The Price Of Meat And Vegetables Rose By &Nbsp; The Price Of Agricultural Products Rose.

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Reporters learned that the recent prices of vegetables, including garlic, showed signs of a rebound, and some leafy vegetables prices rose 30% over last month.

At the same time, prices of main agricultural and sideline products such as eggs and edible oil continued to rise, while pork prices remained high, showing a trend of "going forward".

The national development and Reform Commission issued a document 29 days ago, saying that the adverse factors that affect the current stable operation of the economy are: first, the overall level of prices may still be running high, and the two is that the uncertainty of achieving steady and steady increase in agriculture is still strong.

rebound

Vegetables

The latest sign of price changes in agricultural products is the rebound in vegetable prices.

According to the monitoring data of the national market prices of agricultural products and agricultural products, the price of some leafy vegetables increased significantly since late July. Compared with July 20th, the national spinach, rape and lettuce increased by 31.2%, 20.8% and 27.3% respectively in August 28th.

After entering August, the price of beans, cucumbers, eggplants, cowpeas, bitter gourd and garlic also rose.

According to the price monitoring data of edible agricultural products released by the Ministry of Commerce last week, the average wholesale price of the 18 vegetables ended in April, the first time since April, it rose for the first time compared with the previous week, rising to 2.1%.

Among them, lettuce, Chinese cabbage and rape and other leafy vegetables rose by 15.1%, 14.1% and 11% respectively.

Some analysts believe that some parts of the country have been affected by rainfall.

Since April this year, vegetable prices have fallen sharply in production areas due to oversupply of new vegetables, resulting in "cheap vegetable damage to farmers".

Wang Ying, an analyst with the Oriental Agribusiness Consulting firm, told the economic reference daily that if the vegetable prices rose in accordance with the normal market trend, but because the vegetable farmers did not understand the vegetable planting information in the whole country, when the vegetable prices were particularly low, they might reduce the next round of planting volume and thus have an impact on the market.

spread

"Meat and egg oil" price range expanded

In addition to the pick-up in vegetable prices, the reporters also found that the prices of many agricultural products in the "basket" were rising.

For example, pork prices continue to rebound after a rebound.

According to the data of search pig network, the average price of pork in the whole country is approaching the previous high level.

Affected by the strong price of pork in the South and central and western regions, the average price of pigs in the 10 yuan / kg area has increased significantly, and has gradually affected the trend of pork prices in the surrounding areas.

Tan Moxiao, an economic analyst at the Xinhua news agency, said the demand for pork was increased by the Mid Autumn Festival and the students were about to start school, but there was no substantial change in the current shortage of pig sources, and there was still room for the price of pork in the short term.

The high price of pork and the effect on the price of other meat and egg products is very obvious.

According to the Xinhua News Agency's national agricultural and sideline products and agricultural price quotes system monitoring, the national egg since July

Chicken traders in a vegetable market in Majiabao, Beijing, say that the price of chicken has gone up a lot recently, like the price of chicken Pipa leg meat is 9 yuan per catty, now it has risen to 10 yuan per catty.

Grain and oil products, grain prices steadily rose, edible oil prices continue to rise.

The 24 major food price data released by the National Bureau of statistics in 50 cities showed that in the middle of August, peanut oil and soybean oil rose the largest in grain and oil products, up 2.3% and 1% compared with the previous analysis.

According to the Xinhua News Agency's national agricultural and sideline products and agricultural price quotas system monitoring, since August, reflecting the increase in the number of edible oil prices, the price of edible oil brands and varieties have expanded, involving the golden dragon, multi force, hawk mark, Lu Hua and other brands.

Compared with August 1st, the price of pure peanut oil rose by 5.2% in August 27th, and the price of pure flower oil in more than 90% provinces and municipalities was above 110 yuan per barrel (5 liters).

"At present, the price of edible oil has risen to varying degrees in both wholesale and terminal retail markets. The increase in the cost of raw materials such as peanuts and soybeans is the main reason for the rise in the price of edible oil."

Tan Moxiao expects that with the arrival of the peak season of edible oil demand, the demand will gradually increase. With the support of high production costs and increasing demand, the price will continue to oscillate in the near future.

pressure

Food inflation increases inflation expectations

The price of vegetables rose in the beginning of the year, and pork prices rose in the two quarter. Now, eggs and edible oil are rising and vegetable prices rebounded. * this year, China's food prices are on the rise. This undoubtedly increases the pressure on current price increases.

Wang Jian, Secretary General of the national development and Reform Commission's China macroeconomic Association, told the economic reference daily that China's price inflation is mainly driven by food, such as the CPI of July, which rose by 6.5% compared with the same period last year, of which food prices rose by 14.8% over the same period last year, affecting the overall price level by about 4.38 percentage points.

Wang Jian believes that in recent years, food prices have risen more than twice the total CPI, and the core of food is food.

This year's drought is the first drought in the spring, and it turns to waterlogging again in May. This kind of rare disastrous climate has a negative effect on grain production this year. If the summer grain production is reduced and the autumn grain is also cut down, the inflation process driven by food will continue in the three and fourth seasons. It can not be lower than 5%. Especially in autumn November, CPI will break 7, and it will not be less than 5%.

The report released by CITIC Securities said: "since the beginning of this year, the price of food has gone up and down, and the pork has come down after the vegetables. The pork has not yet come down. The aquatic products and eggs have been followed up. The aquatic products and pork have just stopped their feet, and the edible oil, chicken seedlings and duck seedlings have taken the baton as if they were all flowers.

At present, we really can not see which food prices have a larger decline in the space and power.

With the withdrawal of the price prohibition of the NDRC, it is not surprising that some commodity prices will rise if they are retaliatory.

The broker thinks that the pressure of price rise in China in the three quarter is still very large, and CPI will be higher than the two quarter. Although the four quarter is mainly due to the weakening of the tail factor, CPI will decline a year earlier, but the growth rate is still higher.

CPI is expected to reach more than 5.5% in 2011.

Yao Jingyuan, the former chief economist of the National Bureau of statistics, told the economic reference daily that the price increase is still a big problem for China's economy this year.

The reasons for the current price rise are rather complicated.

From an international perspective, after the outbreak of the world financial crisis in 2008, the main way to deal with the issue was to issue more banknotes, which resulted in a worldwide excess of liquidity and the rapid rise of international commodity prices.

China is now the second largest importer in the world, so most of the time it can only accept the price rise passively.

From the domestic perspective, the currency is also excessive.

But the deeper problem is the weak agricultural foundation in China.

At present, China's agricultural population accounts for about half of the total population of the country, but agricultural output accounts for less than 10% of GDP.

countermeasure

Policy of supporting agriculture should be improved in the medium and long term

Though food price data monitored by ministries and commissions show that food prices may decline in August, the report from Anxin securities found that food prices in August this year were significantly lower than that in the August CPI food chain ratio.

The report said that since 2001, the food prices in CPI have shown a strong seasonal pattern. The ratio is always negative in August and continues to rise until February of next year.

In August, the price of food in CPI was significantly lower than the historical average, corresponding to the seasonal decline of vegetable prices in August.

But now vegetable prices are showing signs of a rebound.

In response to the rebound in the price of vegetables represented by vegetables, some measures were recently introduced by the state.

For example, in July, the Ministry of Commerce and Beijing jointly launched the construction of the weekend vegetable market, allowing vegetables to be supplied directly from the producing areas and minimizing the cost of circulation.

Chu Jianfang, chief macroeconomic economist of CITIC Securities, suggested that the focus of the policy should be to improve the policy of supporting agriculture in the medium and long term and stabilize the prices of agricultural products.

Constructing modern agricultural industrial system and accelerating the pformation from traditional agriculture to modern agriculture.

Specifically, the first is to promote the industrialization of agriculture, improve the government's financial subsidy mechanism, improve the scale of operation and technological progress, increase the supply of agricultural products; the two is to promote the construction of agricultural products market circulation system; the three is to strengthen supervision, restrict the speculation of agricultural products, and strengthen the adjustment function of the state on the reserve of important agricultural products; four, innovate the form of agricultural organization and rationalize the value chain linkage mechanism of agricultural products.