in a strong position.
All these factors are unresolved factors in the two element structure of China's finance.
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