Beijing Shanghai Deep Golden Week Building Market Is Bleak.

During the national day, our correspondent is divided into three ways to interview three places in Beijing, Shanghai and Shenzhen.

Beijing

Market entry is not small.

Commercial housing turnover is only a hundred sets per day.

Beijing real estate paction management network data show that four days before the national day, Beijing eleven long vacation period of commercial housing contract signing number for 383 sets, second-hand housing housing contract number 51 sets, a total of 434 sets, the average daily turnover of more than 100 sets, respectively, compared with the same period in 2009 fell 26.2% and 3.8%.

In addition, four days before the national day, real estate subscription data for Beijing commercial housing was 728 sets, down 49.8% from 1449 sets in the same period last year.

The industry expects eleven long holidays, the Beijing property market will end in dismal circumstances.

Despite the sluggish trading volume, eleven of Beijing's real estate market is quite different.

Statistics show that around eleven, Beijing includes 17 properties such as Huarun Oak Bay, COFCO Vanke Changyang Peninsula (micro-blog), Yuanyang Xinyue, Xu Hui purple county and so on, and about 7300 residential units are sold in the market.

Reporters learned that during the eleven period last year, about 8 properties in Beijing entered the market, compared with the National Day this year, "get together" opened.

According to statistics, from October 1st to 4, the number of commercial housing contracts in Beijing was 434 sets, 109 sets per day, and the daily volume of the last four days in September was 635 sets, 852 sets, 560 sets, 573 sets.

Insiders said that by the end of September, the "five measures" issued by the relevant ministries and commissions of the state on further strengthening real estate regulation had obvious effects on the property market during the eleven period.

On the other hand, due to various factors such as the National Day holiday, the housing demand is delayed and released, so the property market is rather deserted during the national day.

The industry is expected that after the end of the National Day holiday, with the opening of new Beijing market and the further decline of housing prices, volume is expected to pick up, thus ushering in the small peak of residential pactions.

The situation of "changing price with quantity" did not appear.

During the national day, reporters visited some of the properties found that various kinds of concessions continued, but developers hope that the "price change volume" situation did not appear.

In the 10 months of the market, discount offers can be found everywhere. The Oriental International Plaza recruits Yabo club members, enjoying 20 thousand yuan concession, and Huizhong Xicheng will receive a maximum of 6000 yuan.

In the second-hand housing market, reporters visited my love my family, chain stores and many other intermediary companies found that customers who came to buy houses or even questioned were not many. The employees of intermediary companies told reporters that there was little business during the national day. Due to the restriction of purchase and other policies, fewer and fewer people really met the conditions of buying housing. Basically, they were mainly living on their own or changing their housing type. When they talked about whether they could help customers to "do" some materials to meet the housing conditions, many intermediary companies said it was difficult and could not be done at present.

Shanghai

"Golden nine silver ten" is not optimistic.

Exhibitions will be more discount than empty ones.

Shanghai property market "Kim Gu" suffered a dismal ending, "silver ten" is not optimistic.

During the "eleven" long holiday, "2011 Shanghai Real Estate Autumn Exhibition", the atmosphere of watching is still thick.

In the absence of substantial price cuts, some of the property's "little favours" have been unable to impress most buyers.

Analysts believe that a large area of substantial price cuts will not appear in October, trading volume in the short term is difficult to pick up.

After the Shanghai property market experienced "cold nine",

A salesperson told reporters that in recent days, most of the consulted buyers had just needed, and there were not many plans to invest. "Many people came to see the wedding room, or the parents' pension room."

At the same time, reporters found that in this exhibition, in the vicinity of the outer ring of Shanghai, relatively loose prices accounted for a considerable proportion of real estate.

Although the on-site salesmen kept shouting "Last Spike" and "limited time special price", many buyers were not satisfied with the current discount.

Aunt Zhao of Shanghai is planning to buy a "home for the aged" in the suburbs, but it finds that the discount market is still not up to its expectations.

According to incomplete statistics from reporters, although many flats have been issued "straight down" tens of thousands of slogans, but the total price conversion, almost all of the real estate discount discount strength is not less than ten percent off, and many real estate does not have substantial discounts.

Buyers wait and see to be reduced.

Although the recent cooling of the property market in Shanghai has led many sensitive buyers to sniff out opportunities, many homebuyers still choose to wait and see before the market has substantially reduced their prices.

"I feel that the price of real estate has really dropped recently."

Shanghai white collar Zou Miss told reporters that he recently saw a new opening project in the outskirts of Shanghai, with an average price of 16 thousand yuan to 17 thousand yuan per square meter.

Although the building is ten minutes away from the nearest subway station, "the house is finely decorated. I feel that in the past, it should be more than this price according to the lot and the apartment of the house."

Statistics from the Shanghai real estate market center in twenty-first Century showed that during the 20 months of June 1st ~9, there were 208 new apartment projects in Shanghai, with the average paction price in September (up to September 20th) and the average paction price in June, 109 of which fell in price, accounting for 52%, while the price reductions were mostly within 10%.

However, Miss Zou believes that even now the housing prices have been reduced, but still "expensive".

"Mainly in recent years, the price of housing in Shanghai has gone up too much, so that everyone's psychological expectations are very high.

There were really many people in the house. I met more than 20 people all the way.

However, I don't know how many of them will be bought at the end.

In this regard, Ye Houbiao, general manager of Shanghai real estate, Ruifeng, in twenty-first Century, believes that the new price cuts affect the market expectations in an invisible way, making buyers warm up the bearish mood in the market outlook, and expect more substantial price cuts. This may explain the emergence of "price failure".

"I am afraid that Shanghai housing prices will drop, who knows if developers will not be able to sustain it?"

Said Miss Zou.

Silver ten or hopeless.

Kim Gu, a regional analyst in real estate in Shanghai in twenty-first Century, said that the inventory volume caused by the "no money" of the property market could be a signal for the property market to face price cuts after the "silver ten" period. The volume of pactions was postponed to the end of the four quarter of twenty-first Century.

But Xue Jianxiong, an analyst with China real estate information group, believes that the current market brings a lot of difficulties to the pricing of developers.

Because the market projects have generally given preferential policies, a small price adjustment is not enough to attract buyers, and developers are afraid to try to increase the discount.

Xue Jianxiong predicted that the property market will continue to slump, and silver ten is hopeless.

deep

60% only advertisements for real estate.

Autumn queues are for gifts only.

During the national day, the autumn real estate fair in Shenzhen (hereinafter referred to as the "Autumn Fair") was given high hopes before the festival. The industry had expected to have a large reduction in price concessions, but it turned out to be a backdrop. Despite the fact that nearly 80 real estate projects in Shenzhen, Hongkong, Huizhou, Dongguan and other cities were gathered together, only 21 of the 21 exhibitors in Shenzhen were selling, and others were mainly advertising.

Our reporter saw at the autumn fair that the Huizhou real estate, such as the "4" prefix special room, was given different preferential treatment, and the Shenzhen real estate did not surprise too much. The basic discount was 2% off or 3% off.

In a large developer booth (Vanke), 8 properties are launched, but not all of them are sold. A real estate in Pingshan New District, though the average price of the staff is 11 thousand yuan / square meter, is the lowest in all Shenzhen. The two units launched before are sold out in 2 hours, but the new products will not be launched until November, and will not be sold during the autumn trade fair.

Reporters saw on the registration form that in addition to dozens of people registered on 1 and 2 days, the number of registrations dropped sharply in the remaining days. Only 4 people registered on the 4 day, and only 6 people registered in 5 days.

In the middle of September, the opening of the Shenzhen local developer property (lounqiao International) booth was more than 10 meters long, but under careful questioning, it was all for the purpose of receiving gifts. Some of the queuing visitors did not even know the names of the buildings.

This property is located at Huanggang port and the quotation is 28 thousand yuan / square meter.

At the sales site, there are a lot of visitors. There are about four or five groups of guests, mainly from exhibitions.

There are also bank mortgage areas, mainly those that have been signed before the reception, and have not received guests during the national day.

"I feel that there are fewer people buying houses this autumn fair," said Aunt Wang, who had retired, spent two days watching three flats.

She first saw a Huizhou plate, the average price was only 5500 yuan / square meter, but she felt that the peripheral matching could not work, "at least 35 years to perfect, do we have to wait 35 years?"

Later, she saw a real estate in Baoan, the average price was 15 thousand yuan / square meter, but Aunt Wang also felt that the people there were complex.

Shenzhen planning and Land Commission statistics show that the volume of Shenzhen property market has continued to decline in the second half of the year. In September, 2009 new houses in Shenzhen were sold, and 33.8% in August.

And the 5 day, the city's commercial housing pactions only 36 sets, the average price of 19286 yuan / square meter, slightly lower than the average price in September 3.7%.

Well known real estate marketing commentator Gong Ming pointed out that Shenzhen's overall trading atmosphere is not very strong. Although developers have been pressing for sales promotion, but there has been no strong rejection, the stock market has not been overloaded, so the developers' mentality is relatively calm, and buyers are also relatively stable.

Shenzhen planning and Land Commission statistics show that the average price in September was 20028 yuan / square meter, compared with 21565 yuan / square meter in August, down 7.1%.

But Gong Ming believes that since Shenzhen launched the price limit policy, price has become a digital game.

The pre-sale building is priced, but the sales haven't dropped, which is why buyers still feel expensive.

Because in accordance with the Land Bureau record system, the sale items are not included in the online filing, do not constitute a new paction price, will not push up the average price.

Therefore, the development of buildings into existing buildings and after sale will be able to circumvent the price limit.

He pointed out that in the past 51 or eleven around the peak season, but now developers are no longer in accordance with the law of the season, so it is difficult to judge the overall situation of the property market according to the eleven property market.

Gong Ming is expected that until the Spring Festival, Shenzhen property market will not have a big rise and fall, followed by a small trade climax, the price will not change much.

harbor

The property market has not seen in the ice age.

The new market "sell the market" sell intermediary fear collapse

Washington (reporter Tian Xin) not limited to the purchase is not limited to loans in Hongkong also appeared in the "property market ice age".

During the national day, our reporter went to Hongkong to interview and found that the volume of turnover in the Hongkong property market has dropped by more than 30% in the past two months.

Under the quiet market, there are small intermediary failures, and the industry expects intermediary closures are coming.

For the aftermarket, the industry believes that the fourth quarter trading will not exceed the beginning of the year, small intermediary will continue to close down, but the sharp decline in property prices is unlikely.

The opening price is four or five lower than that in Wang City.

The reporter was visiting a luxury house in Hongkong Aberdeen (Shenzhen Bay 9) for sale. Developers have announced 4 price lists from 3 days, averaging 19570 yuan per square foot, the smallest unit is 745 square feet, and the lowest total price is more than 20 million yuan.

Reporters at the scene of the camp, in the real estate encountered two intermediary brokers, brokerage efforts to promote sales, "stock market, developers have this loose", "these prices are the most favorable."

Dead Leung Ban, director and senior director of Strategic Development Department of Greater China, Tao Ruhong, pointed out that the price of small and medium-sized housing in Hongkong has been reduced by 7%~10% since June, while property prices in some remote areas have fallen by nearly 10%.

The United States property (micro-blog) director of the cloth Xiao Ming pointed out that when the city developers tend to be higher than the second-hand price of six or seven of the opening price, but now willing to "market price" opened, generally only higher than the second-hand price of about 20%, the difference between four or five.

In the shopping malls of a large private property (Hong Jingtai) in Lai Chi Kok Road, West Kowloon, there are more than 10 secondhand intermediaries. The price list of the facade is decreasing from time to time, and the intermediary delimits the original price and writes a new price beside it.

A large intermediary (Zhongyuan Real Estate) is being renovated by reporters. The brokers who are arranging decorating matters say that the shop was originally another agent, Jing Shi, but now it has already completed the whole line, which was taken over by its company in early September.

Reporters learned that the closure of the intermediary Jing Shi live there are 6 branches.

DTZ's monitoring of Hongkong's soil and Land Office figures shows that in September, the total sales and sales contracts were 6579, with 21680 registered in the third quarter, down 38.5% from the second quarter.

The number of registrations in September hit a new low of 31 months since 2009 March.

Wang Dunjing, Secretary General of the Hongkong professional real estate consultant Association, pointed out that this figure is more than 10 thousand less than that of the beginning of the year, but at present, there are more than 33000 agents in the real estate agency, with an average of five or six brokers making a deal. "There are too many people," and there are bound to be some experts who can't afford to leave the market.

Wang Dunjing pointed out that if the market fails to improve in the next 3 months, I believe more intermediaries will lose weight or go bankrupt.

When will the housing market adjust?

Bu Shao Ming believes that the main policy of next week's first policy address is whether it is positive or not.

Chen Yongjie, managing director of the Central Plains real estate Asia Pacific region, estimated that the policy address would continue to introduce measures to curb property prices, such as optimizing the home ownership scheme, the opportunity to reduce property prices by another 3%~5%, while the medium-sized property of 5 million ~1000 million would also be reduced by 5% or so. As for 20 million yuan or more of the luxury housing, it would have little impact because of the support from the mainland.

He also pointed out that the drop in property prices is only 3%~5% adjustment, not the trend, and the trend of property prices is still upward.